Heavy rain/storms Thurs 19/7 - Sat 21/7

[mark-anstee]

ive been up all night waiting for the storms so far had nothing seems to have fizzled out think i'll head off to bed

[Cableguy]

Moderate amount of rain - yes.

Something out of the ordinary - No.

Unless its still developing (which looks unlikely) not much more to come either

[derby4life]

had some cracking thundery rain last night about 11 pm ish ....I had forgotten how loud the thunder actually is and how bright the lightning is when its right on top of you at night time ...very very impressive :o

[Supacell]

Looking good for southern areas later on today as the rain band pushes north. Estofex have a level 1 out.

Pity i'm not in southern areas :o

[Lightning Hunter]

Main thundery activity staying over France this morning with mainly moderate bursts of rain over the UK.

We've collected around 8mm overnight and are now dry, if overcast.

[03jtrickey]

9.4mm so far here in Cheltenham; looking bleak outside with dark clouds and moderate rain. Occasional distant rumbles of thunder.

[The PIT]

Doesn't look like it's quite playing ball does it. I think the idea of four inches of rain in places will be over the top by quite a margin. Lets see how it develops though.

[03jtrickey]

EDIT: not so much forecast because of the rain that's just fallen Sorry, I'm tired this morning! For us they say 20-30mm more rain falling widely, with potential for 40-70mm.

Edited July 20, 2007 by 03jtrickey

[Herefordweather]

trickey, isn't that forecast until 9am?

Then the warning will be renewed.

I certainly don't think they are over playing it. We already have floods in parts of Hereford after Several Hours of Thundery rain.

[johnholmes]

my take for what its worth

looking around at the data available at about 0700BST today, Friday, and it seems about the same as was being predicted yesterday. perhaps just a touch down on rainfall totals but still enough to cause worries for those under the areas of heaviest rainfall and near to the main rivers to be affected.

Still the Severn and Trent catchment areas seem the most likely to be worst affected.

With embedded convective rainfall in the dynamic type then localised surface water is something that will occur for short spells in localised areas.

Obviously the main risk is for low lying areas as mentioned above through the weekend and especially up to the early hours of Saturday.

Edited July 20, 2007 by johnholmes

[The PIT]

Even the Met Office are downplaying it a bit now, perhaps now they're more sure of the situation. For us they say 20-30mm falling widely, with potential for 40-70mm. Still a lot of rain!

Just checked the warning page for us and although it's probably out of date it still very high amounts of rain possible.

[03jtrickey]

Heavy Rain 0900 Fri 20 1800 Fri 20

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/wm/...t_warnings.html

Issued at: 0641 Fri 20 Jul

This one's for the whole day.

I hope your flooding doesn't get any worse

Edited July 20, 2007 by 03jtrickey

[Herefordweather]

Add that onto the rain that fell last night and I know that here we would be pushing 100mm.

[johnholmes]

this is the 06z chart with my comments on it

[Neilsouth]

net weather forecasters got it slightly wrong about the storms in the se last night , there was none.. Glad i went to bed , but damn do i have a nasty headache atm

[Nick F]

net weather forecasters got it slightly wrong about the storms in the se last night , there was none.. Glad i went to bed , but damn do i have a nasty headache atm

There may not have been over you, but there were thunderstorms over South Kent, Hampshire and along the coast of Sussex in the early hours, some storms have been rumbling NW over Hants, Dorset, Wiltshire, Berks and Oxon over the last few hours too. T-storms are always hit and miss and last night I said they would be isolated.

Upper trough seen on the airmass imagery above pivoting across Sern England and Wales looks like sharpening through the morning into the afternoon, so downpours in the current rain band edging slowly North and NW may intensify across Southern areas this morning and central areas this afternoon.

As skies clear across Southern Counties to the South of the rain band this afternoon (roughly South of M4) warm moist air present is likely to become unstable to surface heating, with upper low and cold pool present, so heavy showers with thunder may develop over this area if the sun appears, these are likely to be slow moving with hail possible - with a dry air intrusion spreading across Sern areas.

[Terminal Moraine]

Several flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder between 1.30 and 1.50 this morning, seemed to be centred somewhere to the south east of me. A spell of moderate-heavy rain to go with it but I haven't been out to take the readings yet so don't know how much there was; I'll be surprised if it's more than 6mm.

T.M

[MR CB]

Incredible torrential bursts have just started in Eastbourne - looks like some new developments on the back edge of the rain band. Its been raining almost non-stop here for nearly 10 hours...

Edited July 20, 2007 by MR CB

[Lynxus]

Has a nice storm last nite, only like 10 flashes , but looked lovely from my window.

Fingers crossed for more today, Just rain at teh moment. However it is very humid round here.

[NL]

Satellite image over Fance, kinda reminds me of the MCS that hit Greensburg..

"copyright 2007 RSGB, University of Bern and NOAA"

Dont worry this wont produce an EF5 tornado though..!!

[Weatherfanman]

Ok well I can confirm it's raining and that the warnings of 90mm+ are quite possible..............managed only 11.6mm overnight, but in the hour following 7.30 am we've 13.7mm in the guage. You do the maths............

WFM

[Thunderman]

Morning all. I woke up at 5am to 0mm rain, now its 23mm and counting with loud thunder and rain so heavy it's like a fog outside. Freaky weather!

[03jtrickey]

Pretty heavy and very persistent rain now in Cheltenham.

[dogs32]

I can see why they mentioned floods if this keeps up here there will be

[Lynxus]

Just drizzle now in barnwood. ( Glos )