Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 14th June 2013 onwards

[Chris.R]

huh thanks CC, you sure yo're not actually Dian Oxberry their. well I know I said the other day that you were more often than not right, but I can only hope. I'll stay up a bit longer. :-)

[Ben Sainsbury]

From the new update Barnstaple all the way to Norwich have heavy showers and the only gap is my area, keeping my eye on the cell off the north coast of France

[Convective]

yes Convective, I bloody hope it actually makes it this far, got a good feeling about this though tonight. don't know what to do though, want to stay up and watch what happenes with the line, but i'm in the collegerecording studio with a friend tomorrow so I want to get a bit of sleep. Oh well I guess I'll just go with the flow.

 

Ha. Well count me out We wouldn't get a thunderstorm here if we had an Estofex Level 3 on top of us!

[Allseasons-Si]

Bright echo just off the north coast of france,one to watch too.

[lfcdude]

Just had some light rain here with really large drops. Sounded loud against the skylight window.No lightning or thunder though.

 

Just saw that on radar... always builds just outside of devizes! feeling very muggy, a shower would of been nice

[Chris.R]

i was going to sleep outside, but I forgot to put the tent up! very annoyed with myself!

[A.J]

torrential rain here, absolutely peeing it down

[nitro_deluxe]

i was going to sleep outside, but I forgot to put the tent up! very annoyed with myself!

Bus shelter plenty of transport links lol..

[Allseasons-Si]

i was going to sleep outside, but I forgot to put the tent up! very annoyed with myself!

just sleep outside then,it's warm enough lol.

[Eskimo]

Can't see this line electrifying, NMM showed it pepping up and then dissolving over Northampton. 

[Cheshire Freeze]

huh thanks CC, you sure yo're not actually Dian Oxberry their. well I know I said the other day that you were more often than not right, but I can only hope. I'll stay up a bit longer. :-)

 

I actually think tonight and tomorrow are our best chance. After this the GFS and ECM both agree that the plume will not reach our patch unfortunately. Just looks like a mass of rain for Wed night/Thur

[samadamsuk]

that's not far from me AJ - it'll be trundling over the minety fields right now I bet - can feel the rain cooled air

[nitro_deluxe]

Warnings issued for Crewe?

Bleak intervals grazing the far East

[Nick F]

Nice line of thundery showers on the radar stretching from Devon up to the N Sea coast off Suffolk, this looks like the northern edge of the elevated warm moist plume advecting north ahead of the surface warm front now approaching the south coast.

[Chris.R]

hahaha like it

[Norfolk Sheep]

High based storms in Norfolk are the biz   However, I just have this feeling of anti-climax already (too many lost opportunities probably!)  One day I will manage to get a lightning pic - as long as I get several storms to practice on, how hard can it be?

[Staffordshire]

Nice line of thundery showers on the radar stretching from Devon up to the N Sea coast off Suffolk, this looks like the northern edge of the elevated warm moist plume advecting north ahead of the surface warm front now approaching the south coast.

do you know how far north this band will reach nick?

[Costa Del Fal]

Nice line of thundery showers on the radar stretching from Devon up to the N Sea coast off Suffolk, this looks like the northern edge of the elevated warm moist plume advecting north ahead of the surface warm front now approaching the south coast.

Do you expect them to electrify because not much is happening right now?

[Ben Sainsbury]

Guys Estofex has released there forecast for tomorrow, there are some surprises!

[Harry]

Well Estofex is depressing - not even a 15% zone!!

[Ben Sainsbury]

The estofex forecast is absolutely disgusting, it's so dissapointing!

[samadamsuk]

might be me but it feels like the closest we've got in the last 7 years to some proper heat is hot air going over the top of us 5000 feet up- I bet this spell wont be much different lol - still feels like we haven't properly got out of the march cold spell here on the ground. The least we can ask is some high level crapvection isn't it ?

[Ben Sainsbury]

Well Estofex is depressing - not even a 15% zone!!

Not even 15% surely the weather ain't that uncapable of producing some flashing lights...

[Hathers]

So no warning from estofex tomorrow. Hmmmmm

[SnowJoke]

Torrential rain falling in MK from an elevated cloud layer, no lightning seen or thunder heard yet, but the rains getting heavier all the time, so it's a possibility it'll go boom soon i think, also gotten extremely muggy outside in the last hour, so im guessing the theta plumes made it this far north all ready.