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September CET!

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Mr Maunder Apprentice

Mr Maunder

Posted
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL
Posted

Pleasant and predominantly settled, but without any spectacular warmth. These factors combined with some cool nights leads me to go for 14.2c.

MM

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

I would love to predict a below average CET the third in a row, however I am going to play cautious and say 13.9, only slightly above.

As many have stated it will be the night minima particularly earlier in the month which will have a great bearing on ensuring that we don't record a moderately above CET. I don't think we have any chance of recording a record breaking CET or even a high CET.

I expect a fairly dry month, and as normal conditions likely to break down around the autumn equinox. It is going to be a very pleasant month all round and very seasonal just how I like September to be. We will get the dry suny pleasant days but the early morning mists and dew will make for that autumnal feel.. Ooh I can't wait the descent into autumnal mellowness starts soon...

The most important thing longer term is that it will not be a month dominated by low pressure, mother nature has a habit of balancing herself out and I think the autumn on the whole will be quite dry helping to allieviate the real fear of further widespread catastrophic flooding..

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AtlanticFlamethrower Explorer

AtlanticFlamethrower

Posted
  • Location: South Woodham Ferrers, height 15 metres
  • Location: South Woodham Ferrers, height 15 metres
Posted

Sea temp anomalies around UK

- warm-cool to the West

- cool south

- cool north

- warm East (North Sea)

I'll add +0.5C to my CET prediction.

Perhaps this is the month for greater continental flow? Recent Autumns have been quite good. However latest ensembles do not look spectacular, and as we get into the month nights get longer, and it will get harder even with good weather to reach a very above average CET month.

14.4C (+0.7C above average)

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BLAST FROM THE PAST Maestro

BLAST FROM THE PAST

Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted

Fairly warm period from say 6-10 like I mentioned a while back. Now will the HP nudge ene and allow LP to crash over southern UK or will it split and HP to our wsw feeding in NW'ly dominate. I forecast a very wet latter half of Sept with predominantly average to cool conditions balancing the month CET out.....so 13.9c for me

BFTP

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ukmoose Newbie

ukmoose

Posted
  • Location: Buckingham
  • Location: Buckingham
Posted

Having been away for quite a while, I'm trying to catch up with what's been happening.

August has been a surprise, I have to admit. However, it does look as though September is going to have a settled and quite warm start, bucking the trend of the past few months but reverting to type for the last several Septembers. The first two weeks look pretty settled (in the south at least) and will be pleasantly warm. If the southerlies appear, it will be warm at night too so a warmer than average start looks more than likely.

The second half of September is the key. I can't see it cooling off dramatically even if it does become a little more unsettled so I am going to plump for a warmish month.

14.7 for September for me please. Thanks.

Moose

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Stargazer Seasoned

Stargazer

Posted
  • Location: Reading
  • Location: Reading
Posted

I'm guessing it'll be a generally quiet month, at least until around the equinox, with slightly above average temperatures overall (OK - I predicted above average for August too B) ). Let's say 14.3.

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Bottesford Experienced

Bottesford

Posted
  • Location: Berlin, Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Ample sunshine; Hot weather; Mixed winters with cold and mild spells
  • Location: Berlin, Germany
Posted

14.6c for me. A pleasent month ahead I think/hope/hope some more.

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Wynn D Woo Rising Star

Wynn D Woo

Posted
  • Location: Longlevens, 16m ASL (H)/Bradley Stoke, 75m ASL (W)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers, cold snowy winters
  • Location: Longlevens, 16m ASL (H)/Bradley Stoke, 75m ASL (W)
Posted

14.7c please

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Norrance Maestro

Norrance

Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee
Posted

I've been over the last two months so time for a change.

