Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards

[ChezWeather]

I was just looking at the radar and have to admit it looks very ferocious , and it looks much further south than the graphics on the bbc ,and very very heavy , any thunder in this band tonight ?

Its just stopped here, not heard and thunder or seen any flashes myself, however by the looks of it i was further south than the most heavy part. 

[boogercj]

Rain just started here. Will wait and see how heavy it gets, but judging by the radar, it looks like it could get quite tasty. hoping for some lightning, but not holding my breath.

[Erbyskerby]

Yes quite heavy rain but no rumbles or flashes that I could see - cleared through here now. Meto app indicated heavy rain later tonight but I haven't checked to see if that is still predicted.

Edit:

Apologies - what has just gone through was what I was looking at earlier today on the meto app - got me timings wrong!

Edited July 24, 2013 by Erbyskerby

[multi cellular thunderstorm]

Just been reading through the last thread about the Nottingham storm last night.

I desperately wanted to chase it but had to drop my gf off somewhere at 7pm and pick her up at 9:30 so I was very limited. By the time I could chase it was dying down a bit, got about 20-30 miles NE of Nottingham and caught up with the back edge. Saw some nice lightning but structure wasn't great by then. There was a lot of flooding on the way though,with some roads almost impassable. I passed a row of about 4 houses which had been flooded. Also did some damage to my car driving through a flood, it seems like I hit a manhole cover or something and ripped off some of the floor of the car, now I have plastic bits trailing on the road and some warning lights on the dash!

 

Anyway before that largely unsuccessful chase, I did get some decent footage of the rotating clouds. Here's a couple of short videos, both speeded up 16x. 

 

First one is looking west at 17:11, looks like it was attempting to form a funnel here...

My Moviesmall.wmv

 

This is looking south at 18:05...

My Movie2small.wmv

 

Bit frustrated at missing out on what could have been a memorable chase but I can't complain after having 4 storms this week!

Edited July 24, 2013 by multi cellular thunderstorm

[nitro_deluxe]

Quite some area of rain towards the SW now - most widespread I've seen for weeks! Here's to at least a few flashes and rumbles..

Scattered locally quite potent storms also expected N Mids, N England later tomorrow. Not a bad outlook eh?

[ZONE 51]

reports coming in of v hvy rain in central cornwall ,and truckers reporting severall flashes of lightning .just had 1 min of very hvy rain here on mendip ahead of main area of activity although on radar it looks to be tracking more east now as apposed to an hour ago .its going to be hard predicting  sat/sun event but ingredients are there i would like to see it generally track a bit further west to give more posters a shot ,not because of IMBY as i had the cream mon night but to give others some action .there could also be other shots next week so plenty to look forward too .

I watched the radar down there it intensified, unstable air is moving in with this. Some large storms to come for northern/western areas tomorrow. (could be some overnight but not severe as Thurs afternoon/eve)

Edited July 24, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[ZONE 51]

http://www.estofex.org/modelmaps/browse_gfs.php?time=21&dtg=2013072418&type=0-3shear

(model data)

Edited July 24, 2013 by ElectricSnowStorm

[ITSY]

marked downgrade on sat nights storm for us in EA. GFS painting a clipper affair that may briefly straddle SE England. NW england could however see some potent storms on a seperate track. 

[Bobby]

Very heavy rain here with more to come it seems. No thunder or lightning to report though.

 

The plants are very happy, the drought has ended.

[Convective]

I'm working tomorrow!!  With a bit of luck, nothing will head this way until after 5pm! 

[MrSunshine]

Very heavy rain here with more to come it seems. No thunder or lightning to report though.

 

The plants are very happy, the drought has ended.

 

Thunder & lightning being reported by a friend on Twitter who lives in Cornwall.

[staplehurst]

marked downgrade on sat nights storm for us in EA. GFS painting a clipper affair that may briefly straddle SE England. NW england could however see some potent storms on a seperate track. 

 

Yes, suspect there will be a large area of more general frontal rain across a good part of East Anglia, Home Counties, London and the South East, but any thunderstorms themselves only really affecting Kent and Essex and many parts of the southern North Sea and neighbouring Continent. 

 

The latest T+96 also highlights this quite nicely with the wrap-around clearing East Anglia by midday Sunday - any thundery activity staying to the east, there'll be some decent amounts of rain on the frontal boundary, but not expecting much in the way of thunder away from perhaps the far southeast. 

 

Edited July 24, 2013 by staplehurst

[Mumbles]

We in For any storms in west Dorset tonight ? Has been raining steadily for nearly an hour and its very sultry...

Edited July 24, 2013 by Mumbles

[Cornishdave]

Thunder & lightning being reported by a friend on Twitter who lives in Cornwall.

where in cornwall are they reporting it from?

[J10]

No thunder or lightning down here tonight, just rain, and quite a lot of it, certainly quite a bit more than the 7mm so far this month.

Edited July 24, 2013 by Jackone

[boogercj]

Properly heaving it down now, here in S Devon. No thunder yet though...

[Mark Parsons]

We in For any storms in west Dorset tonight ? Has been raining steadily for nearly an hour and its very sultry...

Not expecting any, but you never know!

[Marcus_surfer]

I wouldn't say it's heavy rain here, just intermittent moderate bursts at times

[ZONE 51]

Radar image MetO, I have indicated(circled) the S-Ireland thunderstorm image is 2300hrs:

 

[Norfolk Sheep]

marked downgrade on sat nights storm for us in EA. GFS painting a clipper affair that may briefly straddle SE England. NW england could however see some potent storms on a seperate track. 

 Same old same old - barely become newsworthy and it's in the bin already. I bet you half a cheese sandwich that the rain doesn't materialise either! A year in the NSC? Un-********** believeable!!

[tara303]

I may have just heard a low growl outside - thunder or the neigbours dog has slipped his chain again....

[ZONE 51]

 

painting a clipper affair that may briefly straddle SE England. 

 

Thought there's two options, 1 - SE and EA  2 - Central southern/Midlands ??

Option 3 - of a clipper was not mentioned. A - either be over the SE full on or B - further west.

[pad199207]

Power just back on here now after some incredible lightning

[tara303]

Oh yep - lightning to my south, no forks or rumble with this one so maybe far off/high up???

 

I am in the middle of cooking a batch of samosas.

 

Off to get candles etc - last time we had a storm power was out for a day - Winter 2010, the substation got hit by thundersnow strike and we were out for 6 days!!!!

 

Hurry on samosas....

[Eskimo]

Something like this on Saturday night yes?