East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion

[saint]

It's on.

[Ocean Transit]

Hmmm something about stones in the river... could have had a better forecaster

[Southender]

ian fergusons comment in the sw thread appears a worry. Check it out. Perhaps the low may not give us the snowy end to the week it is showing?

[Crepuscular Ray]

Strangely, I can't see anything in the models that agrees with any 1991-like scenarios for the south-east. But then, given that I've got elderly parents in the area - one of whom had a heart attack on Friday and has to be ferried between various check-ups over the next few days and has to get to a clinic high up on the south downs on Thursday for an injection that might stop him going blind in one eye - perhaps I'm just being a spoil sport or indulging in as much wishful-thinking as those who want 6 feet of snow for 3 months despite all the disruption it causes everyone else.

Please guys, remember that deep snow is not good for everyone.

Edited January 3, 2010 by crepuscular ray

[Snowydays]

Now he says the big snow event will fall on the weekend not Friday

[k66yla]

I know the snow is still on its way for the rest of the week but Dan played down that Country File forecast quite a bit, not very informative.

[Rob Deacon]

Yeah not so much snow shown on friday, moving it back a day by looks of it.

[slater]

just seen latest bbc week ahead weather...friday only showers now..

[Neilsouth]

Now he says the big snow event will fall on the weekend not Friday

Yep and it begins

[Sno' problem]

Looks like a bit of a downgrade from the Countrywise one from Tomasz earlier, looks like the chances of Tuesday night/Wednesday are fading slightly.

[stormwizard1976]

just watched bbc weather and i noticed rain in with that snow i hope im wrong but hey its a long way off yet

[Ocean Transit]

Remember the countryfile forecast is using the 12Z model data. That chart for Friday and the mention of snow for the weekend is a carbon copy of tonights ECM.

[slater]

good old tom..made a meal of it lunch time.dan was dead the opp

[Blake7]

I think we can take that forcast with a pinch of salt .... still on for Friday I reckon

[BarnetBlizzard]

Look, they have no idea how where and when the snow will fall in 5 days time. If anything, if the snow is moved back further that means it will last longer. Do not panic.

[Archie_Lewis]

Please please please tread carefully everyone!!

The main Snow event is now predicted for the weekend, that's a hell of a long way away in weather terms!

Amazing countryfile forecast - Band of sleet and snow crossing the country Monday night across the north then spreading further south Tuesday.

Heavy snow showers setting in Wednesday pushing further west Thursday!

Lets stop there..... ;-)

[kold weather]

Its not a problem for us and if anything tis better LS.

If you saw the countryfile forecast just now you'd see why, the low pressure takes longer to get out of the way and is a little stronger then was forecasted before. The 12z GFS shows what can happen in this set-up, notice just how much precip it gives on Wednesday/Thursday....

Friday remains a day where we will see the showers very likely to pack in, then Saturday could prove to be most interesting, the UKMO/GFS agreement with regards to the set-up for Saturday with a cold pool aloft is most interesting...

So if anything, its an upgrade for not just the SW, nor the SW, but a good chunk of England...

[Essexgooner]

The further it seems to get put back, doubts start to weather it will change within in the next 5 days.............. hope im wrong of course

[tinybill]

I think we can take that forcast with a pinch of salt .... still on for Friday I reckon

fri/sat could have had a better forcaster

[Blake7]

Heavy snow showers setting in Wednesday pushing further west Thursday!

Lets stop there..... ;-)

Agreed

[Shunter]

Looks like a bit of a downgrade from the Countrywise one from Tomasz earlier, looks like the chances of Tuesday night/Wednesday are fading slightly.

Isn't it always the same though?

The other side of the coin though is that the shower activity in the Thames Estuary appears to be intensifying and turning more Easterly. So maybe some more precipitation for this evening than was expected.

[kold weather]

The models have delayed the set-up for the end of the week but this is because the models have UPGRADED the possible snowfall for Wednesday....indeed Wednesday looks very similar to the set-up we had in December, big uncertainties though of course!

Every day from Tuesday through to at least Satrday/Sunday has a reasonable snow threat...its a BIG upgrade for our location because it agrees with the 12z GFS very closely!

[Snowydays]

Just looked at the 5 day forecast for tunbridge wells in Kent it says sunny!!!!what's going on?

[Neilsouth]

The models have delayed the set-up for the end of the week but this is because the models have UPGRADED the possible snowfall for Wednesday....indeed Wednesday looks very similar to the set-up we had in December, big uncertainties though of course!

Every day from Tuesday through to at least Satrday/Sunday has a reasonable snow threat...its a BIG upgrade for our location because it agrees with the 12z GFS very closely!

NOooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Damn you lot stealing our beautiful snow

[Southender]

Its not a problem for us and if anything tis better LS.

If you saw the countryfile forecast just now you'd see why, the low pressure takes longer to get out of the way and is a little stronger then was forecasted before. The 12z GFS shows what can happen in this set-up, notice just how much precip it gives on Wednesday/Thursday....

Friday remains a day where we will see the showers very likely to pack in, then Saturday could prove to be most interesting, the UKMO/GFS agreement with regards to the set-up for Saturday with a cold pool aloft is most interesting...

So if anything, its an upgrade for not just the SW, nor the SW, but a good chunk of England...

cheers mate. Ians comment makes me think the low is going to take a different track thats all?