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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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FetchCB

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Everything posted by FetchCB

  1. FetchCB
    Is that signs of a wash Streamer starting on the radar?
  2. FetchCB
    Brutal true although not quite record breaking
  3. FetchCB
    How do you know a cold spell is about to arrive? 1. The model thread turns into when is the breakdown coming thread 2. The regional thread turns into into its not going to arrive thread
  4. FetchCB
    How blatantly obvious? Can you explain please as the storm that is the cause of the warning hasn't arrived yet. The warnings are as the result of the Chief Forecasters professional opinion whose experience, knowledge and access to meteorological data far exceeds anybody on here (no disrespect meant) I can almost guarantee the models will not have the track right they never do, two weeks ago the models said I wouldn't get snow and I ended up with 3 inches
  5. FetchCB
    Yes exactly when they have confidence in the exact area. Whilst you may generally be correct in your assumption on impacts, the risk of villages being cut off, which I suspect along with the risk to life of people being caught out in a Blizzard are the fears here.
  6. FetchCB
    I suspect a red will be issued when they have a definite handle on where, Met Office have already signposted at the top of the impact and only one below the probability so once they have confidence on exactly where they will issue one. Remember there are civil Contingency plans enacted off the back of the warnings its not just for us weather watchers
  7. FetchCB
    I suspect that the situation once the easterly sets in is going to be very fluid and almost impossible to model. Human input and experience will count for far more than models over the next few days
  8. FetchCB
    Yes if you believe the Met Office app we have today gone from two days of light snow, Sunday and Monday to Heavy snow sat eve and light snow Sunday to sleet on Saturday eve and then dry Hoping the ARPEGE is right re the Wash Streamer
  9. FetchCB
    remember this well. Travelling from Camberley to London but because of the long drag from camberley to bagshot had to be diverted via Aldershot except 5 mins the train went dead. Snow had gotten into the electrics and shorted the electricals
  10. FetchCB
    I can't remember the number of times the gfs has modelled a breakdown of a cold spell only for it not to happen. At 7 days you are living in FI if you believe any model will be correct. Traditionally the primary driver behind the synoptics in the near time are in the far north where observations that initiate the models are not as numerous as they are, say, in the Atlantic. As a consequence model error is greater
  11. FetchCB
    1% at that range in weather modelling terms is the difference between right and hopelessly wrong
  12. FetchCB
    I remember being on the forum that night and you bemoaning that fact that you were not seeing any snow whereas I myself was in West London getting dumped on
  13. FetchCB
    Here you are
  14. FetchCB
    Certainly seems to the view of the Arpege Model
  15. FetchCB
    Or choose the three dots top right corner (android) and choose desktop site
  16. FetchCB
    Yep been snowing heavily on and off since 1pm
  17. FetchCB
    Still snowing in Peterborough. Took dog out for a walk started snowing heavily again somewhere between 3 and 4 inches
  18. FetchCB
    4cm in Peterborough. Still snowing although lighter than earlier Met Office app showing snow, heavy later, til 7pm. Looking at radar may well be that Peterborough is the pivot point for the front as it moves away eastward
  19. FetchCB
    Peterborough
  20. FetchCB
    Met Office app has snow for most of the day with text saying possible disruptive amounts
  21. FetchCB
    Been snowing in Peterborough for best part of 3 hrs now not really settling apart from slush Looks like front has/is pivoting around Peterborough looking at rainfall radar Feels festive working from home with Xmas lights on and snowing outside
  22. FetchCB
    As of 10.40 an oil platform 40 miles NE of center as fixed by Mission 18,observation 19 reported sustained winds of 78 mph and gusts of 98mph
  23. FetchCB
    Not being clear, dorry, my thoughts are that they may end up allowing access to eu citizens only
  24. FetchCB
    Part of the EU's Open Data policy ... Question is whether they will close access to non EU countries? It already looks if though the Offices are going to move https://www.yourweather.co.uk/news/trending/weather-forecast-centre-could-leave-uk-due-to-brexit_amp.html
  25. FetchCB
    "Charts will cover the whole world, all types of weather situations including extreme events, and, very importantly, will also include probability-based information, providing guidance on forecast confidence" The move to open data appears to be at odds to other open data access where the access was to the data not the interpretation of the data. I wonder if this will pressurise the Met Office to follow suit
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