South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ December 12th 2012>

[Lauren]

Heavy snow all the way through Xmas week would be wonderful for 2 reasons:

It makes it extra festive.

I have the week off work so I can actually enjoy it.

[gottolovethisweather]

I know Ian F has kind of put the kibosh on this particular scenario, but you never know, I nay have been onto something remotely possible, yesterday evening. A continuing trend it is, but we still need it to firm up for a few more days yet.

http://forum.netweat...20#entry2445505

Heavy snow all the way through Xmas week would be wonderful for 2 reasons:

It makes it extra festive.

I have the week off work so I can actually enjoy it.

Too far away to be sure what may happen around the festive period but, it often is a period of great transition, you only have to look back through the archives to confirm such things.

Edited December 13, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[tinybill]

I know Ian F has kind of put the kibosh on this particular scenario, but you never know if I was onto something remotely possible, yesterday evening. A continuing trend, it is but we still need a few days yet.

http://forum.netweat...20#entry2445505

Too far away to be sure what may happen around the festive period but, it often is a period of great transition, you only have to look back through the archives to confirm such things.

looking the models are saying might get snow on the 22 ,23 after that rain it looks to me !!

http://www.meteociel...?mode=2&ech=204

Edited December 13, 2012 by tinybill

[john pike]

Hi all as I thought last night

Moisture being picked up today ahead of the weather coming in later

Giving wintry showers today

At present I have sleet showers

Re ecm I am going to watch strictly now at 120 so I can confirm fax gfs ecm and ensembles

I will do the odd ramp chart of the day to keep the interest going.

Back later with the fax charts

[gottolovethisweather]

And then I entertained an analysis of yesterday's GFS 12zs.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/75230-southwest-central-southern-england-regional-discussion/page__st__420#entry2445564

Who knows, as the date gets nearer or at least, we approach the period of interest, the end of next week could be looking very much different.

Edited December 13, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

looking the models are saying might get snow on the 22 ,23 after that rain it looks to me !!

http://www.meteociel...?mode=2&ech=204

That scenario would suit me, as I am snow starved, or rather my location is of late.

[shotski]

Probably been noted already but the Gem 00z very similar to the ECM with an E'stly of sorts around the festive period.

ECM not really backed up by its Ens at this stage but plenty of time for that.

Edited December 13, 2012 by shotski

[lewis028]

Snowing very lightly here at the moment

[gottolovethisweather]

And this post from Old Met Man from the MOD thread, only aids to further my interest, into the realms of fantasy island.

http://forum.netweat...20#entry2446666

When looking East, Steve Murr often uses the ECM ensembles, but here, I will look at the 12z comparisons, not from the ECM but from the GEFS.

Yesterday's T850s and then those of today. Note that the control line is much closer to the mean on today's output, with yesterday's going off on one.

Yesterday's precipitations and then todays.

The cooling trend from the 15th December is undeniable and I would suggest FI is sitting at the 19th December. Whilst, we are dealing with FI, if the trend were to maintain over the next few days then things will get interesting. Taking things literally, a white Xmas in Berlin could be a good bet, but of course with very low confidence at this stage.

Edited December 13, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[Suburban Streamer]

Some very light snow / sleet / something falling. Whatever it is its freezing wen it hits the ground - my path is like an ice rink!

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[Reefseeker]

My son was doubly depressed when we left Uxbridge at 8 this evening in 0 degrees and light rain.... all the way down the M25 and up the A3 to Surbiton... still 0 degrees and light drizzle. Don't think he'll get his dreamed of 'snow day' out of that:(

[Marie]

Temp is 5.6 here balmy I say

[No Balls Like Snow Balls]

The milder weather is coming, gone from -0.6c to -0.1c in last couple of hours :-(

[john pike]

the ensembles at present have fi at the 19th

lets see why

i think that low coming in from the west may be causing some problems

whats new

[Great Plum]

Just been out to Morrisons to do an emergency doughnut run... It's still cold but drizzling lightly... We have this to look forward to over the next week...

[Paul Sherman]

Drizzling here as well Bring on the Convection, surely that is the pay off for the next 7 days!

[Jo S]

Snowing very lightly here at the moment

Well nothing here still a very hard frost every where so i hope its going to come here

[lewis028]

Well nothing here still a very hard frost every where so i hope its going to come here

Was nothing to write home about, lasted about 5mins and if you blinked you missed it lol

Now time for the atlantics rain,wind and grey skies..what's new :/

[Jo S]

Was nothing to write home about, lasted about 5mins and if you blinked you missed it lol

Now time for the atlantics rain,wind and grey skies..what's new :/

I well im off to bed in 10 mins so maybe a tint weeny bit,before i go to bed

[Jo S]

Off to bed now,after i throw a dead mouse out ,which my cat just drooped by my feet,well it makes a change she normally brings me live mice,fogs, garden snakes and once she brought me a big rat argg,i had to chase it around at 2.30 am in the morning

Off to bed now,after i throw a dead mouse out ,which my cat just drooped by my feet,well it makes a change she normally brings me live mice,fogs, garden snakes and once she brought me a big rat argg,i had to chase it around at 2.30 am in the morning

Lol i mean frogs

[gottolovethisweather]

-0.1c AT right now and -0.7c Dewpoint, complete with wet roads outside. I am wondering if I've missed a few flakes now or is it an even worse phenomonen than that, freezing rain.

[john pike]

tomorrow looks horrid

50 mph gusts and some very heavy rain

10-11 degrees but will not feel it

low lying areas will be prone to flooding

friday night stills looks windy

however although there will be showers they should be quick moving and not too heavy

saturday looks windy still

dry until the afternoon where the possibility of some thundery showers look possible

11-12 degrees

saturday night still windy south of the river easing north

mainly dry although east anglia has a chance of evening showers

sunday looks breezy but dry 9 degrees

good for mk to wash her smalls

monday looks less windy

showers brewing during the afternoon poss thunder again

starting to feel colder again

tuesday looks breezy and dry am

showers later pm

feeling chilly again 7-8 degrees

expect a frost in the evening

note 528 dam air to our north east

warmer air to our south west

let battle commence

[abruzzi spur]

My son was doubly depressed when we left Uxbridge at 8 this evening in 0 degrees and light rain.... all the way down the M25 and up the A3 to Surbiton... still 0 degrees and light drizzle. Don't think he'll get his dreamed of 'snow day' out of that:(

Hi Reef

I had the same thing driving home; left the office about 7pm, hit drizzle half way home and it got heavier but refused to turn to snow even at the high point of the journey at 210m despite (i) my imploring and (ii) the gound level temp being 1c, according to the car reading. Still very soggy now, and getting less cold by the hour.

Looks like it could get quite wild tomorrow. Never mind that though, the weather could also be interesting!

AS

[abruzzi spur]

I am going to watch strictly now

I am hoping for Denise to win, I had no idea you were a fan John!

AS

Edited December 13, 2012 by abruzzi spur