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Nick2373

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Everything posted by Nick2373

  1. Nick2373
    Its been trending for days, various posters pointed this out but some chose to ignore the trends.
  2. Nick2373
    No knee jerking at all, just a clear trend that's been showing for a gradual return from around the 05th/06th December for something of a normal set up. Just like a trend was showing for the current cold spell.
  3. Nick2373
    In fairness they have been trending for days, I love the cold but i have learned the default for the UK is normally South Westley's as we head in the winter months, Any cold is a bonus, to many get hung up on repeats like 1967, 2010 etc
  4. Nick2373
    Not if the Azores high sets up its usual winter home, can be quite a stubborn pattern to shift.
  5. Nick2373
    Its been trending for days, the Azores is waking from its slumber SSW Winds back by the 07th.08th of December
  6. Nick2373
    00z no surprise here, the trend for something closer or just above average as been showing for days after the 05th of December seems the good old Azores is setting up ready for winter again in its usual place. The last few days the tendency to hype and get caught in the flow has caught many out, And the band wagon was full seems to a little bit empty this morning like the prospect of prolonged cold.
  7. Nick2373
    That's not a surprise and if there was perception around i should image it would have been a cold rain affair for many, with the usual high ground dumping's.
  8. Nick2373
    Mike there may be doubt and there is the FI To take into consideration, But personally i have found when watching the GEFS Seems to set a trend over runs, yes it can change at the drop of the hat like we seen two years ago when it was promising a winter Nevada and seen it stolen away in 24hrs if my memory severs me correct. By Wednesday i think we'll see the emerging patterrn but my experience watching this model you can pick the bones and trend out of it.
  9. Nick2373
    I don't think there's much doubt to a return of something around seeing close to average or above there trend as been there for numerous runs the last few days.
  10. Nick2373
    Other areas around the UK All currently showing the increase to just above average, so not just the south of the UK, The North keeps the cold just below but that's a normal winter in the UK.
  11. Nick2373
    The return to something just above average as been showing daily on numerous runs which ties in with some forecasting and many have been discussing along with the upcoming cold spell the prospect of such conditions.
  12. Nick2373
    00z shows the cold spell from the 27th/28th onward to the 05th December then just above average there on unsettled, Snow chances diminishes for many during the cold spell. showers coming off the North sea wintery in nature.
  13. Nick2373
    In all fairness there have been background signals pointing towards the possibility sometimes the hype is so much everyone gets caught up in the frenzy.
  14. Nick2373
    Given the recent model runs showing a return to mildish conditions from the 05th onward quite possibly pump it up while playing the song You Got To Pump It Up
  15. Nick2373
    The 18z brings everything back down to earth it seems the cold spell looks to be cut shorter by a day and snow chances melted before its hit the ground. Azores feature sending the winds up from the south from the 06th onward is it going to take its usual winter residence from Dec to Feb again this year.
  16. Nick2373
    Seems that expiations override the outlook during the silly season, The usual cravat's apply high elevations will see some snow with cold rain/sleet confined to lower levels and costal areas.
  17. Nick2373
    00z shows the cold spell from the 28th onward to the 05th of December then what looks to be a return of South Westley's nothing spectacular in terms of snow for everyone usual suspects snow the higher the elevation cold rain/sleet for many, Hopefully the will be an improving picture later on the 12z for the cold to last longer but there seems to be a trend for warmer air from our usual winter haunt.
  18. Nick2373
    Back last week looking at the GEFS Ktom there was never much of a chance i mentioned a few times the usual cravat's apply high ground will see snow and cold rain to low levels. Some may have a bit of sleet mixed in but I'm not seeing much to write home about.
  19. Nick2373
    06z Like post early not the best and reducing the cold spell to a three day event further South, ether we will see a turn around on the 12z or further downgrades to a blink and you'll miss it special
  20. Nick2373
    Not much being said about the 06z slightly underwhelming Scotland's high ground will do well.
  21. Nick2373
    That's why i ended the sentence with its 7 days out and it can change.
  22. Nick2373
    00z What does this tell us, something colder yes, but to be honest and not dress it up it looks a messy picture for many with wintery conditions restricted to higher ground cold rain for some with sleet mixed in, Then around the 06th,07th December a return to something of just below average or slightly above, but this is 7 days out so could change
  23. Nick2373
    Good Morning, There's a lot of he's behind you posts this morning must be panto season then, Anyway the 00z shows the decline in temps from the 24th delivering something colder of late, then we see a milder front push in on the 27th bring light rain pushing westwards. after that looks to be a cold spell from the 28th to the 05/06th of December but as always remember anything past five days is FI.
  24. Nick2373
    That wont happen, may see wintery conditions higher ground coastal areas cold rain matter of fact rain pushing in from the west for the 27th.
  25. Nick2373
    18z Shows a cold spell from the 30th to 05th of December then a suggestion of something warmer with ppn spikes picking up to.
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