Major Hurricane Felix

[Paranoid]

That's what i thought. Depends if the water temps off the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras are as warm as the rest of Caribbean, and also if being this close to land has had an effect on it's intensity.

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR

THE NICARAGUA-HONDURAS BORDER...

...COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH JUST AS IT CROSSES THE

COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS

NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM

LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO

PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR

THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF

BELIZE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE

PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO

PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE

HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A

TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...

110 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS

BORDER.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED

WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS

EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF

FELIX WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA IN A FEW

HOURS...AND WILL PROCEED INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY AND HONDURAS

LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT

INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW

NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS AN

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON

SCALE. ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE

HURRICANE REMAINS OVER WATER...AND FELIX COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE

STATUS JUST PRIOR TO CROSSING THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA

THIS MORNING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115

MILES...185 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 939

MB...27.73 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS

POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN

NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM

AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-

THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...82.5 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100

AM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB

[Paranoid]

An unconfirmed report that Felix is once again a Category 5. It is listed as such on Hurricane Felix's article on Wikipedia, but i'm suspicious as i can't seem to find an NHC advisory confirming it.

Also, i can never be sure with wikipedia, as someone seems to constantly edit the current storm information and set it back about 12 hours.

Page is here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Felix_%282007%29.

Edited September 4, 2007 by Paranoid

[January Snowstorm]

Yes cnn and bbc news now sayong this

[*Stormforce~beka*]

COnfirmed Cat 5!!

UPDATE

000WTNT61 KNHC 041040TCUAT1HURRICANE FELIX TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATENWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007640 AM AST TUE SEP 04 2007SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT HURRICANE FELIX HAS CONTINUED TOSTRENGTHEN...AND HAS BECOME A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORYFIVE HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 160 MPH...260KM/HR...JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.$$FORECASTER KNABB

[rixxxgolf]

Monster storm and in that part of the world, a fatal one

[Paranoid]

Has it made landfall yet? It was pretty close when we got the last update.

[Ned1]

Has it made landfall yet? It was pretty close when we got the last update.

Yes, Felix made landfall

HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007

800 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE FELIX MAKES LANDFALL IN

EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AT CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH...

[Paranoid]

Hmm, two Category 5 landfalls in one season. Has that ever happened before?

[Kain]

Wow 2 cat 5 landfalls one after the other!

That has to be some kind of record!

Kain

[Kiwi]

Wow 2 cat 5 landfalls one after the other!

That has to be some kind of record!

Kain

Yep first time ever that two Cat 5s have hit land in one season.

Looks bad for the Miskito indians who live along this low lying coastal area.

[kold weather]

wow, but not surprsing relaly as it did look extremely good on IR images, even now its a little inland it still has a cracking cat-4 type structure with some really intense convection around the eyewall, not quite as severe as Dean at its peak but i can only imagine we'll see some serious flooding from this system.

Indeed at landfall 160mph is probably a touch conservative, I'd guess seeing its sturcture Felix was closer to 165-170mph at landfall. The reason this was able to ramp up so fast from 135mph was simply because it was such a small compact system, the same way it ramped up fast then weakened nearly as fast, it was always possible for Felix to restrengthen rapidly again under relaly impressive upper atmopsheric condtions.

Felix should rapidly weaken inland as it goes over a mountainous region and with such a small system the system will weaken quite rapidly inland whilst at the same time dropping a lot of rainfall and having amazing wind power, at least for the first 3-6hrs into the track overland.

So yet ANOTHER historic hurricane in the 07 season and another landfalling cat-5, you don't get any in 15 years then two come along in less then a month!

Wouldn't like to be in the core where it made landfall.

Edited September 4, 2007 by kold weather

[the_white_stuff]

1886 was the last time two CAT-5's made landfall. SO I've read on the BBC site

Edited September 4, 2007 by the_white_stuff

[crimsone]

That's a record that won't be broken for a long time I think (and certainly hope!)... not 2 landfalling cat 5's in a single season, but 2 landfalling cat 5's within a month of each other... (now, I may be wrong, but wren't Dean and felix actually within 2 weeks of each other?). Truely amazing.

I can't help but to imagine there being some fairly serious mudslides from it though... I hope they aren't near any towns or villages...

What with the Pacific as well, it seems almost as though the entirety of Central America is getting a fairly serious soaking just lately.

Edited September 4, 2007 by crimsone

[Paranoid]

As far as i know tha 1886 claim is wrong. Unless there have been updates from the database team at the NHC, no Category 5's have been positivley identified before 1928.

[the_white_stuff]

BBC

Thats according to NOAA's records

Edited September 4, 2007 by the_white_stuff

[Paranoid]

Hmm, it's probably just Wikipedia being wrong again. :lol:

[saint]

monster,them poor people in its way :lol:

saint

[Bobby]

This is looking similar to Hurricane Mitch, and that killed thousands in a similar area.

[Arrows]

there's hardly no coverage of it on the news. Even though I believe it's stronger than Dean? The british media don't seem interested tbh. Looks impressive on the satalite

[Paranoid]

Hurricanes that don't hit the US don't get much coverage. More so on FOX, who were only reporting Dean and Felix because of a percieved threat to the US. So long as it doesn't hit thier precious country or their oil then they don't care.

[MAF]

can someone be kind enough to post latest sat pictures, my work pc is slower then a slow thing going slowly. thank you :lol:

[dvdfjojo]

Have a look at this photo taken from one of the recon aircraft inside the eye of Felix - it's amazing!

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/LRandyB/c...p;tstamp=200709

Edited September 4, 2007 by dvdfjojo

[cyclonic happiness]

I was looking at the tracks of last years hurricanes and this years and was just wondering what would cause this years to be so much more westerly than last years, which did the usual west from africa before taking a northeastwards turn towards europe? this is the 2006 season map. I was also wondering if the lack of storms managing to get this far north, would be aiding all of the northern blocking we have been seeing? sorry bout the post in this thread, wasn't sure where to put it, but i thought that people who know the most about hurricanes, would look at this one first :-)

Edited September 4, 2007 by cyclonic happiness

[crimsone]

The reason that the storms are moving towards the west so much this year so far and not the north has been because of a particularly strong Azores High.

sorry bout the post in this thread, wasn't sure where to put it, but i thought that people who know the most about hurricanes, would look at this one first :-)

A more suitable thread might have been 2007 Atlantic season; general discussion.

Edited September 4, 2007 by crimsone

[January Snowstorm]

I was looking at the tracks of last years hurricanes and this years and was just wondering what would cause this years to be so much more westerly than last years, which did the usual west from africa before taking a northeastwards turn towards europe?

The real reason is probably because the Americans are seeding and diverting the hurricanes.

It's called weather modification but they will never admit to it