East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion

[lottiekent]

I have cloud but no snow, wind picked up and can hear persistant rumbles to my NE/East but no lightning

[snowking]

Well snow showers on and off through the evening here, looks like more to come, though nothing too heavy

Could be a few cms overnight if it carries on

Then we have tomorrow night too which could be interesting if the north sea gets to play and feeds some energy eastward through the band

Then of course we have monday/tuesday and that LP system

So much potential and a fascinating week ahead

SK

[Ben_Cambs]

Well snow showers on and off through the evening here, looks like more to come, though nothing too heavy

Could be a few cms overnight if it carries on

Then we have tomorrow night too which could be interesting if the north sea gets to play and feeds some energy eastward through the band

Then of course we have monday/tuesday and that LP system

So much potential and a fascinating week ahead

SK

Im looking foward to this week, maybe a inch more tonight if these showers do what they do, possibly 3 inches of snow tomorrow and like you said LP, which could give a dumping of snow!

[Great Plum]

Well, no snow since this morning but a good 4-5 inches to wake up to... (No OON, not like that! )

Anyway, cold here now and everything is like an ice rink... I guess we are too far west to get anymore snow tonight?

[maidstone weather]

Im looking foward to this week, maybe a inch more tonight if these showers do what they do, possibly 3 inches of snow tomorrow and like you said LP, which could give a dumping of snow!

I'd be more cautious about the LP on Monday night - it has a nasty mild sector with it. Might be the wrong side of marginal (well it usually is in Kent!)

[Ben_Cambs]

LP will bring rain to the south coast not snow so places like Kent may miss out and be on the wrong side of the marginal, but other factors include Upper air temps, dew point and wet bulb temperatures. I think Cambridge has a really good chance for snow on Tuesday

[TEITS]

Bitterly cold here at the moment with temps being -4C. Looks like snow is on its way and I see the Met O have put a warning out for my area with further snow during the night.

[Snow Cat]

Ooh we're back. What's happening in Dover? looks like some precipitation that way according to the radar but nothing here yet.

[Vesuvius]

I thought this was currently pegged as a snow event - early Sunday morning ?

[finny]

what's happening in east Kent then?

its snowing quite heavy, temps dropping and light dusting here

[Eye of the Storm]

Evening all.

We still have about 2-3 inches of lying snow here in Colchester and about 4-5 out in the fields. There have been some light snow showers this evening, hoping for a few cm's overnight!

[Snowy Bob]

Snowing here in Folkestone and it's laying - doubt we'll get much though...

[Dean E]

Bit off topic slightly, But there are reports that the channel tunnel has been closed due to servre weather in france.

Can't they send some back our way

[Snow Cat]

Lamppost report, some snowflakes flying around in the wind, a very icy blustery wind, temps gone up to 1c with the cloud cover was 0c earlier.

[Updraft]

Snow in Dover... quite heavy at times too... Laying but we need quite a bit more for it to cover everything.

[snowking]

I'd be more cautious about the LP on Monday night - it has a nasty mild sector with it. Might be the wrong side of marginal (well it usually is in Kent!)

Very much so and particularly south of the M4 if we are to see a classic channel low type setup its risky....having said that we're now in a setup the likes of which im not old enough to really remember from before (we're talking 1980's) where we have some residual very cold air trapped at the surface over the snowfields (with more snow to come) that should help those usually marginal factors be cancelled out. At this stage id fancy even if it did turn from snow to rain to turn back to snow again later

SK

[lottiekent]

Snowing here too now, only just started from the look of it as dusting on the bit by my front door where we'd trampled the earlier dusting away

[Snowy Bob]

Snow in Dover... quite heavy at times too... Laying but we need quite a bit more for it to cover everything.

laying easily here in Folkestone, be interesting just how much we get particularly as Rob Mcelwee was on the radio just 20 minutes ago saying 10-20cm could fall in East Kent tonight.

Just a tenth of that will do me, in light of the forecast for the rest of the weekend!

[Ben_Cambs]

Tomorrow night will be interesting, as the frontal band of snow crosses EA, if it picks up energy off the North Sea and intensifies and gives more snow than the Midlands etc

[PB22]

The 18Z GFS has prolonged the snow shower risk well into tomorrow now, and even intensifies it a bit around lunchtime before finally dying out:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/run/12-574.GIF?18-18

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/run/18-574.GIF?18-18

And then there is tomorrow night's potential:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/run/30-574.GIF?18-18

[snowking]

Well heavy snow here on and off for the last 10 mins with nothing over us on the radar....will be interesting in 15 mins or so to see if anything has formed over here on the radar or whether its not quite picking up everything

SK

[Updraft]

Rader does seem to be showing the band of showers drifting slightly south westerly all the time I think... so there's a good jobs worth of white fluffy precipitation on the way for us through the night I hope what Rob Mcelwee said will come true!

Edited December 18, 2009 by Updraft

[suffolkboy_]

The 18Z GFS has prolonged the snow shower risk well into tomorrow now, and even intensifies it a bit around lunchtime before finally dying out:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/run/12-574.GIF?18-18

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/run/18-574.GIF?18-18

And then there is tomorrow night's potential:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/run/30-574.GIF?18-18

With snow already sitting in many places in the East then falls could become quite significant by the end of the weekend. Then there's Tuesday!!

Also remember that there is likely to be very little if any snowmelt. With the longest nights of the year, very low nightime minima, and the sun very low in the sky, in rural areas there will definately be ice days. Only got to 0.3C here today for about 20 minutes before it dipped below freezing again.

I have a feeling that models are being way too progressive aswell, think the cold could be aroundfor 2-3 weeks as yet.

[Vesuvius]

BBC saying heavy snow Sunday morning (early morning folks) - 3 to 4 more inches poss

[Great Plum]

It has been a long time since I have seen snow falling on snow that fell from a previous day... I think we might be lucky this tine round!