Johnp
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Everything posted by Johnp
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Since when was over analysing the ECM 6z control run in the mid afternoon a thing? It’s new to me Might be good when we’re all back at work / college!
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turns out ok
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another? I can’t even remember the last decent uk high. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Deep FI, but we’re just one trigger low away from something memorable from the north / north east -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
just freezing the ground before the snow arrives. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nailed on Scandy high from there. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Crikey, the 00z set must have been bad! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Where are people viewing these? Meteociel and Wz both down for me… -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
18z has provided a bit of interest at least. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think most people are interested in the days after. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At least tell us who wrote that? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Theta-E charts would indicate this high on GFS 6z would be a frosty one, so at least some seasonal, sunny weather would be nice if we can't have snow on the run up to Xmas. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
South Korea's main car manufacturer is Kia and one of their main selling points when they first appeared on the scene was a 7 year warranty... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All the lakes and ponds across the UK would be frozen by the end of this 18z run. Astonishing synoptics. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEM and Icon vs GFS and UKMO so far then. What side will ECM take? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good post, but would like to point out, nobody said the above. Just that it can be hard to displace. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A lot of hope left in the 18z gefs. Roll on the 00z runs! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ens member 22 please -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly. If nothing else is achieved in this spell, then cooling the ground significantly would be a huge benefit. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Pacific ridge coming to try and reinforce the pressure over the pole now at 264hrs. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A quick perusal of the GEFS at 192hrs shows a fair few going for renewed blocking and easterly winds. It’s not over yet! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Same, not sure what the problem is with this run. Still full of promise ahead. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Johnp replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s only a matter of time before one of the runs pulls out a rip-snorter of an easterly imo. It’s an extremely complicated setup which will take a while to get to grips with.