The 'no Storms Club 2009' Continued......

[Costa Del Fal]

Oh dear, I think this is where we don't agree. I'm sorry but for Birmingham, this year would have to go down as the poorest year for storms I've ever witnessed, I'm that serious! The thunderstorm in March and Aug 12 last year beats most storms this year apart from perhaps Apr 15. 2007 of course had the Jan 18 winter storm and May 31 classic thunderstorm.

This year so far has had nothing, I'm sorry it just hasn't. My family all say the same thing, thunderstorms in the Summer and snowfall in the Winter are nothing like they used to be, trust me on that. If only I had a really good camera to record all the storms when I was a kid, I would show you what kind of storms the Midlands can get, just as intense as the ones in the SE. But all I can go on, is my memory.

I do realise you have had many near misses this year. The 29th June storm is my best so far but April 15th games some fantastic CG's. You live in North Birmingham and im just about 2 miles off the Worcs border so were likely to have some differences. Stroms are very hit and miss and i think here has been unusually lucky this year as we often miss loads! Im happy with what ive had this year though i admit July has been an awful month and not far East has had alot of fun this month.

The Thunderstorm Count here: Thunder 2009: (10) Apr 15th,28th,May 15th(2) + 1 Funnel, 16th, Jun 10th,26th,27th,29th,July 6th

Edited July 31, 2009 by Blizzards

[Jane Louise]

August is the time for Chelt.

Our time is around t he corner......you heard it here first

August it is then dogs (but probably not lol) I will eat ma laptop if it happens lol

Do not worry Jane, your storm will come...how many times have you read that? :lol:

Lol weather 09 I've heard it too many times. I give up.

Jane Louise... 2015? Nah. I think next week (Thursday/Friday) is your resign from the NSC. (Can I take over if correct? )

Oh Phil,I'd be more then happy to pass the NSC over to you if I get at least one damn storm lol.

2015!!! :lol:

No i wont be unfair-the best of luck for August!

Thanks Blizzards, I don't wanna wait until 2015 aaaarrgghhhhh lol

[CardiffStorm]

How annoying. The last few days the storms have been predicted to be in the SE but today they've moved west closer to me.

I wasnt going to bother chasing these before today so I let my sister borrow my car for the day and now the storms are just over the bridge, perfect to chase.

[dogs32]

:lol: its not looking good...are we going to get this August storm as my prediction for Glos keep saying :o

[Jane Louise]

dogs, Sadly I really give up with storms now.:o It has been too long. I have been hoping that I would see just one little storm whilst I'm camping this summer, but nothing. I think I'll take up a new hobby at this rate lol.

If circumstances were different for me , I would go over to the states with you all next year.But that will never be. :lol:

Oh well!! There's always next year for a storm or two for Glos I suppose! l:wallbash:

[dogs32]

I know how you feel here...Fortunately I can see the best storm's on the planet.

feel sorry people like you who cannot go.

Still we have the rest of Aug/Sept to go...so not at the end yet :lol:

[Jane Louise]

I don't think there are any storms in the near future unless something pops up in the meantime. We really need a storm. Roll on september

[dogs32]

I don't think there are any storms in the near future unless something pops up in the meantime. We really need a storm. Roll on september

yes looking slim at present...Oh well might be the second in my life I havent seen a storm here....

Got to be honest I haven't much fath for a Storm here now but holding on to a thread of just maybe by the end of Aug

[Jane Louise]

yes looking slim at present...Oh well might be the second in my life I havent seen a storm here....

Got to be honest I haven't much fath for a Storm here now but holding on to a thread of just maybe by the end of Aug

I have just found this : But I'm sure it'll change.

Wednesday 19/8/09

Pressure remains high over the eastern half of the country today. This is going to be bringing more dry weather here with lots of sunshine. To the west cloud is going to be increasing bringing some outbreaks of rain. The rain is likely to be fairly showery in nature with the risk of a thunderstorms. Highs at 27C in eastern England, 21C in western Ireland.

Thursday 19/8/09

The threat of some thundery, showery rain edging eastwards during the course of today. There is the threat of the front becoming stuck over eastern parts of the country and could produce some heavy rain here before clearing into the North Sea. Brighter, cooler weather following from the west. Some showers over Scotland and western Ireland, these heavy at times. Tops of 24C in southeast England, 18C in western Scotland.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20090812

[dogs32]

excellent stuff...Jane...will my glos prediction come true?

[Thundery wintry showers]

All is not lost and as has been said, there is always September for good storm activity. Cooling upper level temps but still fairly warm surface creating steeper lapses, abit like April and May.

There is indeed. Thundery Septembers are rare but they do happen from time to time. I remember many areas had a thundery second half to September 1999, including one storm in Tyne & Wear when my house was hit by lightning.

[stingrays4]

Hi not one single thunderstorm so far this year here in Newbury . Heard the 'odd' rumble but not seen one single lightning 'flash'.

Think i'll start saving and join you lot on a tour one day

[Costa Del Fal]

Finally a possible risk next week. Chances dont look great right now but maybe something from the possible plume next week that will last a couple of days.

