East_England_Stormchaser91

Unprecedented rainfall totals. My heart goes out to the people up there. Do whatever you can to stay safe. Rainfall looks to have pepped up again, not good. EES.

End of the 00z would be on the cusp of something magic. Europe would certainly be heading for some brutal cold if that came off! This current cold snap was spotted quite a way off too albeit slightly watered down nearer the time. We can only hope!

Wow! Didn't think barney would be a house shaker, but jeez, he sure is creating that distinct roar sound and has sent numerous objects flying across the garden. Quite a potent, short sharp depression indeed.

Very windy here now!

Looks to me like a trough/front sliding down the country, very very similar to 30th January 2003 when East Midlands, East Anglia and even as far as Hampshire and west London got blanketed unexpectedly by snow.

That Siberian high is monstrous. One thing to keep an eye on as we go through the runs. Possible retrogression into Greenland from the poleward side!!

Well I never. The 18z has only gone for a classic 'Steve Murr sausage!' What a monster it is too! Stretching from Siberia all the way out into the Atlantic with us on the southern periphery!! Exciting model watching at it's best right now.

Much better amplification on the pub run And wow, before the cold, possible North Sea storm surge. <970mb slap bang in the middle of the North Sea heading down SE..

Mother of runs so far on the latest 18z FI (on a thirsty Thursday trip to the pub perhaps!) Very good WAA and ridging up to Greenland with us and Europe being plunged into the colder air. What I'm seeing differently compared to the last 2 years is the SW/NE alignment of the jet over the US instead of the NW/SE alignment which would help to fuel the Greenland PV and generate the annoyingly strong jet to whip up depressions and steer them right onto us. Instead we are seeing ridging over NF and higher temperatures on the eastern seaboard, creating a less defined and more amplified jet, which on the run shown, successfully shunts up into Greenland. I remember at the start of the horror show of 2013/14 winter (if you could even call it that) reading the comments about the unusually super cold air flooding out of Canada and then creating the most powerful jet ever. This is perhaps looking rather opposite to that, which I can only assume is a good thing for the start of building the blocks to ridge northwards.

Bit irrelevant to the point I've made. Lung cancer and climate are a bit different...More damage is probably being done by methane escapement, volcanic activity and other things such as solar activity I believe plays a big part on the behaviour of the jet stream as does natural La Niña and El Niño events + the behaviour and anomalies of the ocean temps and currents. I don't think there's that much we can really do. We would be only removing an ingredient that plays a very minute part in our global climate system. Still, the mass taxation will continue in the name of something we have no direct control over.

Climate has always been changing since the dawn of time and always will do! Whether we like it or not, we will always see extreme weather in some part of the world at pretty much all times. One place will see record heat, at the same time, somewhere else will see record cold.. And so on.

Very interesting run indeed. Trend has if anything improved. The replacement of the nagging heights over Aleutians and Alaska to raging low pressures seems to cause the GFS to develop a kink in the jet in our favour with raising the heights over E Canada and Labrador and then onto Greenland. That in turn flooding the cold air out of Greenland to the eastern side of it and plunge the UK and Scandi into proper winter weather. It's all about anticipation and the action taking place on the N American continent that has a big effect further down the line. If we do see this happen, and with the already snow covered Eurasian land mass, It could shape up to be an interesting winter season ahead! A pinch of salt taken for now though. I won't hold my breath.

Became very foggy very quickly!! literally clear half hour ago to pea soup. Really do prefer nice quiet foggy days and nights rather than horrid wet and windy conditions.

My word. This is actually considerably stronger! Almost seems out of nowhere. I've been so busy with things lately that I haven't had time to check weather etc! Cyclogenesis must've bombed to another level on this beast.

How strong were the winds in Katrina? This looks even more powerful than her :/ !!

Still remember to this day watching schafernaker present that forecast on the day. Got me well excited I must say! A winter like that would be welcomed in my view for compensation over the last 2 dire winters. They have been so boring.

Nonetheless it is good to be seeing cold air flooding Eastern scandi and Eastern Europe. This means that any easterly that could develop later on would have some degree of teeth applied to it!

Fantasy island showing a full blown greeny high with the NAO going through the floor!! Don't think I've ever seen a run like that at this time of the year, the jet is normally powering up and becoming very active by now. Strange stuff indeed.

Glad i got to see and make the best of what was available this year (1st and 4th July, 16th July, 22nd August)!

Remember this evening 5 years ago instead of child of nadine, we had an awesome display of silent lightning for over 4 hours! Amazing how diverse September weather can be at times.

This year has been average to be fair. But the storms of July really were quite spectacular. Even seeing the lightning over Cambridge 30 miles away on the night of July 16th was absolutely incredible, and hearing the constant low level booming! July 4th being the best event for myself and many others. The 1st July was easily a 1 in 20 year event for the northern regions with those 3 supercells! Overall, I'd rank this year well above the likes of 2008, 2010 and 2011!!

Not only a bust for us, but for much of Northern France too.

Been really chucking it down for some time here now and appears to be stalling. Rates of 50+mm/hr falling right along the entire length of the river nene. April 1998 saw a very similar situation to this with a front with very heavy rain stalling in the exact same position which resulted in the worst flooding of the river in history. Would not like to ever see the likes of that again!

Rain intensifying. But it's central France getting all the fun at the moment. Possible supercell heading for Dijon in the next hour. Strike rate is beginning to go into silly mode on that thing.

Thundery activity had died a death in the channel. Even Paris is missing out with the nearest action to the south of there! Unless something fires in the next 5 hours, what a bust this will be!