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Convective/storm Discussion 5Th August >>

Lewis

By Lewis
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted (edited)

Why hello there! It electrical? Or just wet?

Certainly wet, potentially very wet!

Rmgfs123.gif

Rmgfs183.gif

EUMETSAT_MSG_MPE-westernEurope.jpg

Edited by Coast
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Cakie Seasoned

Cakie

Posted
  • Location: Up North like
  • Location: Up North like
Posted

Had some heavy rain come through here about half an hour ago and Mr Loo reckoned he heard a rumble of Thunder (might have been my stomach)

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

We have had a light shower here in the last hour, considering it was supposed to be dry today it came as a bit of a surprise.

Is it a little further West than expected?.

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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted (edited)

We have had a light shower here in the last hour, considering it was supposed to be dry today it came as a bit of a surprise.

Is it a little further West than expected?.

It seems to me Steve...

Even BBC this morning mentioned the Midlands could see a deluge of rain tonight..

Still areas like Hampshire to Linc are still in the threat Zone

edit HEAVY down pour here

Edited by dogs32
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Is this pulse running up across N/NW France now the event? I would expect it to burst with activity as it makes landfall along the S Coast...I just cant see us in the SE getting any action from it at this stage.

I am curious though as Estofex has most of France under a Level 1, and I know there was talk of a potential thundery L developing over France. I was just considering the possibilities of thunderstorms developing ahead of the front and maybe threatening the SE later on??

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Cheese Rice Community Regular

Cheese Rice

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
Posted

ukprec.png

No warning for me any more nea.gif , but the GFS ppn charts make me believe there should be a warning for more areas of Yorkshire cc_confused.gif

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

It seems to me Steve...

Even BBC this morning mentioned the Midlands could see a deluge of rain tonight..

Still areas like Hampshire to Linc are still in the threat Zone

edit HEAVY down pour here

Well at least we come into the game. I thought this area was well out of it.

Fingers crossed for later.

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MAF Experienced

MAF

Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London
Posted

Yes BBC mentioning there will be flash flooding in places due to the intense downfalls...

Looks nasty for the S/E later with an intense radar reading in N.France

:rofl:

sounds good to me Pat

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

Some rather interesting wind flow activity forecast for Northern France this evening (see attached).

This appears to develop a Low which scrapes past Kent and then up towards EA!

Thoughts?

EDIT - Note also the line of convergence which runs from the Midlands, around through EA then down towards the SE...

post-3790-1249559743061_thumb.jpg

Edited by Harry
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NorthNorfolkWeather Aficionado

NorthNorfolkWeather

Posted
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk
Posted

In West London, just started to get some clouds blocking the sun. had a milky sky earlier and feels very oppressive. Traveling back to Norfolk later this afternoon, for once I hope I avoid the storms.

Most of the stuff at the moment seems to be to the west of here, hope I can beat what's coming out of France, the 850 wind direction seems to be pushing them towards East Anglia

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

My guess (emphasis on the guess) blue = rain, yellow rain + possible TS

post-6667-1249560228009_thumb.gif

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chrisbell-nottheweatherman Accomplished

chrisbell-nottheweatherman

Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
Posted

Most of the stuff at the moment seems to be to the west of here, hope I can beat what's coming out of France, the 850 wind direction seems to be pushing them towards East Anglia

Really?

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Clouds darkening to my S now. :rofl:

Looks likely to be just rain though.:)

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Phil UK Apprentice

Phil UK

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. UK
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. UK
Posted

Looks to me like that area of PPN, perhaps weakly electrified and sporadic at this moment, I still maintain that the East and SE will see some very wet and sparkys fly across the sky late afternoon and maybe into well after dark. Still borderline though as to who gets what, and when.

At 12:01pm... This was the sky over Solihull... 22º Sun halo, indicative of a front approaching.

Phil.

post-8209-12495604729218_thumb.jpg

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Dorset_Weather Contributor

Dorset_Weather

Posted
  • Location: Blandford, Dorset 102m\334ft ASL
  • Location: Blandford, Dorset 102m\334ft ASL
Posted

Cheers Coast, gives me some idea of which direction to roughly head in.

I thing Portsmouth might be a good bet, anyone got any better ideas?

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

I thing Portsmouth might be a good bet, anyone got any better ideas?

:rofl:Portsdown Hill

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Just too far west I'm hoping the forecast will be wrong and it moves further west than predicted.

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StormChaser Apprentice

StormChaser

Posted
  • Location: Didcot - Oxfordshire,UK
  • Location: Didcot - Oxfordshire,UK
Posted

Looking at the NW lightning detector overlay it seems to be kicking off around Oxford.

It just whent through me 10 minuits ago i have footage:)

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