[Snowyowl9]

August has been a sleeper month last few years,the sleepiest augusts.

1990 rumbles of thunder

1991

1994

1998 1 crack of thunder

2006 1 brief rumble

2007

2008

2009 Nowt yet.

[Jane Louise]

Still looking good for Next Wednesday until Friday!! A friend sent me this info:

On Wednesday we've got a classic Spanish Plume scenario developing with high pressure to the east and a cold front and associated area of low pressure edging in from the Atlantic.Most places start Wednesday on a fine note, and for much of England and Wales it should stay fine and dry all day, but Scotland and Ireland will see the cold front pushing in from the west giving a band of heavy rain and thunderstorms. England and Wales will have lots of sunshine and as a result it'll be a hot day, with temps possibly reaching 27-28c. 28c is 83f. Under the heavy rain up north temps probably only 17-19c, so a big temperature grandiant setting up.Overnight the cold front will gradually push east and this could well set off some very heavy thuderstorms across England and Wales. Meanwhile it turns drier and cooler to the north.

Thursday will probably find the cold front strung out across Central and Eastern England giving a band of heavy rain and thunderstorms. This only gradyually clearing away into the north sea. Sunny spells and showers follow to the rest of the country on a fresh westerly wind. Still some heat left in the extreme south-east, 25c, but elsewhere much cooler, with temps of 16-20c.

Two Weather forum

Edited August 15, 2009 by Jane Louise

[ANYWEATHER]

Still looking good for Next Wednesday until Friday!! A friend sent me this info:

Hi Jane, we can all live in hope! Looking at the models I think at this stage, and I say that because its still a long way off, it does not look that good atm for thunderstorms, perhaps thundery rain but the models show virtually no forcing mechanisms for thunderstorms some of the ingredients are there but little else at the moment, so we will probably end up with just a damp squib...I really hope the models are wrong and my thoughts too but anyway heres hoping! ps...you never know our luck we might see one of these!!

[Tommyboy2007]

DONT YOU JUST LOVE OUR WEATHER!

THE ONLY "CERTAINTY" OF THE BRITISH WEATHER IS ITS "rubbish"!

Edited August 16, 2009 by Tommyboy2007

[Jane Louise]

<br />

<br />Still looking good for Next Wednesday until Friday!! A friend sent me this info:<br /><br />Hi Jane, we can all live in hope! Looking at the models I think at this stage, and I say that because its still a long way off, it does not look that good atm for thunderstorms, perhaps thundery rain but the models show virtually no forcing mechanisms for thunderstorms some of the ingredients are there but little else at the moment, so we will probably end up with just a damp squib...I really hope the models are wrong and my thoughts too but anyway heres hoping! <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/wallbash.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/excl.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/cray.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' />  ps...you never know our luck we might see one of these!! <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' /><br />

<br /><br /><br />

Awwww :-( The models have to be wrong!! I live in hope too.Let's hope it all changes within the next few days. :-)

DONT YOU JUST LOVE OUR WEATHER!

THE ONLY "CERTAINTY" OF THE BRITISH WEATHER IS ITS "rubbish"!

Grrrrrrr. I know! it's getting worst each year for thunderstorms in my area. Fingers crossed for Wednesday though!

[maidstone weather]

If anything happens here I would imagine it would be Thursday night - oh what a surprise!

[Phil UK]

Jane...

Permission to re-enter the exclusive NSC club puleeeze? Nothing since mid July and not looking too promising for next week either. South East looks best from Wednesday 19/8/09 onwards.

Phil.

[Jane Louise]

<br />Jane...<br /><br />Permission to re-enter the exclusive NSC club puleeeze? <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' /> Nothing since mid July and not looking too promising for next week either. South East looks best from Wednesday 19/8/09 onwards.<br /><br />Phil.<br />

<br /><br /><br />

Make yourself at home Phil, :-) I know you're a regular here! Blinkin storms they are non existent now grrrrr What a crap Summer for storms:-(

P.s My emoticons aren't working lol

[Phil UK]

I'm always regular, Jane. So far, so good.

But emoticons not working either, as with storms. I feel for you. I'll be doing a fleeting trip near Gloucestershire next month so I'll keep my camera in my pocket because no point in bothering whipping it out if no storms. (But the flooding of 5th/6th September 2008 was WOAH!! I've never seen fields look like lakes like that before.)

And thank you for inviting me back. I might be here for a while.

Phil.

[Jane Louise]

Hi Phil, You are always welcome here

Just thought I'd mention that there will be no need to get your camera out here in Glos lwhen u pop by lol.I can guarantee you there wont be a storm in sight (unless you bring one with you lol),which I know is very unlikely as you also have suffered terribly with a lack of storms this year .

I'm still keeping my eye on Thursday though... Lol

PPS..my emoticons are wworking again Lol

[Ross B]

I have not had a storm in Kilmarnock since April i think, and even that was only a few runbles and not overhead! Think i've had one day of thundery rain since but i'm not counting that as a storm.

Not sure i can really complain though since i went Storm chasing in May, got caught in flash floods in Dumbarton and went to Florida in June...

[dogs32]

dedicated to JaneLouise