Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 21st July 2013 onwards

[Richie V]

Here in barnsley today has not exceeded 18 c. Still not humid and is 13.2c now. Although nothing visible on radar theres fairly heavy drizzle here from the east at the moment. And you wonder why people run through shopping malls with automatic weapons!

[BlueHedgehog074]

If, for some odd reason, I do not see any thunderstorms in the next two days or so, I'm going to pop along to my local Garden Centre and see if they sell any thunderstorm seeds for me to grow my own storms. I might also see if they have any thundersnow seeds for sale, so then I can be early prepared for Winter. (Mwhe he he hee). ;-D

Good luck to those who get some bangin' storms overnight.

Edited July 21, 2013 by DiagonalRedLine

[Andy Pepler]

that second cell is getting bigger by the update :O and is heading right for me

[Ben Sainsbury]

that second cell is getting bigger by the update and is heading right for me

It's coming for Bristol:D... and Wiltshire;)

[James86]

Wind picked up in a big way last 10 mins

[Ben Sainsbury]

Everything is trying to start up again!

[Mark -W-s-M]

Do you live up on the hill in Weston? I'm in Yatton which is a bit lower and can't see anything yet.

I live up on the hill by the old kewstoke quarry .

[paul m]

same here....Meh. What would you say our chances are up in this neck of the woods

Edited July 21, 2013 by Jackone

[STORMGUY]

the plume is moving northwestwards towards south wales into wiltshire

[MP-R]

I live up on the hill by the old kewstoke quarry .

 

Ah that explains it then. I might start seeing something when it pushes northwards. 

 

Did notice a lot more altocumulus building up around sunset. Fingers crossed.

[ZONE 51]

Just been outside and the moon looks slightly orange, some low fast moving cloud has appeared in the last hour. Cant wait for tomorrow!!

Saying that I might add there was an orangey glow to the sunset this evening the first I've seen like that this heatwave. What this means is an increase of humidity (as is) this during hot weather can be a sign of storms as increasing humidity and instability take affect. The colour is a reflection of upper atmospheric particles/dust that's has collected due to the very very dry weather (up to now for some!) this can be more intense as a haze and not always brings storms. as far as I know the increase in humidity allows the dust/particles to show up like that.  

Edited July 21, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[Duane S.]

Off we go again With louder thunder this time around and some great bright forks lighting up the sky!

[Mark -W-s-M]

Wonder if we could be in for a repeat of the storm in july 2001 now that was quite something.

[big_treacle]

Raining here in Poole with thunder and lightning every 30 sec or so

[littlemissy]

WHOOOO HOOOO  sorry folks absolutely gorgeous lightning out in my back garden ...........................I'm in Wellington in Somerset ........

 

 

But only one flash of strong lightning .

Edited July 21, 2013 by littlemissy

[Richie V]

same here....Meh. What would you say our chances are up in this neck of the woods

seriously, as usual in recent times we have done best for storms.. I guarentee you that in 12 to 18 hours the whole of netweather will be focused on south, west yorks, the humber and linconshire.

[Wilxy]

So now the radar is stuck brilliant!!

[ZONE 51]

A small intense cell just popped up east of the IOW (not electrical)

Edited July 21, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[ChezWeather]

Actually cannot believe that the week im down here in Cornwall, it all looks good for storms back home, typical eh 

[Somerset Squall]

Seen some regular flashes to the south over the last couple hours. Then all died off but a much brighter flash has just occured with the first audible thunder (albeit fairly quiet).

[ZONE 51]

39mph gust picked up at Bournemouth AP 2300hrs

Edited July 21, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[butler_son]

Quick and dirty from out the bedroom window here in Verwood, Dorset from about 15 mins ago tops (about the time it took to get the pic processed). Thought it might be appreciated.

 

[ZONE 51]

a bit of a lull in sferic detections over the past 20 mins, as storms are struggling to push northwards (this does tie in hi-res modeling).....that's not to say of course that further cells will erupt overnight as the theta-e plume continues to destabilize ......next NMM hi-res run out in the next 30 mins

Watching the IR sat the cloud expanding getting wider

[A.J]

Watching the IR sat the cloud expanding getting wider

yep.....and the NMM 18z is out, and it's already way off the mark....lol......compare the current radar with the NMM 00z precip snapshot!

[gottolovethisweather]

yep.....and the NMM 18z is out, and it's already way off the mark....lol......compare the current radar with the NMM 00z precip snapshot!viewimage.pbx.png

 

Predictable, it must be said.   That's why I like the storms that pop up unexpectedly as the models always seem to struggle with these foreign imports and associated airmasses.

 

A good increase in AcCas here now and I think cells are indeed starting to develop ahead of the MCS, i.e. central southern and possibly further East may be in with a shout as the morning progresses. Yes I did say morning, happy 22nd July folks. A couple of days to remember are ahead of us.

Edited July 21, 2013 by gottolovethisweather