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Everything posted by radiohead
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Too light be be noticeable at the surface.
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During the press conference, Evelyn Cusack was asked about similarities to 1982. She said that there were some similarities but she couldn't say whether it would be as bad as 1982, "it could be worse". She wasn't comfortable about predicting a number for snow totals apart from possibly "many cm".
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And so it begins...
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Some quite unbelievable charts for Ireland on Thursday/Friday. I think the UKMO is probably most realistic but expect to see plenty more changes.
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM follows the GFS with an intense low!- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12Z cranks the low up to 960mb. Some serious blizzard conditions for a time in parts of Ireland before a transition to rain. I think the GFS is overdoing the low this time though...- 1,198 replies
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like starting as snow everywhere then turning to snow for the majority with freezing rain in the far south.- 1,198 replies
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The charts for that : And now 2018 :
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
06Z GFS showing many parts still at 0 or below at midday on Saturday -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
An obvious error with the coding for precipitation-type graphics there. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
06Z ICON 120 -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's been a long wait. But the -12 uppers are now at hour 15 on the models. It felt like we were seeing this at hour 150+ for so long... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Time and time again, when looking at the archives of historical snow events, it's common to see that uppers were looking very "marginal". -
0Z ECM produces an "all snow" event for Ireland Thursday/Friday. Heavy snow with 90 km/h gusts hitting Dublin. A long time since anything like that has been seen.
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM 120. Looks like heavy snow for southern Ireland, Wales and inland areas of SW England at this time. Huge snowfall potential for some areas. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like heavy snow over Wales at 120 on the ECM -
I doubt it will surpass 2010 in terms of depth and longevity of cold surface temperatures. But in terms of snowfall this setup has the potential to deliver in a way that we haven't seen since the 1980s, for some parts possibly even even back before the 1980s....
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Incredible snowstorm on the 06Z GFS. Far more severe looking than 1982 if that came off. Parts of Ireland, Wales or SW England would be facing catastrophic conditions the like of which haven't been seen for many years if that happened. Can't fathom how massive the drifts would be with such strong winds and intense ppn. Stunning. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
SW England and Southern Ireland get about 14 inches of snow on the ECM from that low. Though I suspect it might be higher in reality. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
SW England possibly getting buried in snow from 144-168 on the ECM. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A major snow event for somewhere looking increasingly likely. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
radiohead replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ian McCaskill began his famous Feb 1991 "grim outlook" forecast by first highlighting the expectional warm temperatures in the eastern US. Such to see such nonsense talk of "propaganda" on this website, which is insulting to these professional forecasters. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM 168 should be spectacular.... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Somewhere is getting buried in several feet of snow on this chart. Incredible.