London & South East Regional Discussion 17th January 2013, 12z onwards

[Roadrunner]

typical romford cheese lol

Lol. This is TOWIE country mate. Even our snow has vajazzles and spray tans.

[Met4Cast]

BANK!

[Suburban Streamer]

and the rest of the 12z nae run t36-48

midnight friday

6am saturday (thats two consecutive runs the nae has shown some marginality rearing its ugly head in some parts of our region early saturday - i cant see that happening?)

noon saturday

Edited January 17, 2013 by Suburban Streamer

[HammerJack]

Well going by the NAE things are looking pretty good

[craigore]

NAE T+36

this goes against lias forcast lunchtime ,as i now have deep pinks over my neck of the woods ,whats going on,conflicting information ,ups and downs,upgrades ,downgrades.. Im very confused.com..

[Great Plum]

NAE T+24

NAE T+30

NAE T+36

NAE T+42

People of Kent, you can smile now!

Although the rain forecast at t42 can go away!

Edited January 17, 2013 by Great Plum

[tasty_snacks]

I reckon Gatwick will keep pace at first, I think it's the infrastructure feeding into the airports that could let things down!

My flight is at 0730, so I'll be OK. Good luck to the rest of you.....

[manutdmatt1986]

NAE shows the sea around the South Coast being covered in snow. That'll be interesting

[Southender]

And just when you thought it was fizzling out...

NAE T+48

Accumulations T+48

Widely 8mm. So hopefully 10-12cm.

Edited January 17, 2013 by Shrimper

[Sno' problem]

Paul, put me down for 'Snow Risk stays the same or moves even further east' I'll owe you the money!!!

Ditto!

[warrenb]

As someone has said, these so called Hi res models are actually just zoomed versions of the main model, in the case of NAE it is the UKMO data. Also light blue in these cases tend to be very light recip so the model struggles to differentiate between snow and rain, had the same in 2010 during that cold spell.

Edited January 17, 2013 by warrenb

[Neilsouth]

Southerly winds off the east coast of kent are stopping the showers from coming into east kent, easterly winds towards east anglia are helping that blog to encroach from the east. Lucky **** lol

There is always a chance of light snow today for south east england but extremely low risk

[NO LONGER POSTING]

That rain showing on the NAE WONT happen... Way to cold temps

[SMU]

And just when you thought it was fizzling out...

NAE T+48

winds swinging into that favourable zone from more snow convection wise....

S

[Jezzer]

What are everyone's thoughts on the apparent rain in the central southern area on the latest NAE 42-48, is the warm air likely to push that far north east?

NB. I think warrenb has answered my query phantom rain

Edited January 17, 2013 by Jezzer

[throwoff]

I am starting to think this one might be happening FINALLY!

[Coast]

30 mins and we'll know what GFS thinks and I already have an inkling in my water......

[Suburban Streamer]

As someone has said, these so called Hi res models are actually just zoomed versions of the main model, in the case of NAE it is the UKMO data. Also light blue in these cases tend to be very light recip so the model struggles to differentiate between snow and rain, had the same in 2010 during that cold spell.

where's bluearmy when u need him!?

[k66yla]

off for a quick power nap. Hopefully things won't change whilst I'm gone

[Sno' problem]

The company i work for has just sent out a text,

A red warning of snow in London and the SE from 3am to 9pm for tomorrow.

From 3am in London?? That is a major shift Eastwards!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

what the bloody hell is happening to thatband in front of the main band?!? where did that come from...

[WillinGlossop]

http://www.meteox.com/forecastloop.aspx?type=1#

[manutdmatt1986]

Don't confuse the light blues with being rain. That would just be very light snowfall. There won't be any marginality tomorrow or over the weekend. Don't worry :-)

[Reefseeker]

and the rest of the 12z nae run t36-48

midnight friday

6am saturday (thats two consecutive runs the nae has shown some marginality rearing its ugly head in some parts of our region early saturday - i cant see that happening?)

noon saturday

Looks great apart from that bit of marginality you mention, and as you say, that must be wrong:)

[A Wintry Mix]

The NAE has no snow forecast overnight tonight for snow in London does it?

Not got a clue where they get there info from, it's a nationwide company so i would presume it would be from the MO