Yorkshire & Lincolnshire Regional Discussion 15/01/13 18z------>

[LeeSnowFan]

@MattHugo81E Yorkshire at risk of snow showers moving in off the North Sea, but as for snow from the W, little risk now really.

[Aaron]

This is what NAE is now showing..

[LeeSnowFan]

This is what NAE is now showing..

Well things can change in a space of hours last night we was all set for big snow event today were not like I say it could all change later heres hoping! but from the chart above still shows snow for yorkshire perhaps 2-5cm and not 15cm as was expected previously

[Aaron]

Likewise ECM says snow from 5amish - 7pmish for Leeds/York, even longer for Sheffield and Lincoln.

Edited January 17, 2013 by Aaron

[Richie V]

I think some are suffering burn out in ere!

[Letitsnowyorkshire]

This place is getting worse than the model thread for mood swings! Think I will just go with lampost watching and see what happens tomorrow

[4wd]

The precipitation rate looks quite low, it will be an interesting event with temperatures remaining below freezing and wind blowing it about.

[Aaron]

This place is getting worse than the model thread for mood swings! Think I will just go with lampost watching and see what happens tomorrow

This is what happens when the models diverge and are inconsistent! Truth of the matter is, we don't know if it will snow at all, and if it does, we don't know how much or exactly when or how long it will last. The best thing you can do is wait until tomorrow, look at the radar and look outside of your window. Precipitation charts are almost useless longer than 24 hours before the event, and even then they are not totally reliable.

Edited January 17, 2013 by Aaron

[PMPhotography]

A couple of shots here from Snowy Scarborough taken this morning.

It's ruddy freeeeeezin!!

[waynetheweatherman]

Something doesn't add up, you see national bbc forecast and it doesn't look bad for our region, yet 5 day forecast for here shows a lot of light snow falling most of weekend?

[Aaron]

GFS shows more snow again, same as the 06z yesterday - not buying it, changes too much.

NAE looks smashing!

[Hodgheg]

After that panic attack, the 06z has pushed things back over us.

[Zak 92]

Lets just hope we dont have a repeat of yesterday with things going downhill at 12z

[Craigers]

Remember what happend last monday! The front was forecasted to be slower and it ended up being quick.

[Aaron]

Crikey, the Met have snow almost constantly for here for over 3 days!

[al_13]

As a relative newbie to all of this, it's interesting to see the models keep changing, but some reactions are so extreme that I can't help but laugh, especially when referring to a single model run.

Like I said yesterday, it is widely accepted that it will come down to nowcasting and very short time out models I.E. I won't be putting any stock in the models until this evenings updates. It might be prudent for some of you to do the same to prevent any heart failures or passing out risks

[LeeSnowFan]

After that panic attack, the 06z has pushed things back over us.

Just a temp glitch! but thats how quick things can change and they still have there yellow and amber alerts so they are still highly confident NAE still looks good

Like someone said look at last week snow was not forecast it changed then we had a good covering of it on Monday turn those fowns upside down

[PMPhotography]

I'll bank this! Slightly marginal here on the coast but this would do nicely!

[woldsowl]

Minimum last night -11.1, which was not as low as anticipated as it was -10 at 11 pm, but some cloud spread in from the coast before dawn. Chop Gate was reporting -13.7 earlier and Duggleby was -11.9, but may have caught the cloud like us.

[NorthYorksWeather]

Still currently -8.9c after a low of -11.3c. Never expected these temperatures!

[al_13]

Sky was nice and clear here at around 7am, was getting brighter as I progressed across the city. Now however cloud cover is coming in low from the west (across pennines). Temp -7 DP is the same.

Edited January 17, 2013 by al_13

[PMPhotography]

Still currently -8.9c after a low of -11.3c. Never expected these temperatures!

Flippin eck! I thought -9.1C was impressive!

-4.2C here at the moment with a bit of high cloud keeping the sun hazy so keeping the temps low.

[NW Leeds Russ]

Few decent sized flakes coming down here. Nothing on radar though!

Temp -3.1c

[sparky1972]

morning all, another cold foggy morning here, well i must admit to being less optomistic that this snow event will make it this far, another westward shift and i think it will be curtains, lol, met office forecast for my postcode is also forecasting less, anyway fingers crossed and have fun to everyone who wants and gets the snow.

[Lakes Tom]

GFS 06Z precipitation charts, although not the most reliable, show Friday's front pushing further East and getting Yorkshire in on the action! Certainly a step in the right direction and lets hope the other models at 12z follow!