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Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 3rd July 2012>

Jane Louise
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Stuart Experienced

Stuart

Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn
Posted (edited)

Sod it! After all those years'in Inverness, missing all the storms. And - now look what happens!bad.gif

That 2 storms this year since i moved here laugh.png

Edited by Stuart
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Wonder what it'll be like here in Gloucestershire tomorrow. Met office curls the rain around us in disgust and heads down to Cornwall allowing us to stay less wet. Other models have rainfall hammering heaviest just to our north and still giving us a soaking.

Will be interesting to see how this system pans out as it crosses england and which models were closest.

It will be a wonderful sunny day tomorrow. ;)

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

It will be a wonderful sunny day tomorrow. tease.gif

Now that would be funny!rofl.gif

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

That 2 storms this year since i moved here laugh.png

You jammy bar steward!rofl.gif

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Big black cloud moving over town right now with a developing wall cloud. No lightening or Thunder shows very well here http://93.97.81.219:8151/en/quicktime_player.asp

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

a bit what? blink.png

A bit real/bad. I think it's a northern term. By eck it's a plane sorta day tha knows. :D

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Trancemaster1966 Newbie

Trancemaster1966

Posted
  • Location: Irvine, North Ayrshire, West Coast, SW Scotland
  • Location: Irvine, North Ayrshire, West Coast, SW Scotland
Posted

At least the cafe by Ardrossan beach will be doing a good trade? Nice cafe that, btw.good.gif

It's approximately 50 yards from where I'm working right now. blum.gif

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jamesbhx Explorer

jamesbhx

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, W. Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Fog, Drizzle, Rain, Wind and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Horsham, W. Sussex
Posted

Funnel cloud reported at Jersey airport around 1520 this afternoon.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Well the 12z GFS places the heavier ppn back north over northern parts of England, a large jump again compared to the 6z.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

Well the 12z GFS places the heavier ppn back north over northern parts of England, a large jump again compared to the 6z.

I think somewhere between Leeds and Birmingham will see the highest totals....this doesn't really narrow it down I know.....

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Hodr Rookie

Hodr

Posted
  • Location: Halifax, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe thunderstorms, strong wind, heavy snow
  • Location: Halifax, West Yorkshire
Posted

Another day of potential and another day of dissapointment here. Really sucks these past few years, we used to have massive storms in the 90s. The last proper storm was in 2005 I think and I've heard about 4 distant rumbles since then. sorry.gif . Still can't help watching the radar and looking at charts though. Temp 21c, 79% humidity, 17.7Dew Point.

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

I'd rather listen to what the MetO has to say, than go by model runs...And now I'll be proved wrong!laugh.png

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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

yes, its very dark to my east

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

Well the 12z GFS places the heavier ppn back north over northern parts of England, a large jump again compared to the 6z.

further north or just delayed? dont mind tomorrow whatever, just want it dry from sunday

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Bobby Seasoned

Bobby

Posted
Posted (edited)

Well the 12z GFS places the heavier ppn back north over northern parts of England, a large jump again compared to the 6z.

More it rather splits it with a heavy band going North and another one heading across Midlands/Wales and then SW England.

30-779_sxo3.GIF

GFS accumulation shows SW England could be the wettest spot.

12070721_0512.gif

Edited by Barb-
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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

Well the 12z GFS places the heavier ppn back north over northern parts of England, a large jump again compared to the 6z.

Looking at it, I think there's an error in the run soemwhere....goes from this.....

http://cdn.nwstatic....2/24/ukprec.png

to this.....

http://cdn.nwstatic....2/27/ukprec.png

in just one frame. Very unlikely IMO

Edited by CreweCold
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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

Looking at it, I think there's an error in the run soemwhere....goes from this.....

http://cdn.nwstatic....2/24/ukprec.png

to this.....

http://cdn.nwstatic....2/27/ukprec.png

in just one frame. Very unlikely IMO

Or it has no bloody idea like everything/everyone else.

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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted

It will be a wonderful sunny day tomorrow. tease.gif

Well that would be better than the grey mess that's been floating about this week. :p

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

12070721_0512.gif

OK, Evidently none of these charts can agree any anything related to PPN.

I think due to how dynamic this situation is, its purely guess work ( Moreso than the normal forecast/guessing game ) The problem being something very slight could kickoff a massive amount of convection creating a monster cell anywhere.

Yes there is a "general" area that will probably be hit , But any convective stuff is anyones guess.

Some places where its showing near zero rain could suddenly bit hid by 50mm. So tomorrow is going to be very fun to watch.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Well it's been dry and sunny all day here. What's going on?

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picog Aficionado

picog

Posted
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
Posted

Well it's been dry and sunny all day here. What's going on?

You've been lucky, that's what's going on!

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