Battleground Snow
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I wish this and that TWO graph wernt available, as they can be confusing for newer members. They don't show all the members. They show % spreads Use the wetter charts or ecmwf own website to see all the members. You can see it's not an outlier. To be clear an outlier is a member that totally diverges from all of the other members at that particular point in time. Eg, the turquoise member 6 on the 23rd of January on this chart
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Yeah, if you compare it to gfs at just 102, it's quite a difference, and I think the gfs is playing catch up. 1. It effects how cold and how far south the plunge gets. 2. It encourages more Heights over Greenland which may determine the relative longevity of the pattern, re-enforcement of the high coming out of the states would be helpful too