EML Network Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Epsom, Surrey, 100 Meters above sea level Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme Location: Epsom, Surrey, 100 Meters above sea level Share Posted January 9, 2013 Well I am struggling to see what the problem with this run is, unless I am looking at the wrong charts. + 120 and nearly the whole of the UK is still under - 5 uppers with - 10 uppers knocking on the East ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathizard Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Brighton, East Sussex Location: Brighton, East Sussex Share Posted January 9, 2013 Surely from the tilt at 126 we are never going to get a greenland high? Titled more towards scandi? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wilxy Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL Share Posted January 9, 2013 Well I am struggling to see what the problem with this run is, unless I am looking at the wrong charts. + 120 and nearly the whole of the UK is still under - 5 uppers with - 10 uppers knocking on the East ? Much better than last 2 runs i rekon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluearmy Posted January 9, 2013 Location: st albans Location: st albans Share Posted January 9, 2013 gfs doesnt dive the shortwave to the west so the euro trough isnt replenished and the CAA from the east will less impressive than ecm/gem. probably more like the 00z gfs and fairky blocked, settled and cold next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcweather Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Broadmayne, West Dorset Weather Preferences: Snowfall in particular but most aspects of weather, hate hot and humid. Location: Broadmayne, West Dorset Share Posted January 9, 2013 Better WAA up west coast of Greenbland at 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panayiotis Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare* Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni Share Posted January 9, 2013 (edited) Much better than last 2 runs i rekon. Yes much better with heights further north than the flattened 06z at 126hrs. Edited January 9, 2013 by Panayiotis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowy Liverpool Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Liverpool/Leeds Location: Liverpool/Leeds Share Posted January 9, 2013 Could the high pressure be strong enough to stop those 2 lows from linking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ali1977 Posted January 9, 2013 Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL Share Posted January 9, 2013 Could we get a northerly from the low above Scandinavia !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy_leics22 Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Ratby, Leicester. Weather Preferences: Snow, storms Location: Ratby, Leicester. Share Posted January 9, 2013 BINGO! 12z brushes the 06z run off like the bad penny it was 12z... 06z... Miles apart, thankfully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea Share Posted January 9, 2013 Might sink but just goes too show that how inconsistent the models are being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick sussex Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus . Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus . Share Posted January 9, 2013 The UKMO has a shorter easterly but a much better upstream pattern at T96hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-uksnow- Posted January 9, 2013 Location: OSLO, Norway Weather Preferences: Snow, Storms, Heat, Thunderstorms Location: OSLO, Norway Share Posted January 9, 2013 A good leap in the right direction for the GFS, makes for huge differences and shows just how early FI really is. I would expect a watered down ECM tonight with a further backtrack from the GFS on the 18z.. tentative signs eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LomondSnowstorm Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl) Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl) Share Posted January 9, 2013 UKMO looks fine at +96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Methuselah Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Beccles, Suffolk. Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine... Location: Beccles, Suffolk. Share Posted January 9, 2013 (edited) Nudge, nudge; wink, win...http://forum.netweat...n-ramp-go-nuts/ Edited January 9, 2013 by Rybris Ponce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman31 Posted January 9, 2013 Location: NW London Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms Location: NW London Share Posted January 9, 2013 BINGO! 12z brushes the 06z run off like the bad penny it was 12z... 06z... Miles apart, thankfully! doesn't the gfs 12 just delay the atlantic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harsh Climate Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Kippax (Leeds) 63m Location: Kippax (Leeds) 63m Share Posted January 9, 2013 (edited) We could really do with that low to the west of iceland heading up the western side of greenland, if that was to happen it would be plain sailing to a truly great set-up! Hopefully future runs will have it further west. Edited January 9, 2013 by Harsh Climate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southender Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex. Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex. Share Posted January 9, 2013 She is trying desperately to get in that Iceland door. But fails. Much better than the 6z though, much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goosey007 Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Rogerstone/Risca South Wales Weather Preferences: Blizzards in winter Hot and sunny in summer...other is simply boring!! Location: Rogerstone/Risca South Wales Share Posted January 9, 2013 funny how the GFS this time yesterday was the shining light and ECM the party pooper how things have changed though all is not lost lost ..I feel we should concentrate on this saturday and sunday best chance of snow in my area since December 2010!! And i more than happy with that.............. short wave or no short wave at t96!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathizard Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Brighton, East Sussex Location: Brighton, East Sussex Share Posted January 9, 2013 How consistent has the UKMO been the last few days while the other models have been flipping? Or am I just imagining it? Still out to 144 and good signs, probably worthless looking further at the moment, thank god we have got away from the flat pattern! ECM will probably go flat as a pancake now, what normally happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmytour Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Broxbourne, Herts Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow Location: Broxbourne, Herts Share Posted January 9, 2013 12mb difference in London at T132....think that emphasis the volatility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceberg Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Dorset Location: Dorset Share Posted January 9, 2013 Massive backtrack from the GFS given that its in the <144 timeframe, UKMET a superb 12z run right on schedule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 UKMO 12z +120 better than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shuggee Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL Share Posted January 9, 2013 A quick comparison: 00h00 on Tuesday T+132 12GFS T+144 00z ECM So having ducked the early return of a westerly flow in this GFS run - still absolutely huge differences between the two big guns 5 days out. 12z UKMO going with the 00z ECM... What a palaver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harsh Climate Posted January 9, 2013 Location: Kippax (Leeds) 63m Location: Kippax (Leeds) 63m Share Posted January 9, 2013 UKMO 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluearmy Posted January 9, 2013 Location: st albans Location: st albans Share Posted January 9, 2013 gfs better than the 06z but not in the saem league as yesterday. ukmo looks consistent with its 00z run. energy will drop to our ne at day 6. ecm had this to our west. ecm route better but ukmo still a good winter run. note ukmo at T72 has snow from se england across to n wales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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