Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts - April 2012 part 3

[bobbydog]

Cells keep dying as they cross over Wales - why!

most things do....

[Costa Del Fal]

Looks like there is a storm just West of Stourbridge now.

[sunny scunny]

It's hammering down here but no thunder as yet.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Look at all those showers coming over north Wales through Oxford! Later today could get very interesting for the south easy if they continue to build had one rumble of thunder so far today

[Staffordshire]

Just had a nice cell with a gust front, and 10-15 mins of heavy rain.

[IanR]

More chance of seeing flying pigs than a thunderstorm here

[Chris.R]

I think even flying pigs is to much to ask for north west england

[Cheshire Freeze]

More chance of seeing flying pigs than a thunderstorm here

Yep same old story once again here- nothing doing. It's not as if we are merely dodging the showers and being unlucky.....there's just nowt forming here

What baffles me is even though it was perfectly clear yesterday that there would be no storm activity for NW England, it was included in BBC graphics and various convective outlooks?

Edited April 21, 2012 by CreweCold

[Raidan]

Not a drop of rain here all day just glorious sunshine so we've decided to have a barbeque,got more chance of world war 3 breaking out than a thunderstorm here.

[MP-R]

So many cbs - so little happening. April sun get to work!!

[Brad]

Can see plenty of convection here, fingers crossed, some really photogenic skies of late.

Edited April 21, 2012 by Brad

[Kain]

Well since about 10ish we have had Cb's passing by one after another but nothing comes from them. The tops are not very high before they seem to anvil off so it's pretty capped up there. Still some nice photo ops. Ayr on channel 4 looked pretty good the cell there in the background.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Still 2-3 hours of strong sunshine to beef those showers up hold tight people don't forget we got tomorrow too!

[Costa Del Fal]

Well since about 10ish we have had Cb's passing by one after another but nothing comes from them. The tops are not very high before they seem to anvil off so it's pretty capped up there. Still some nice photo ops. Ayr on channel 4 looked pretty good the cell there in the background.

Ahh youve been unlucky. We had a strong hail shower from your direction (WNW Of here Bridgnorth is) plus a recent Thunderstorm just SW of here although short lived.

[03jtrickey]

Still waiting for a proper thunderstorm! I'm back in Oxford now but think the fairly electrified one nearby is going to pass just too far south!

[Cheshire Freeze]

As for tomorrow's potential....GFS actually show slight convergence for a strip across N Wales, into the N Midlands and southern areas of NW England with some decent CAPE to boot. Now I just have to pray it stays that way.....

[Kain]

Ahh youve been unlucky. We had a strong hail shower from your direction (WNW Of here Bridgnorth is) plus a recent Thunderstorm just SW of here although short lived.

Yeah I saw on the radar theres some beefy stuff around our neck of the woods, but the Bridgnorth shield holds firm! Looking to the north now out my livingroom window and there are 2 big Cb's floating by with very dark bases towards Much Wenlock. Don't look like they are doing anything though.

[johnholmes]

For those of you currently disappointed with a lack of showers/thunderstorms I would take a look at the link below-insert the dates for as long as you wish, click on the ascent you wish to look at and see how the profile changes. The detail in these, relevant to your area, is what you need to decide if you are going to see much shower activity, along of course with watching the radar. The ascents will indicate before the radar starts to show them IF your area is likely to get any.

If unfamiliar with skew-t diagrams then turn to the Guide on this in Net Weather or Google skew-t and try whichever tutorial you prefer. It makes the fascinating watching for storms even more so and more reliable.

Go on try it and be amazed!

link

http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html

Edited April 21, 2012 by johnholmes

[StormChaseUK]

Some hail in Shropshire this afternoon

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RvSEAk0L0A4

[Kain]

Some hail in Shropshire this afternoon

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RvSEAk0L0A4

Looks like that shower is about to hit me, its going very black here as the Cb approches. Been watching it arrive from towards the Clee Hills so yeah about Ludlow area

[Eye to the sky]

Short sharp shower of hail here,giving temporary covering on grass,distant rumble of thunder probably over Eastwood 10 miles SE of here.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

these cells popped up in the last 20-30 mins..Looking good!

[Lauren]

It's weird having a quick look back over threads this time last year. The SE and NW have practically reversed positions. We were dying for some convectivity this time last year!

[MP-R]

Well a cb has quickly developed out of a small congestus to the NW of here just over the course of 10 minutes but nothing much following behind in Wales. cb tops are also spreading out quite a bit here blocking the sun.

[SteveB]

Well a cb has quickly developed out of a small congestus to the NW of here just over the course of 10 minutes but nothing much following behind in Wales. cb tops are also spreading out quite a bit here blocking the sun.

I think its game over for here today. Seems our standard fair is for storms to develop mid morning & move west to east, then die out here in the afternoon while continuing and getting stronger further east.

Until the winds come from a more southerly flow, we won't getting anything decent from this set-up.