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April CET


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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

I will go for 9.6ºC -the average of the two previous punts, a novel way of guessing the CET!

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Posted
  • Location: West Oxfordshire, 56m ASL
  • Location: West Oxfordshire, 56m ASL

Generaly settled and mild, warm at times. No significantly cold weather, probably only lasting a short time when we do get some. I'll go for 9.5, based purely off the ensembles for the week ahead and gut feeling.

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Posted
  • Location: South Derbyshire nr. Burton on Trent, Midlands, UK: alt 262 feet
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme winter cold,heavy bowing snow,freezing fog.Summer 2012
  • Location: South Derbyshire nr. Burton on Trent, Midlands, UK: alt 262 feet
Hi Paul

Enjoyed the cool 'April showers' type of the weekend :lol: Not sure though that April will live up to its varied name this time though - hence my prediction.

hi again T,

me too, great weekends weather. Yes it looks as though the first week will be more like May, but i am hoping after that we will revert to a weather type more akin to this pic lol, post-1046-1238435501_thumb.jpg hence my punt of 7.1c

Paul

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Posted
  • Location: Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Forecaster Centaurea Weather
  • Location: Worcestershire

Definate signs for pressure to drop in the North Atlantic and a more mobile flow pattern across the Northern Hemisphere.

Tropical convection is becoming surpressed across large parts of the tropics with upper level anticyclones dominating large parts of Africa, Indian Ocean and also the tropical Atlantic. This is likely to drop angular momentum globally with the GWO likely orbiting around phases 2/3.

http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/clfor/cfstaff/m...m/OLR/m.3d.html

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/gcm/gwo_40d.gif

A synoptic response will be a charging up of the Pacific and Asian Jets feeding into a weakening of the Azores ridge from its current displaced northward position.

Also some indications that the spell of weather from February through to March part influenced by an increasing westerly stratospheric wind has come to an end with the QBO now likely to weaken. This means that mid latitude highs (of the type seen throughout March) as a response are less likely.

Composites for GWO phases 2/3 and responses to the current hemispheric SSTA H5 anomalies:

Both suggestive of an unsettled weather type, not cold with a South-westerly or westerly vector.

So, somewhere around average seems the probability call. I'll notch up slightly given some concerns that the polar vortex will persist for some time longer (more higher pressure to our south-east).

8.4C please.

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Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

My guess for April is 8.8C please.

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

8.3c Although Spring will remain dry. If Sw'ly feed holds it could be a little higher.

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Southsea, Portsmouth, HANTS, UK
  • Location: Southsea, Portsmouth, HANTS, UK

First post here...Please put me in for:

8.1C

I reckon an above average 1st week will be superceded by wet and fairly cool weather for the remainder of the month.

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire

OK, I have decided to change my punt to

8.9C

Cheers

Edited by Don
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Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire

8.3c for me please =]

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