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EML Network

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  1. EML Network
    OK it's WAY worse outside than it sounds. Just took the dogs out and they nearly took off. Must be the direction of the wind making it sound as if it's not blowing a gale, but it most certainly is now here anyway. Max Gust now at 57 Mph here in Shoreham
  2. EML Network
    1.053 members online. That's more than the attendance of the average Stockport game.
  3. EML Network
    it's hardly what I'd call a storm down here. What on earth is going on, looking at the pressure charts we should be experiencing MUCH stronger gusts than we have been experiencing thus far along the South Coast this side of the I.O.W I think this has made landfall much later than was predicted, I'd estimate Maximum Gusts down here will be at about 3am, as opposed to midnight. Wind is slowly picking up with the occasional gust, Max 52 Mph so far, and that must have been a one off, because I can only just barely hear the wind out there, normally at 52 Gusts, its roaring !! So I'm totally and utterly confused http://www.shorehambeachweather.co.uk/
  4. EML Network
    Yes this is exactly what I'm thinking. I think people who live well inland are so unused to strong winds that to them, a gust that would blow a small twig 5 meters along the floor must feel like a full blown hurricane. Hardly a breath of wind down here, it's very bizzare
  5. EML Network
    This is a joke. there's hardly a breeze out there, I think half the days this year have been winder that this, I know it's early doors, but IMO this is going to turn out to be a complete non event IMBY.
  6. EML Network
    well I am confused with people reporting 40-50mph gusts in the North already ?? what's going on ?? either some of the posters don't know what a 60mph gust actually is, and are thinking that a leaf beiong blown across a road equates to a 50mph gust of wind...OR this storm has a mind of it's own and is not behaving as modeled.
  7. EML Network
    I think I'm going to buy a boat. Torrential rain here since 7:30 am, shows no sign of letting up as more precipitation is forming over the English channel. Winds beginning to pick up ever so slowly. Met Office have reduced the Mximum Gusts which were showing at 75 Mph for 3am Saturday morning, to 69 Mph for midnight tonight.
  8. EML Network
    The Met Office Max Wind Gust charts, had the Brighton area showing Maximum of 75 Mph up until this afternoon. The latest chart has is reduced it to 70Mph. So maybe the first signs of this being slightly downgraded in terms of potency as we get nearer the event itself ?
  9. EML Network
    I remember you mentioning this a few days back, and low and behold as it right on queue the GFS throws up another intense low for mid week. if it comes to pass that way I'd say you done well to spot the potential when nothing we were seeing in the charts were indicting it :-)
  10. EML Network
    Yeah it's really picked up here now. I know many don't want yet another round of high winds and rain, but horses for courses. I love extreme weather and won't apologize for it, nor feel bad for wanting it.
  11. EML Network
    Just a leaf rustler down here . Was expecting much higher winds from this than we have right now Yestyerday was windier than this at this time, hopefully Friday night | saturday morning will be better. This one ios pants
  12. EML Network
    The Low for Friday | Saturday has not ''come from nowhere'' It's been showing on the charts for almost 5 days, it's just that it's moved North. The modern generation are really blinkered, if it doesn't fit onto your mobile phone screen you just don't bother to look do you !! Peripheral vision .... is a wonderful thing kids, try it sometime !!
  13. EML Network
    My god it's wild here. Wind is absolutely howling, has got be to at least 60 mph gusts here alopng the South Coast. has the feel and sound of a proper storm, where as tomorrow looks like a leaft rustler down this way
  14. EML Network
    For Gods sake !! All the decent storms get modelled to run along the channel and then get shunted NORTH, so us here in the south just get a boring windy day with loads of bloody rain./ Then this weekend all we want is the low pressure system to do what it has done 7 million times already this year, and move North in the modeeling as the event draws near...BUT NO.. It moves South and we miss out yet again. we can't get the cold, we can't even get a decent storm here. what a super duper winter
  15. EML Network
    The JMA really is intent on sinking the Isle Of Wight and much of the Southern Coast Line of the UK. It's ditched the intense low for Tuesday and replaced it with this for Thursday instead !
