Convective / Storm Chat And Discussion

[JonGill]

Its just stopped raining here.

Forgot to say some nice turbulent thundery looking skies here as the heavy rain came in even if no thunder here.

It did the same here. Went very dark to the south over the Blackdown Hills.

[Mesoscale]

ah im off to the pub for a few pints with the lads, nice and sunny here still nto expecting anything tonight! have fun everyone who does get storms!

[Mumbles]

Thunder, lightning rain and strong gusts here in Sherborne, Dorset!

[Me & angel fiance]

Looks to me like it is definitely making a NE track looping back over the last hour on met o radar. Even more noticeable on invent

[Kain]

Its muggy here but very calm. It feels almost wierd outside. Calm before the storms later I hope

[Lynxus]

Gone very still round here.

Sky does look stormy. We had some good convection to my North and west about 3 hours ago and a mackerel sky here also...

So thats a good sign ..

Fingers crossed it makes it here..

[Aceman]

you seen the huge ic strike aswell ??

multiple strikes, awesome storm!!

[Phantom2]

loud crack of thunder here in Rhoose, South Wales ..rain starting

[DeepSnow]

much darker clouds to the south of me

Similar here, dark clouds coming from the south east here, which is weird seeming the band is moving north/north east, should it not be coming from the south/south west or am i just being really stupid??

[weatherobsuk]

Stockport College webcam. currently under the storm which just skirted past here.

http://www.webviewcams.com/europe/united-kingdom/stockport-college

[angela lynne]

does anyone know if i will get a storm tonight or tomorrow ?

[andymusic]

loud crack of thunder here in Rhoose, South Wales ..rain starting

Nice one

getting extremely dark here - can't be far away if Rhoose just got hit

thunder spots of rain now outside - can feel my head a little tense/pain - good sign of storm pressure

Edited May 6, 2011 by andymusic

[Alex95]

Just had a brief shower - some isolated cells are developing in Northern England, though I doubt they'll turn thundery.

[mark-anstee]

Heavy rain just reached weston super mare no thunder as yet.

[Darren Bown]

Flash of lightning seen to the SE.

[Andy Pepler]

multi cg and ic strikes out of the little cell thats just passed us .

oh happy days

[catgirl]

Midlanders, how is it looking? I have a cling on 5 year old who won't let me look outside at the moment.

[Andy Pepler]

multiple strikes, awesome storm!!

oh yes and this is only the start

it should be over you as i type

its heading north towards melksham chippenham radstock way

[r6 steve]

just looking at euclid lightining strikes that clump of lightning seems to be heading for us south central peeps fingers and everything crossed!

[Kain]

Midlanders, how is it looking? I have a cling on 5 year old who won't let me look outside at the moment.

Nothing yet, were in a good spot for later on this evening tho!

Was in Wolvo today, was really muggy in the high street

[Jane Louise]

A TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION has been issued at 1830GMT on Friday May 6 2011

Valid from/until: 1830GMT-0900GMT on Friday May 6/Saturday May 7 2011 for the following regions

Parts of (see map)

Much of England

Much of Wales

Southern Scotland

THREATS

Wind gusts to 50mph; isolated hail to 2-3cm; frequent lightning; isolated tornadoes this evening in N England.

Plume of high theta e/w air is moving northwards into south-western parts of England. Upper trough along with warm advection in the lower levels has allowed thunderstorms to develop along the warm front across south-western parts. These will move NNE and N, with further development likely within the plume overnight. Other storms have formed over the higher ground of N Wales.

The storms will generally be elevated above a cool boundary layer overnight. Cloud-layer shear is fairly weak, meaning elevated mesocyclones are unlikely. However, reasonably stout updraughts are likely at times, and with reasonable CAPE in the mid-layers, severe hail may accompany the stronger cores. In addition, with 40 knots of flow at 850mb for a time, locally strong-marginally severe wind gusts are possible. However, the overall risk of organised severe thunderstorms seems fairly low, hence a WATCH is unlikely to be issued - even so, some organised strong thunderstorms are likely.

Storms developing across N England early this evening are surface-based, and have a short window in which they may produce an isolated tornado before they become elevated.

Later in the night, another trough will approach southern parts with a second area of showers and thunderstorms accompanying it. These will move northwards through Saturday. Surface-based storms are possible in places tomorrow, especially in central and northern parts. However, the overnight evolution and eventually distribution of convective cloud debris tomorrow morning means that defining risk areas is not possible at this time. Should surface based storms develop tomorrow, shear/instability profiles look sufficient for supercells with a large hail/damaging wind risk, along with isolated tornadoes. Further discussions and possible watches are likely.

Forecaster: RPK.

http://www.torro.org.uk/site/forecast.php

[willbaroo]

Just driven back along A350 from Melksham to Trowbridge and spotted two little cells producing a healthy amount of CC/CG strikes

There looks to be another much larger band of heavy rain following it.

Fingers crossed - i'm very tempted to chase this with a tripod and ND filters

[Paul]

Lightning beginning to crank up (from our 2 minute detector in extra)

[lfcdude]

well that cell missed devizes swear the weather gods hate me lol

[JonGill]

Definitely passed over here now, weak sun to the west & now a blackbird has started to sing!