SATSIGS

[Paul Sherman]

Hahahahaha "No" Chance

Paul S

[Stratos Ferric]

Well, one way or another, it's a cracking night for SATSIGs.

[Nick F]

Well they got the clearing skies bit right for Oxon. Maybe Abingdon has become autonomous of Oxfordshire, so is not included in Met office alerts, or it should be anyway.

[Paul Sherman]

BREAKING NEWS

SATSIGS WARNING LEVEL 15 - OUTBREAK IMMINENT

1030 BBC WEATHER SHOWS HUGE AREA OF SNOW CENTRED OVER ABINGDON!!!

This message will self destruct at 0801am on 24th January 2007

Paul S

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

[WhiteFox]

Oxfordshire

Heavy Snow 0100 Wed 24 0800 Wed 24

From the early hours of Wednesday morning heavy snow falls are expected to spread southwards across many parts of central and southern England with up to 5cm of snow accumulating in places,

Definitely deserves the ramp alert. Since when was "up to 5cm" ever classified as heavy snow? That ramp almost classifies as the highest of all: The Daily Express!

[mountain shadow]

Given the continued FI GFS charts, shouldn't a precautionary medium level ramp warning be issued for 14 days time?

[mountain shadow]

http://91.121.0.76/modeles/gens/run/gens-14-1-348.png

No SATSIGS comments on this, or all to busy playing in the slush?

[SMU]

SATSIGS ALERT 3 VEERING 4

EPICENTRE OF ALERT: SUSSEX-IN-THE-URALS

Just as a day is unto a thousand years in the eyes of the Lord (2 Peter 3 v8), so a mile and a week are unto a continent and a nano-second in the eyes of residents of Sussex, especially Bexleyvitch. SATSIGS is particularly admirational of the conflagration of time and distance in the statement "we are 200 miles from something spectacular".

Hi West-

Well- we made it in under the 200 mile estimated range- more nearer 100-

The lines of Convergence have conspired to send anything decent towards France- never mind-

Never mock the Zone of Southern Snows abililty to pick out the minute adjustment required in the models at 144!!!!!!....

S

[West is Best]

lol Steve!!!

I wonder though if 30 years ago we were always on the edge of the possibility of something dramatic here, both because of synoptics and temperatures. Now the whole centre has shifted further east so that the possible is closer to France/Germany, with us increasingly in the implausible zone? That's quite clumsily phrased, but I think there might be some metereological sense to it.

[SMU]

lol Steve!!!

I wonder though if 30 years ago we were always on the edge of the possibility of something dramatic here, both because of synoptics and temperatures. Now the whole centre has shifted further east so that the possible is closer to France/Germany, with us increasingly in the implausible zone? That's quite clumsily phrased, but I think there might be some metereological sense to it.

Well SF is always mentioning that the jet is Furtehr North- but what also goes with it is the Speed- IE FASTER-

With a faster jet PERHAPS we can get enough energy returning westwards & less off a 'hook' if you know'

S

[The Enforcer]

Oxfordshire

Heavy No 0100 Wed 24 0800 Wed 24

From the early hours of Wednesday morning heavy no falls are expected to spread southwards across many parts of central and southern England with puddles of up to 5cm deep accumulating in places, with a wintry mix on high ground. Following the nofall clearing skies may lead to icy stretches on untreated road surfaces, because the Council had to sell all the salt to cover the drop in central government funding, but at least it will be mild. The public are advised that Blair doesn't care and refer to the 'Highways Agency' for further advice on traffic disruption on motorways and trunk roads, as if you don't spend half of your life in queues already.

On reflection, I must have overstepped the mark this time, so the God of Weather decided to let me have a couple of centimetres of snow to shut me up for a bit.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SATSIGS WATCH - POTTERIES

Not strictly a ramp, but considering the default stance of the author - caveats duly noted - worthy of monitoring in case Mr Brown has been spending too much time in the Zone of Teleconnections:

I very much agree with GP, we could come close to something pretty exciting. The models are not handling the dropping AO with any sort of consistency.

All the pieces will need to come together, and with how things usually pan out, a near miss is probably the likeliest result, but you never know.

Edited January 26, 2007 by The Enforcer

[Stratos Ferric]

Marvellous stuff Stratos! And it's come out of hibernation not a moment too soon. Edit - brilliant map Nick!!!!!

Unusually, the south-west has been hit by a colder snap than many in recent days. If it happens again I'll start to think incantations have been chanted against the south-west levellers.

Might just be an aftershock: it's been a busy week down at SATSIGs island.

[PersianPaladin]

SATSIGS ALERT

Despite the terrible 12z ECM and GFS runs and now the release of the dissapointing De Bilt ECM ensembles, some members seem intent on saying "Sod that!" and ramping up a repeat of the GFS 06z as well as the cold prospects mid-month. Frustrated members are showing signs of adopting a "go for broke" attitude in ramping up the prospects of a very cold February, regardless of the consequences.

[PersianPaladin]

Level 1 tremor -

Detected: East Ireland.

[West is Best]

Level 1 tremor -

Detected: East Ireland.

Well done PP for detecting this. Some of us SATSIG watchers are slumbering. We may be in for some spectacular activity as the late season de-mob happy spirit takes over from the last vestiges of reason.

[PersianPaladin]

SATSIGS WATCH

Level 2 tremor detected from East Ireland. Ramping for 'major pattern change' possibilities for cold fans.

Forecast to drop to 1 or 0 tommorow.

Edited January 31, 2007 by PersianPaladin

[The Eagle]

SATSIGS WATCH

Level 2 tremor detected from East Ireland. Ramping for 'major pattern change' possibilities for cold fans.

Forecast to drop to 1 or 0 tommorow.

Forecast to rise to 5 tomorrow evening

[PersianPaladin]

Forecast to rise to 5 tomorrow evening

Hehehe

[PersianPaladin]

SATSIGS WATCH

Level 3 tremor detected - mainly based upon over-the-top ramping, "1982", etc.

- Location: Central england to east Ireland

[West is Best]

SATSIGS ALERT - 'HORS CATEGORIE'

Nomination for The Golden Ramp d'Or for winter 2006/7

from Burton-under-snow

for the work

"Widespread severe blizzards, -10C, reminiscent of the 1970's"

Le Golden Ramp d'Or will be awarded in March for any work of faction (sic) which, in the opinion of the judges, most successfully takes a truth and turns it into a masterpiece of fiction.

[West is Best]

If anyone ever had any doubt as to why SATSIGS is needed, they need only look at a few of the recent posts on the model hope thread. A particular gem:

"Many wouldn't pay much attention but battle Royale is upon us and Feb 07 will be remembered not for its severity but because of the breaking the 'even larger teapot' myth???. As early as next week is showing that, synoptics allegedly not achievable...well here they come. I think anyone punting for 3-4C CET are on the money. Look for potential more robust Scandi HP which will only be undercut and not shunted away"

An advancing front coming up against some cold air apparently heralds the end of the even larger teapot. I don't whether to laugh or cry. Mainly the former.

URGENT NOTICE TO ALL FELLOW SATSIGS': MANY RAMP ALERTS REQUIRED - WE'VE LOST CONTROL HERE!

[paul tall]

Somebody just made a reference to "60 years ago". Yes they really did.

[kippure]

Somebody just made a reference to "60 years ago". Yes they really did.

1947 :o

[paul tall]

Thats the one.