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Significant Snow Risk This Weekend - General Discussion

Paul

By Paul
in Spring Weather Discussion

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

Also to add to the 12z the NMM has the whole thing as snow bar maybe the VERY back edge, thats much better than I was expecting actually.

Shows a snowfall rate of about 8cms in 3hrs for areas north of London which probably is a little heavier then what has been generally suggested.

Also slightly slower, which is SO KEY for enhancing the chances of it staying as snow.

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted (edited)

MUCH better 12's as expected for the frontal ground-

NAE looked excellent at 24 & 30-

GFS good

UKMO excellent- surface temp of 0c for ALL of sunday MAXIMA in the SE Corner & only 1c for the home counties-

WIB- its all snow mate & ITS COMING TOMORROW- The SKEWt's are great

What's your view for Surrey and Hants Steve for tomorrow evening/Sunday?

Edited by Don
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Rich_T Contributor

Rich_T

Posted
  • Location: UK, just south of Derby
  • Location: UK, just south of Derby
Posted

Im planning on doin g some driving around th Burton upon trent/Derby/Sheffield and possibly nottingham) area on Saturday, its not essentail that its done this week, would it be wise to delay my journey until next week?

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alijoe Apprentice

alijoe

Posted
  • Location: Magor - South Wales
  • Location: Magor - South Wales
Posted · Hidden by alijoe, February 3, 2012 - No reason given
Hidden by alijoe, February 3, 2012 - No reason given

Hi sorry to trouble you, my son and nephew are travelling to Aldershot tommorow to watch a football game, 3pm kickoff, do you know if this is going to affect that at all. Sorry but I don't understand all of this and just a bit cocered. Many thanks.

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Edlav Newbie

Edlav

Posted
  • Location: Thornton Cleveleys, Fylde Coast
  • Location: Thornton Cleveleys, Fylde Coast
Posted

Do any of the models factor in things like evaporative cooling at any stage in their runs i.e the high res end??

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

Also to add to the 12z the NMM has the whole thing as snow bar maybe the VERY back edge, thats much better than I was expecting actually.

Shows a snowfall rate of about 8cms in 3hrs for areas north of London which probably is a little heavier then what has been generally suggested.

Also slightly slower, which is SO KEY for enhancing the chances of it staying as snow.

Could be 15cms then as we are meant to get a least 6hrs of snowfall

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

Latest from the BBC!post-15503-0-53058100-1328288745_thumb.j

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phil nw. Maestro

phil nw.

Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
Posted

WIB may have had a point if it wasn`t for the solid cold block and the weaker Atlantic.

The fronts are not forecasted to make the usual straightforward eastward progression as it hits the cold air over us.

post-2026-0-44291000-1328288912_thumb.gi post-2026-0-35408100-1328288929_thumb.gi

This little develpment will stall everything and keep the Centre and East cold with the rain turning to snow.

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

post-12276-0-54006100-1328288822_thumb.g

A touch of frost... Scandinavia at 6am tomorrow morning.

Little bit nippy. :cold:

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DAVEY1980 Newbie

DAVEY1980

Posted
Posted

From past events its very likely that as this front moves east its going to really really struggle to makes progress as it hits the frigid air across the spine of the country. No model is going to pick this up until within 6 hours! I'd expect the forecasts to start reflecting this within the next few hours! Could well be that north-west London ends up as the sweet spot.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Seems as though this is the GFS vs ECM..

post-12276-0-54006100-1328288822_thumb.g

A touch of frost... Scandinavia at 6am tomorrow morning.

Ah, just scraping an air frost then.

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If Wishes made Weather Explorer

If Wishes made Weather

Posted
  • Location: Bishop's Stortford in England and Klingenmünster in Germany
  • Location: Bishop's Stortford in England and Klingenmünster in Germany
Posted

post-12276-0-54006100-1328288822_thumb.g

A touch of frost... Scandinavia at 6am tomorrow morning.

That would kill people here as the national grid and gas supplies would surely fail with everyones heating on full tack.

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DAVEY1980 Newbie

DAVEY1980

Posted
Posted

From past events its very likely that as this front moves east its going to really really struggle to makes progress as it hits the frigid air across the spine of the country. No model is going to pick this up until within 6 hours! I'd expect the forecasts to start reflecting this within the next few hours! Could well be that north-west London ends up as the sweet spot.

Looks like the latest forecast is already picking this up! Snow looks more extensive right down to the coast or near.

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

I'm surprised they don't think it will be snow south of london...

Looks to me like there's no precips there at all, remember they are crappy BBC graphics, but fun all the same!

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Beasterly Apprentice

Beasterly

Posted
  • Location: Kidlington, Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine & Snow
  • Location: Kidlington, Oxfordshire
Posted

I'm surprised they don't think it will be snow south of london...

Things will change closer to the event. :p

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Great Plum Rising Star

Great Plum

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
Posted

Looks to me like there's no precips there at all, remember they are crappy BBC graphics, but fun all the same!

Indeed not... Driving back from Suffolk to Reigate today, the motorway warning signs suggested a 'severe weather event on Saturday...' I'm expecting tornadoes...

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted (edited)

Indeed not... Driving back from Suffolk to Reigate today, the motorway warning signs suggested a 'severe weather event on Saturday...' I'm expecting tornadoes...

The amount of times I've seen them signs, 4 inches of snow just isn't severe in my eyes.

Edited by Eskimo
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