  16. EML Network
    Then the JMA throws this in at + 66 HOURS !!!!!
  17. EML Network
    I can't make head nor tail of the models this morning. I selected + 96 and ran through all the GFS runs and I couldn't believe the difference between all 20 at such short range. the UKMO and ECM even at that range bare no resemblance to one another either...what a mess. UKMO + 96 ECM + 96 GFS
  18. EML Network
    Words fail me (well almost) This for a + 120 chart !! and the GFS isn't a million miles away either. Normally when this sort of pressure system gets modeled to run through the NW Tip of France, it gets modeled further and further south on subsequent runs and looses intensity so by the time it actually comes to pass it's not as bad as it once looked and the UK ends up on the rainy side !! But what made me stand up and pay attention to this was the UKMO + 120 chart, which has the entire thing well north of the UK and much more inflated. If you was to take these 2 models and say that the system ends up in between them, the whole of the South of the UK would be in the firing line. I await the 06 and 12 z runs with baited breath, but wouldn't be surprised to see this fall in line with the UKMO prognosis, which itself bodes bad news in particular for the rain. Incredible weather, this country will grind to a halt if this continues into April, which as we all know is notorious for being wet !!!!
  19. EML Network
    I have a feeling tonight's wind speeds have been underestimated. here just West Of Brighton we've already had a Max gust of 52 mph and sustained winds are blowing at about 40mph. 992 mb and dropping at 1.6mb per hour !! http://www.shorehambeachweather.co.uk/
  20. EML Network
    Are people really looking at the charts and hunting for cold and snow ?? Surely there's no point when the Jet is powered up like it is ? One of the wildest periods of weather for the channel coasts coming up than has been experienced for some time. I don't even want to think about what sort of images we'll be seeing in the newpapers and on TV by the time we get around to this time next week, but I should imagine that it's not going to be very pretty . Unless you happen to be a duck or a fish, or someone who sells sandbags or dinghy's !
  21. EML Network
    The models all seem to want to keep the block out to the East and continue the Atlantic Low pressure machine gun firing at us. The reasult is that the UK looks to be stuck just inside the Atltantic sector, with the Lows simply dumping their contents over us. With Feb normally being a month where the Atlantic has a lull and with March and April tending to be wetter months, one does wonder what will happen if this continues into April.
  22. EML Network
    HA HA HA HA HA That make me chuckle
  23. EML Network
    I think I just saw a snowflake...but it might just have been a very big rain drop
  24. EML Network
    If ever I saw a post that was contradictory in it's very nature it is this one. If you feel that way about the models then why bother coming to post on this site, why not sit back, have a cup of coffee and watch the weather forecast on TV. winter ''WILL ARRIVE'' when you least expect it ?? If you're so sure maybe you can tell me when that will be ??? 2017 maybe ??
  25. EML Network
    So I expect this morning a few people will be waking up and smelling the Atlantic coffee, the writing has been on the wall for several days now, all be it with the usual messy flip flopping around. Bottom line is that for all intensive purposes and unless there is a monumental shift , it's another round won by the Atlantic steam train. I suspect the 06z run is too progressive, however, and that the block will put up more of a fight than is being shown by the Op run. As has already been mentioned it's likely to be the rain which once again is going to be cause for major concern as we go through the early part of Feb, if we're going to see a Winter at all this year it's looking more and more likely that it will have to come in the final 2 weeks as I just can't see how we're going to get anything before then looking at the ensembles and the way that High pressure looks like it might take up residence over central Europe. what I am seeing in FI for several days now is a very similar set up to what we had at the very beginning of this Winter and close to a return to...dare I say the dreaded Bartlett. ECM now beginning to pick up on this too. It really is a LONG way back to anything remotely cold from that sort of set up. the UKMO + 144 paints a really horrible picture from a cold lovers perspective as well >> BUT we do have this week to look forward to and no doubt some of you up North will at the very least see something white falling from the sky, but for the vast majority the only white stuff falling from the sky will be out of the back side of a passing feathered creature. On the bright side, I've probably saved £200 on Gas bills this winter, compared to last year !
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