Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 10th March 2013

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
in Regional

 Share

Recommended Posts

A Wintry Mix Contributor

A Wintry Mix

Posted
  • Location: Minster Ramsgate Kent
  • Location: Minster Ramsgate Kent
Posted

Yes, and I can't see us getting much if that low to the south doesn't start correcting north. Still time for change though. smile.png

Agreed, but if we do manage to get something i'll be off work!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ChartViewer Apprentice

ChartViewer

Posted
  • Location: Central London near Canary Wharf
  • Location: Central London near Canary Wharf
Posted

U at the rugby? Am just down road from twick, it started to do something earlier, sleet or snizzle of some sort, didnt last, but sky still looks dark...

Reckon that snow train will affect us all later...heres hopingbiggrin.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites
SnowBungle Rookie

SnowBungle

Posted
  • Location: Rainham, Medway
  • Location: Rainham, Medway
Posted

Excuse the most irritating and vague question, but I've not been keeping up with things. Just looked on met office site to see a full 5 days of yellow snow warnings.

What the latest? What's expected? Are we looking at a dusting at best that melts at sunrise, or are we expecting some accumulations? Should I be getting excited about the next day or two?

Thanks guys. I know how irritating those questions are!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted (edited)

Back from the shop. Anyone in the Reedham/Cantley area. Looks like some heavy showers breaking out in a line NE/SW, those are the two places I think are likely to be under this at the moment.

Blobbly still not on rain today.Get your butt into gear man!!!

Edited by Captain shortwave
Link to comment
Share on other sites
SMU Maestro

SMU

Posted
Posted

The NAE- whilst not seeing movement north is beginning to profile deeper columns of PPN in the shower trains-

Dont worry it will come to the party-

The next 6 hours will see the shower train over kent gradually allign more East to west-

S

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted

Yep - putting aside what happens down here, it will be very interesting to see what develops up towards the Estuary. We know f.e from Feb 2009 how suddenly situations can developsmile.png Not that 40cms is expected this time....ph34r.png

Well here at the Estuary mouth I am hoping for some streamer action. But fully expecting it to either not occur, or end up dumping further down the Thames. Such is our luck this past few months!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted

Well here at the Estuary mouth I am hoping for some streamer action. But fully expecting it to either not occur, or end up dumping further down the Thames. Such is our luck this past few months!

Yes, unfortunately, that is more likely since the air won't have travelled over the much warmer Thames and might not be "ready" to give you snow. However, given the length of the streamers, I'd still put Southend on >60% chances!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
West Sussex Kate Contributor

West Sussex Kate

Posted
  • Location: Near Horsham, West Sussex
  • Location: Near Horsham, West Sussex
Posted

The NAE- whilst not seeing movement north is beginning to profile deeper columns of PPN in the shower trains-

Dont worry it will come to the party-

The next 6 hours will see the shower train over kent gradually allign more East to west-

S

okay steve, we're all set and ready!good.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tom Quintavalle Maestro

Tom Quintavalle

Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snowy Weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
Posted

Molte grazie gentile signore smile.png

Prego, signora. Your meal sounds delicious!

Tonight I've got, Bastoncini di pesce,patatine fritte e fagioli al forno! wink.png ...............................

Fish fingers, chips and beans to you! Lost in translation or what. laugh.png

Regards,

Tom.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
80sWeather Community Regular

80sWeather

Posted
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards,Hot Thundery nights.
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
Posted

Well allowing for the snow (she says hopefully) and the distance then you better leave this minute otherwise there will be none lefttongue.png

Ha ha good one, hope u r right, better not risk the journey.

Having a blokey afternoon, spag bol and football on tv.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Swave Snow Aficionado

Swave Snow

Posted
  • Location: NW London
  • Location: NW London
Posted (edited)

London including NW London could get hit from streamers or the low or a combination of the two, and it seems to be firing up now

Edited by Swave Snow
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

London including NW London could get hit from streamers or the low or a combination of the two, and it seems to be firing up now

Says the person from NW London lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites
kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

Ian F from the model thread:

"Equally, mismatches W of Portugal in imagery versus model handling... net result is 12z NAE considered too far south with Monday's development, hence the 06z run, coupled to 09z high-res output, has been preferred as the more likely solution. Key areas for concern re disruptive impacts by Monday continue as parts of Cornwall and Devon, along with SE corner."