13.7C for me.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Author
Posted

13C: Fishdude

13.2C: Beng

13.3C: Eddie

13.7C: Snow-Man2006

13.7C: Norrance

13.8C: Rollo

13.9C: Snowyowl9

13.9C: Sundog

13.9C: DamianSlaw

13.9C: Blast From The Past

14C: Steve B

14C: Anti-Mild

14.1C: The PIT

14.1C: The Eye In The Sky

14.1C: Tamara G

14.2C: Gavin P

14.2C: Mr Maunder

14.2C: Mega Moon Flake

14.3C: Geordie Snow

14.3C: Steven Prudence

14.3C: Stargazer

14.4C: Mr Data

14.4C: Atlantic Flamethrower

14.5C: Summer Blizzard

14.5C: Ghrud

14.5C: Kold Weather

14.6C: Bottesford

14.7C: Don

14.7C: Storm Chaser 1

14.7C: Catch My Drift

14.7C: UK Moose

14.7C: Windswept

14.9C: Osbourne One-Nil

15C: Cymru

15C: Gavin P

15.1C: Shuggee

15.1C: Smith25

15.2C: Snowmaiden

15.3C: Kentish Man

15.5C: Optimus Prime

17C: Craig Evans

45 hours left for any changes/predictions...

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West is Best Seasoned

West is Best

Posted
  • Location: .
  • Location: .
Posted
45 hours left for any changes/predictions...

Biding my time on this one. Very very hard to tell what's happening with the high, which could determine the first 10 days.

On the other hand, Mrs WIB is in for the c-section tomorrow so I might forget to post. If I do then 14.9C for me please as a temporary guess pending proper analysis in the next day or so!

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Stu_London Rising Star

Stu_London

Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
Posted

A Warm start but the CET will fall away later in the month.

Overall a dry and sunny month - but no late heatwave.

The run of cooler months to end but also the run of well above average September's to end.

My punt 14.2C

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BLAST FROM THE PAST Maestro

BLAST FROM THE PAST

Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted

I may adjust my figure before the deadline........and if I do it will be down. 3RD below average month anyone :) The warm spell/interlude may not be as warm as initially thought ie maxes of 22 rather than 25+

BFTP

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noggin Aficionado

noggin

Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
Posted

I'll have a 13.3c please Bob.

On the other hand, Mrs WIB is in for the c-section tomorrow so I might forget to post. If I do then 14.9C for me please as a temporary guess pending proper analysis in the next day or so!

Very best wishes to Mrs WIB and yourself. You might find you have less time for analysis in the future, but all for the very best of reasons!

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

14.4 for me please :o

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VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted

After a terrible August prediction from me, I'm going to stick my neck out (for a change) and mark this September as the one that stopped the below average CETs. 15.2 for me, please.

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phil nw. Maestro

phil nw.

Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
Posted

14.0c for me please.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Author
Posted

13C: Fishdude

13.2C: Beng

13.3C: Eddie

13.3C: Noggin

13.6C: Memories of 63

13.7C: Snow-Man2006

13.7C: Norrance

13.8C: Rollo

13.8C: Tribe3000

13.9C: Snowyowl9

13.9C: Sundog

13.9C: DamianSlaw

13.9C: Blast From The Past

14C: Steve B

14C: Anti-Mild

14C: Phil n.works.

14.1C: The PIT

14.1C: The Eye In The Sky

14.1C: Tamara G

14.2C: Gavin P

14.2C: Mr Maunder

14.2C: Mega Moon Flake

14.2C: Stu London

14.3C: Geordie Snow

14.3C: Steven Prudence

14.3C: Stargazer

14.4C: Mr Data

14.4C: Atlantic Flamethrower

14.4C: Slipknot Sam

14.5C: Summer Blizzard

14.5C: Ghrud

14.5C: Kold Weather

14.6C: Bottesford

14.7C: Don

14.7C: Storm Chaser 1

14.7C: Catch My Drift

14.7C: UK Moose

14.7C: Windswept

14.8C: Snowhope

14.9C: Osbourne One-Nil

14.9C: West Is Best

15C: Cymru

15C: Gavin P

15.1C: Shuggee

15.1C: Smith25

15.2C: Snowmaiden

15.2C: Village Plank

15.3C: Kentish Man

15.5C: Optimus Prime

17C: Craig Evans

Less than 24 hours.....

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