radiohead
-
Posts
1,671 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by radiohead
-
Looking a lot less developed on the far side of the Atlantic on the 12Z GFS at 144 hours compared to the 06Z. Could end up with a more southerly low...
-
Yes 10m 1 hour gusts.
-
12Z ICON has peak gusts of 193 kph at the end of the run with the storm still off shore.
-
12Z ICON is now developing the deep low that the GFS has been showing. It didn't appear on the 0Z ICON at all. Will be interesting to see how it progresses. Edit : End of the run
-
One more post just to illustrate how extreme the 18Z GFS run is. Here is comparison to the GFS on the day of the 2014 storm which produced a wind gust of 159 kph at Shannon Airport, the highest recorded there since 1961. Today's 18Z GFS on the right... vs
-
The peak wind shown here off the coast is just 8 kph shy of the windspeed of a Category 3 Major hurricane. These are mean winds, not gusts. Obviously this is very very unlikely to actually happen but it's rare to see anything like this in our neck of the woods even in FI model land.
-
18Z GFS has one of the tighest gradient "direct hits" I've ever seen.
-
12Z ECM also features that major storm shown on the GFS and GEM but it's further north on this model. High ground in Western Scotland with gusts up to 208 kph.
-
12Z GEM backs up the GFS. Impressive at that range.
-
12Z GFS.... Will be interesting to see the ECM later
-
Here comes trouble....it's already stronger than the 06Z GFS at this point and a bit further north.
-
Absolutely, maybe even to lower levels in places.
-
The GFS has done it again. Winds are off the scale on Meteociel
-
It's silly FI stuff that will no doubt change or disappear on the next run but look at those extreme winds in SW England and the major snowstorm over Ireland. This would be a major event if it ever happened.
-
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Impressive to see broad agreement between the 06Z GFS and the 0Z ECM at the distant range of 200+ hours. Looks like we may need to watch this period for potential stormy conditions. -
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
radiohead replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That is one serious storm for the south coast in FI on the ECM. Gusting up to 180 km/h in places... -
Well at least we won't have to deal with any more potential blizzards for another 30 years or so.... Wait a minute...
-
Swiss model has lost it's mind. Just the 51 inches for Wicklow...
-
Wow! Some extremely heavy precipitation showing over Brittany now.
-
Looks like it's going to be a pretty special event for us and you guys!
-
12Z HIRLAM. Almost 24 hours of continuous moderate or heavy snow shown here, some very heavy pulses, with strong winds. The model ends at 48 hours with snow still going. An historic snow episode for many places in the east and south, is looking very likely.
-
Since the criteria for a red warning is just 8cm, there will absolutely be red warnings. Just a matter of how extensive.
-
40-60cm for Dublin by Saturday morning on the 12Z ECM. For reference... Dublin Airport 1982 : 25m Casement 1962 : 45cm
-
18Z GFS has significantly less snow for Ireland than the 12Z. Still a lot to be resolved with what happens on Thursday/Friday. The low is different on every run.
-
It's quite insane to see this on the models at just 84 hours. 110-120 km/h gusts slamming the east coast during intense snowfall. Just for fun...