Link to comment
Share on other sites
titchjuicy Apprentice

titchjuicy

Posted
  • Location: Live Saarbruecken, Germany, work in Luxembourg
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy in Winter, Cold and Wet in Summer
  • Location: Live Saarbruecken, Germany, work in Luxembourg
Posted

sleeting in south east london- more snow in it than rain

Link to comment
Share on other sites
abruzzi spur Experienced

abruzzi spur

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
Posted

Latest from Ian F on MOD thread:

"Yes, but a number of issues here. Firstly, some significant mismatches with WV imagery versus NAE expectations. Most immediate concern is the more pronounced frontogenesis to SW, wIth sharper shortwave trough/PV Max & baroclonicity than modelled. NAE kills this too quickly; GFS currently performing best in handling this, with resultant snow expected tonight across mid and N Devon to W Somerset/Exmoor. Few cm here on areas above 200m, with the N Devon link rd (A361) west of Tiverton one particular focus for concern by Monday morning.

Equally, mismatches W of Portugal in imagery versus model handling... net result is 12z NAE considered too far south with Monday's development, hence the 06z run, coupled to 09z high-res output, has been preferred as the more likely solution. Key areas for concern re disruptive impacts by Monday continue as parts of Cornwall and Devon, along with SE corner."

The highlighting is mine, not Ian's. Cue lots of anxiety about what is meant by 'SE corner'!

AS

Link to comment
Share on other sites
SHM040519 Aficionado

SHM040519

Posted
  • Location: Canterbury, Kent
  • Location: Canterbury, Kent
Posted

Yes, but a number of issues here. Firstly, some significant mismatches with WV imagery versus NAE expectations. Most immediate concern is the more pronounced frontogenesis to SW, wIth sharper shortwave trough/PV Max & baroclonicity than modelled. NAE kills this too quickly; GFS currently performing best in handling this, with resultant snow expected tonight across mid and N Devon to W Somerset/Exmoor. Few cm here on areas above 200m, with the N Devon link rd (A361) west of Tiverton one particular focus for concern by Monday morning.

Equally, mismatches W of Portugal in imagery versus model handling... net result is 12z NAE considered too far south with Monday's development, hence the 06z run, coupled to 09z high-res output, has been preferred as the more likely solution. Key areas for concern re disruptive impacts by Monday continue as parts of Cornwall and Devon, along with SE corner.

LATEST FROM FERGIE!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
A Wintry Mix Contributor

A Wintry Mix

Posted
  • Location: Minster Ramsgate Kent
  • Location: Minster Ramsgate Kent
Posted

Ian F from the model thread:

"Equally, mismatches W of Portugal in imagery versus model handling... net result is 12z NAE considered too far south with Monday's development, hence the 06z run, coupled to 09z high-res output, has been preferred as the more likely solution. Key areas for concern re disruptive impacts by Monday continue as parts of Cornwall and Devon, along with SE corner."

Sounds good, with all the talk of streamers i was begining to think i was going to have to watch this one from the sidelines.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
JennyJane1 Experienced

JennyJane1

Posted
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
  • Location: Great Yarmouth
Posted

Back from the shop. Anyone in the Reedham/Cantley area. Looks like some heavy showers breaking out in a line NE/SW, those are the two places I think are likely to be under this at the moment.

Blobbly still not on rain today.Get your butt into gear man!!!

Southernman is leaving for work in Reedham in an hour's time so I've just warned him

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hammer Aficionado

Hammer

Posted
  • Location: Sawbridgeworth, Hertfordshire
  • Location: Sawbridgeworth, Hertfordshire
Posted

Does anyone know the latest from Ian F. lol.

Good work chaps. Sounds interesting.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

Very snowy run south of M4, some snow a little north of there though perhaps a fairly sharp cutoff as to where the falls happen.

12z GFS may just be a smidge north for that second little area that comes up from the channel...

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted (edited)

Heavy Graupel showers here now.

Ooooo that low over Norway is really starting to develop if GFS is to be believed. Also the -8 isotherm is coming back much quicker from the North East I think.

Edited by Captain shortwave
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Heisenberg Aficionado

Heisenberg

Posted
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme aside from heat. Pref cold and snow
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
Posted

Says the person from NW London lol

Hi Paul

what do you think the chances are for our neck?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...