mushymanrob

faint at kborn now... cant see them further west.. yet..

just seen...

cloudy here...

It cant have done, that would be a daily record, any 34c was unofficial..

.......... thats not "early" june though.. im aware of later june heat, im trying to find out just how this years heatwave compares to those of the past.. theres no 34c in 2005 on the 20th... not according to torro, the date record is 32.2c set in jersey in 1917............ 32.6 on the 19th.. is that it? not a date record though

Night off, too cloudy

My Summer Index... (relative values of precip, sun,cet) 1 - 2006 2 - 2003 3 - 2009 4 - 2001 5 - 2000 6 - 2004 7 - 2005 8 - 2002 9 - 2008 10 - 2007

Yep... i now agree with you and @kold weather .... as the anomalies/eps now retains high pressure across Southern areas through until the end of the Month, with a mean Westerly but high "uppers", the overnight mimima will be quite high, plus well above average daytime maxs.. its certainly going to be close. Actually, ive just calculated the expected mean temps going off the current GFS max/min for the remaining days of June... i make it that going off current temperature predictions the last 12 days mean will be 18.6c.... if that is anything close, it means we will smash 1976's CET .. and possibly even 1846's 18.2c all time record!

flensburgs back.. are they faint ones right of the spire?

lindenberg, ettelsberg, husum... nowt... no reports...

nothing anywhere else though.... looks dud... again...

i think ettelsberg is promising...

ettelsburgs clear..

Looks like a huge display over moscow now... Flensburg offline..

hmm... thinned out now... it might be on after all..

cloudy tonight....

fair point, but from where im sitting a warm atlantic = cloud, that might mean milder nights but without raised daytime temps i cant see us getting another sustained 1c on the cet. anyway, lets just sit back and see....

sorry, it hasnt... June 1976 CET was 17c... and that included a long stretch in the last week with 30c+ . We are not going to get that now this year (now next weeks potential heatwave/plume is currently off the table). June 1976 has 6 daily temperature records standing, with no more extreme heat predicted on the charts - that too will not be topped this year Junes 1976's top temps were over 35c... again theres no sign of that in the current charts. Going off current outputs i cannot now see June beating 1976... But one year 1976's records will be broken, as we are a degree or so warmer now...

Its covered me here... ill not be out tonight but on the plus side i can drink

Ok... ive gone to Flensburg and used the slider under the current pic. Flensburgs an hour in front of us, NLCs started showing just after 2am their time so 1 am here... the same at Ettelesburg and Husum Nord. They all showed the first NLCs about 1 am our time... a little in front of us?... so maybe they can help predict morning sightings - but as they get dark around the same time as us arent much use predictive wise in the evenings? dunno.. we will see.

thanks.. i can "see" 1947 as several daily records are still standing. i remember 70 and 76, no 75?.. have you any idea where any data is?

Didnt think so... And i didnt see a thing on any euro cam either that would suggest a dawn veiwing possible.

Is there any correlation between morning displays and chances the following evening?

After a Spring without an early warm/hot spell, this current heatwave has took us a bit by surprise, as its been hotter and longer than anticipated. Today is the 7th successive days of 25c+ being reached, indeed 4 days have topped 30c, and 3 daily temperature records have been broken including the June 13th enigma.. But how common are such spells in early June?.. i dont know where to find the data, but when was the last time we had 7 consecutive days of 25c+ or 4 of 30c+ in the first half of June?

Im not happy about this development, the EPS has dropped the previously blocked outlook and now suggests more mobility and a deeper low to our near North... This is tied in to the current ops wobbling about pressure build next weekend and beyond. The question is - are these runs onto something? is our long term blocked pattern really going to be eroded, or are these charts over cooking to strength of the Atlantic influence? It must be noted that the NOAA charts that dont quite have this comfortably in range, support this pattern.