Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards

[cheese]

Okay, I can definitely see showers to my SW.

[Chris.R]

And the sun's out strong again.

[DH764]

Its humid as hell in Eston still !! 

Gutted ....just missed that Loftus storm by about 10 miles.

[MP-R]

Sferics now appearing from a cell to the west of Cornwall - and that's over the sea!

[Supacell]

Thunderstorm just north of Newcastle upon Tyne.

[WillinGlossop]

20130724-IMG_6565.jpg20130724-IMG_6563.jpg

 

Know we aren't down for any action today but there's a "feel" in the air. Still got good surface heating here.

Looked at sat 24 and im in a clear slot, bright hot sunshine, its 26c but directly to my north west/east is very dark cloud producing a few showers in that direction....

[DH764]

Cloud really starting to bubble up now over Teesside area ....I can see a very nice formation from the window....looks like its over Stockton area.

[Kato]

Cloud really starting to bubble up now over Teesside area ....I can see a very nice formation from the window....looks like its over Stockton area.

 

yes, right over us here in Stockton, huge isnt it. fingers crossed it unleashes  !

[Boro Snow]

yes, right over us here in Stockton, huge isnt it. fingers crossed it unleashes  !

fingers crossed im just in the car park at teesside park looking at it

[DH764]

Just gone into Man Cave ...me loft room ....very dark over towards Saltburn too.

 

[Allseasons-Si]

Sferics now appearing from a cell to the west of Cornwall - and that's over the sea!

Yes,really getting going now,hopefully i will see some flickers before i hit the sack at 11 tonight,i might be hopeing too much though lol.

[Marcus_surfer]

Sferics now appearing from a cell to the west of Cornwall - and that's over the sea!

There's more cape and lower lifted index in that area that's why as it hits land it will probably weaken

[Rammie]

Can confirm that north Somerset is currently hotter than the sun.

[Cloudwatcher]

Well that was ANOTHER let down. Why am I not surprised. All that nice convection has been replaced by the usual Cheshire murk....temperature has dropped but the humidity is still unbearable. nothing doing here I'm afraid

[Evening thunder]

Yep interestingly whatever's just off the radar coverage is producing a reasonable number of sefrics:

 

[cheese]

Yep interestingly whatever's just off the radar coverage is producing a reasonable number of sefrics:

 

sefrics 24th jul.png

Take a look at the Sat24 images and you'll be able to see it quite clearly as it's very large.

[Marcus_surfer]

The storm potential never gets close to the mainland though and stays in the Irish Sea.

Edited July 24, 2013 by Marcus_surfer

[PMPhotography]

Some nice convection going on here at the moment. Just had a heavy shower with a bit of small hail mixed in. More bubbling up out west too.

[Evening thunder]

Take a look at the Sat24 images and you'll be able to see it quite clearly as it's very large.

 

Thanks for that yes I often look there but hadn't thought of it this time

 

I too like a couple have mentioned think that it may weaken as it approaches land, though interestingly the Met Office forecast map shows some pretty heavy stuff in it still, so wouldn't be too surprised if something producing sefrics made it ashore somewhere.

Edited July 24, 2013 by Stormmad26

[MP-R]

Can confirm that north Somerset is currently hotter than the sun.

 

Clouds also changing type now. Ordinary fair weather cumulus earlier have been replaced by a lot of altocumulus and virga. High of 27.0C here, now 25.4C.

[SnowJoke]

Interesting area to the south west of Cornwall developing, I know the main area of low pressure is currently sitting of the west coast of Ireland, However is the area showing on satellite imagery that is producing a storm cluster front convergence or is there a new small low pressure developing that wasn't forecast?

[Jax]

Can confirm that north Somerset is currently hotter than the sun.

what about the other papers?

[poseidon]

Interesting area to the south west of Cornwall developing, I know the main area of low pressure is currently sitting of the west coast of Ireland, However is the area showing on satellite imagery that is producing a storm cluster front convergence or is there a new small low pressure developing that wasn't forecast?

Noticed this in the UKASF forecast for today...

 

... S WALES, SW ENGLAND ...Main period of interest will be from 18z onwards as a developing frontal system develops beneath a sharpening upper trough and an approaching/strengthening jet left exit. An area of showery rain with embedded elevated thunderstorms will gradually migrate northeastwards across these areas, although with a tendency to lose lightning activity as it moves further inland through the evening. Backed surface winds may allow an isolated funnel or weak tornado to form given rather low LCLs.

[P-M]

Fair amount of convection kicking off up here and can hear regular rumbles of thunder out to my west now.

[NL]

Fair amount of convection kicking off up here and can hear regular rumbles of thunder out to my west now.

Aye and showers that develop will be slow moving and likely to deposit a fair amount of rain or small hail. Very humid and sultry evening to come, another 'sweatbed' for me again tonight.!!