South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 21/01/13 6z Onwards

[Dorsetbred]

Customs and duty-free?

Thanks for the reminder I have to pick up my purchases too, almost forgot

[Wilxy]

1.1°C and 88% humidity

Temp is dropping and humidity rising, intresting line of showers now in B channel.

Snow grains falling, but more sleety than earlier. And snow has thawed quite a bit today.

[BristolBlizzard]

PPN in the Bristol Channel is intensifying every frame. Be nice to have some unexpected snow, even if it is light.

[warren]

Have a look at the welsh thread some are getting snow from the PPN coming up the Bristol channel

[knocker]

Quite pleasant here at the moment about four oktas of Cu with a temp of 4C and little wind.

[cerneman]

Prince Charles Poundbury, certainly not built with idea that they may have snow or icy weather, Most of streets too narrow for council to grit, Nightmare getting around there,

[snowmadchrisuk]

Gfs has ppn in Bristol channel moving NE due to the impending front ... but we will see if we get lucky

[Frosty_wsm]

Gfs has ppn in Bristol channel moving NE due to the impending front ... but we will see if we get lucky

Nice large echo on the 4.30 met office radar, to west of me in the channel and it's heading due east at the moment.

[warren]

Gfs has ppn in Bristol channel moving NE due to the impending front ... but we will see if we get lucky

Looking at the radar it appears to be moving directly east at the moment. looking at Weston we might just get lucky

Edited January 21, 2013 by warren

[jethro]

This is the info sent to hubby this afternoon, it's the official METO release to the council:

Tonight (Monday night) another weather system will move across Southwestern England from around 0300 and it's likely to bring another spell of rain and sleet to many areas, but this will gradually turn to snow, with the snowfall then continuing throughout the remainder of Tuesday.

Snowfall amounts look likely to be enough to give some problems on the transport network throughout Tuesday and our current best estimate is we see amounts of the order of 2-5cm of snow possible in parts of Avon & Somerset, Dorset and perhaps Western parts of Gloucestershire (Forest of Dean) and Wiltshire as well, and we may see as much as 10cm in some higher communities. We will shortly have a yellow warning on our website highlighting this forecast.

However there is a reasonable chance that snowfall rates could be rather higher during Tuesday, perhaps enough to give us a similar level of widespread disruption to transport networks across that we saw on Friday. Snowfall levels of this rate would prompt us to issue an Amber warning, and if we see increasing evidence for this higher snowfall scenario over the next few hours we will issue an Amber warning later this afternoon.

Further ahead we'll see cold temperatures continue towards the end of the week, although there doesn't seem to be a risk from further spells of snowfall.

[EGHH]

Looking into the future (a decidedly dodgy endeavour at the moment, given uncertainties in the near term), the GFS 12z goes for a mildly interesting evolution by sending the residual vortex from Canda into the atlantic by next weekend, manifesting itself as a sub 930mb dartboard low. Thus heralding the arrival of [sorry for swearing] wet, windy and mild :

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20130121/12/123/airpressure.png

I think I'll forget about that for now, though, too much of interest in the next 36-48 hours!

[Nights King]

Gfs has ppn in Bristol channel moving NE due to the impending front ... but we will see if we get lucky

It looks like bristol may get a couple of light showers before most of the ones further out move further ne over south wales?

[Chris K]

Wow. Compared to this morning all the snow has thawed quite a bit! Pavements and roads are now clear bar the huge lumps of rock salt and ice stuck together. Only the fields and plants have snow on them now.

Will February deliver? I hope so as my bday is next month!

[BristolBlizzard]

Still appears to be moving east. Think we might actually see something from this.

[Wilxy]

The PPN seems to be pepping up as a whole in the SW intresting times whether we see anything or not good luck all

[warren]

Still appears to be moving east. Think we might actually see something from this.

I'm suprised Jay hasn't been on asking if it's going to snow in Cardiff.

[dec10snow]

Sorry for being stupid, but what is WFBL?

Wet bulb freezing level I believe??

[Bristawl Si]

Wow. Compared to this morning all the snow has thawed quite a bit! Pavements and roads are now clear bar the huge lumps of rock salt and ice stuck together. Only the fields and plants have snow on them now.

Will February deliver? I hope so as my bday is next month!

I was surprised how much of a thaw took place today - i thought i'd be coming home to compact snow on our pavements and up my street.

For what it's worth Raintoday has Bristol down for light snow this evening over a 2 hour period - i guess in the form of showers from the Bristol channel streamer that appears to be developing.

[BristolBlizzard]

From the Wales thread:

snowing nicely here now

This is a Bristol Channel streamer if ever I've seen one. Completely not forecast as far as I'm aware.

All I need is for it to shift five miles north and I get to see a little.

Gone very dark, snowing quite heavily atm !

Most of my memorable snow events have been from BC streamers, hope this is another one!

[noonoo418]

Am baffled, various PPN charts posted above suggest my location might be in for a bit of snow tonight and tomorrow night, however Met Office forecast not having any of it!! Anyone else finding the same?

[kumquat]

Are we gonna get hammered like the infamous Bristol Channel streamer of 2009?? :)

[BristolBlizzard]

Are we gonna get hammered like the infamous Bristol Channel streamer of 2009??

One of the best! If I remember correctly, that was completely unexpected aswell wasn't it?

[kumquat]

I seem to remember it cropping up at short notice although Ian F (as usual) kind of had that covered also!

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

Iv got to be honest it does like a classic , Iv don't very well from them in the past they tend to travel up the severn

[George]

Damn, doesn't look like I will be seeing any of the snow tomorrow. Not seen one flake this winter. Hoping for a change, fingers crossed.