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Vikos

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Everything posted by Vikos

  1. Vikos
    Less people know that GFS after (imho) 240 has less data input in it's calculation and accuarcy drops dramaticly. So it often goes to return for "normal patterns", which for our region is west (at it's best) Hard to explain...
  2. Vikos
    BS presented by GFS known BIAS
  3. Vikos
    You're right. I have to mention, that I live on the continent, so I have a slightly better chance of prolonged (hard) cold here. Sorry, sometimes I just forget that this is a Brit's forum...
  4. Vikos
    After EC and GFSp are nearly on the same tracks, I would even raise this to a 85% outcome probabilty
  5. Vikos
    /off-topic I appriciate efforts in posting much info in one post, but could it be possible not to post "hundreds" of charts in one post? It firstly slows down the thread and second kills users on smartphones (useablilty/scrolling and data-traffic).
  6. Vikos
    EC Scenarios of 00z run, rock soild! +168h +240h +300h +348h
  7. Vikos
    Good morning! EC keeps delivering, those are epic eps for my region I can’t remember to have seen such cold ones in years... Nice is that GFSp joins EC, GFS op is bullcrap and starts full zyclogenesis with all the cold over NA. Not to be trusted anymore. Can go with DJT...
  8. Vikos
    Some small Similarities to 2010...
  9. Vikos
    Well, didn't know that. Call an Admin to remove it or replace it
  10. Vikos
    After strong incorrect forecasts that were too warm last year the ECMWF-ENSO forecasts from January 1, 2021 initially show a continuation of the La Niña conditions in the equatorial Pacific in the relevant Nino area 3.4 with SSTA of -0.5K and colder. The deviations are supposed to reach the neutral range in springtime 2021, but there is already a slight “kink” downwards in June / July 2021 even in the “warm computers” from ECMWF
  11. Vikos
    U mean this? Well,
  12. Vikos
    chill, mate. For me, it was just an info and a bit of sadness, that spain has more snowfall in one day than me had in the whole season so far. I can understand that there is a bit of sadness growing in us all, but at the end, it's just the weather, which we can't change. There are other things right now which are more alarming then snowfall in Spain... And I do provide some charts, also
  13. Vikos
    Record snow fall today in Madrid
  14. Vikos
    Only part-time there, rest in Germany... but snow and cold usually strikes Greece at the end of winter, like March... and if, it doesn’t last for more then a few days.
  15. Vikos
    (Better) Uppers...
  16. Vikos
    Just a tripol, nothin' special...
  17. Vikos
    EC 00z Clusters... this is stunning for that timeframe, +240h, +348h
  18. Vikos
    This! (!!!) + !!!!!....
  19. Vikos
    I love it...! let's get back to topic
  20. Vikos
    It's ok It's a bit hard for my to explain such difficult things in a (for me) foreign language. I try not to use google translate too much as it in many ways just kills the sense of my minds and mkes chopsuey of things
  21. Vikos
    No need to lol, I explained myself...
  22. Vikos
    I am sorry, but every SSW is different, and studies on impacts and outcomes are not finished. But we will see, for us on the continent things look good and you will have your chance of canal ice-skating
  23. Vikos
    Latest NOAA/NCEP
  24. Vikos
    Thank you! Adding current and forecasted ozone in 30hpa ->
  25. Vikos
    We still don't know if the SSW is a minor or major warming. Only that a ssw happend doesn't mean a lot. Also FU Berlin looks a bit promesing on easterlies around 60°N/1000hpa (which quite high in the north to be honest). The thing I don't like is that low impact on 30hpa and lower (atm!)
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