South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 12th April 2013 13:00hrs>

[Methuselah]

How sad.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-22202815

Will it receive full military honours?

[Keraunic]

It's getting very dark over to the west. More rumbles perhaps........ There was some HUMONGOUS cauliflower heads over the north earlier.

[john pike]

tomorrow

 

 

 

looks very similar to today

 

some unstable air and if we can get a bit of heat from the sun during the morning

 

we may see a few rumbles again in the afternoon

 

cooler northerly flow

 

temps again around 12 degrees but cooler during showers

[HammerJack]

Evening all. Well what a lovely evening it is here. The sun is out, the birds are still tweeting and the wind has now died done. What a contrast to the wild 30 mins or so this afternoon. One minute I was still in my office with no lights on, and the window open. The next it turned very dark, with the wind picking up then KAPOWWW a few rumbles of thunder, horizontal rain and hail. I do love cold and snow, but spring can really produce a different extreme which I really do find interesting. Lets hope for the same tomorrow, but not between 5-7pm as I am doing the London O2 experience and walking over it. If the weather is fine and clear I will post some pics from on the top of it.

[john pike]

gfs at 288

 

now lets look at the control run

 

something wrong with that model

 

time to stick with ecm again

[john pike]

tomorrow night

 

high pressure in charge

 

chance of fog and low cloud on coastlines

 

clearer in land

 

frost is possible where cloud clears so some areas could see temps around 0

 

where cloud persists expect temps around 4 degrees

 

looks dry

[john pike]

saturday

 

high pressure in control

 

temps around 12-14 degrees

 

gonna say sunny intervals

 

again watch for cloud cover near coastlines which may tag the temp slightly

 

staying dry

[john pike]

saturday night

 

staying dry

 

could get cold again especially where cloud clears

 

temps 0-3 degrees

 

fog poss again

 

high pressure in control so flow negliable

Edited April 18, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

 

gfs main run from the 25th on

 

would be nice to be right but big warm outlier

 

warmer 23rd to 25th

 

then average to below average

 

25th on looks wetter

[john pike]

sunday

 

weak westerly flow

 

still a tad chilly around 12 degrees but better chance of seeing the sun

 

should stay dry but late afternoon early evening we see this

 

so rain expected but should just about be dark when it arrives

 

so in the sun with no wind

 

wont be too bad a day

[john pike]

ecm on monday

 

temps slightly higher

 

poss showers

 

for tuesday

better uppers and looks dry

 

temps a tad higher again

 

wednesday

 

stills looks warm but not sure re precipitation on this

[john pike]

thursday

 

south east just hanging on to some warmer uppers

 

this has unstable air around so thunderstorms a possibility???

[john pike]

just going to show these as fi and some

 

 

and

 

[john pike]

monday

 

a weak westerly flow

 

after some early morning showers

 

it looks to brighten up with some warm sunshine and dry

 

temps around 15 degrees

 

 

after a few showers monday night

 

tuesday shows high pressure in control

 

as the flow is a very weak westerly this should be sunny

 

temps around 16 degrees and poss slightly higher in selected areas

 

looks dry as well

Edited April 18, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

helloooooooooooo

 

 

 

 

sorry so quiet in here i was waiting for an echo

[Eskimo]

I'm here, I just float around

[john pike]

heres some very x rated charts from gfs

 

and

 

 

fi and gfs

 

and will probably show a heatwave tomorrow

[john pike]

and heres the control run from the same time

 

and

 

my point is gfs in fi is pony

 

so at present the short term looks nice

 

warming up monday and tuesday and wednesday

 

thursday still warm with the risk of storms increasing

 

cooling down afterwards

 

towards the end of the month i am open minded ( i am not ruling out 1 final cold spell)

 

be back tomorrow pm to see if we can get some more storms

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=316&y=154&run=18&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

[Snowangel-MK]

Morning all,

 

I'm sure you've all noticed the lack of post from Coast (Robin) recently – as you know he went to NY for his 50^th birthday and although immigration couldn't stop him coming in on paperwork 3 hours in line without a break for a pee left him with a lovely parting gift from the US which the NHS are now sorting out  â€“ hopefully he will be back with us very soon if not for our sakes to give those poor nurses a break !

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[MarcB]

Much fresher feel this morning but lovely as the wind is almost non existent. Currently 8.8°c and partly cloudy.

 

BBC weather have the line of showers that is moving south east today to the west of me but at the moment they are all to the east. Perhaps a little bit of nowcasting is required to see where the showers end up.

 

 

Morning all,

 

I'm sure you've all noticed the lack of post from Coast (Robin) recently – as you know he went to NY for his 50^th birthday and although immigration couldn't stop him coming in on paperwork 3 hours in line without a break for a pee left him with a lovely parting gift from the US which the NHS are now sorting out  â€“ hopefully he will be back with us very soon if not for our sakes to give those poor nurses a break !

 

 

 

 

Ouch! Wish him well SA

[weathergeek]

Was hoping to come on here and read that the Meto 16-30 had it all wrong and that actually the forecast looks lovely and sunny n warm for end of April/into May.....sadly disappointed! Really hope this is a glitch in models and doesn't happen after a nice warm up next wk!

While I'm here could anyone point me in the right direction to a website that will give me a good forecast for Lake Garda, Italy? I'm going there next mth on a Eurocamp holiday so really need nice weather or at least no/little rain!

Coast I hope you feel better soon!

Thanx all, xx

Ps - sorry meant to say big thanx to JP for still providing charts and info for us learners, even when quiet here! Thanku!x

[Steve C]

Morning all.

 

Quite grotty here, with light showers and coolish.

 

Sorry to hear about Coast; hope he's better soon.  That 3 hour wait would totally put me off going to the US. I don't like even a half hour delay, in those queues! I'd probably swear at immigration and be sent packing on the next flight back!

[abruzzi spur]

Breezy with sunny intervals here in Reigate, 10.1c.  When the sun comes out it has the effect of making the dark clouds that are around liook very threatening, but so far no rain.  Wekend looks like it will be pretty decent - first outdoor cricket practice of the season for the under 10s.

 

Hope Coast is on the mend and fully insured!

 

AS

[Guest archiesmummy]

Am I really thick? What's happened to coast?

Keep re reading mk's post but don't get it!

Edited April 19, 2013 by archiesmummy