Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards

[P-M]

Aye and showers that develop will be slow moving and likely to deposit a fair amount of rain or small hail. Very humid and sultry evening to come, another 'sweatbed' for me again tonight.!!

 

 

Defo mate - would like to see something though -- the humidity is horrible mind could do with a few cooler nights!

[BornFromTheVoid]

Storms approaching the south coast of Ireland, c'mon!

 

[Chris.R]

Met office still think there will be a railway accident tonight.

[Cheshire Freeze]

Met office still think there will be a railway accident tonight.

 

Railway accident? huh?

[Chris.R]

Have a read of the northwest england text forecast.

[Cheshire Freeze]

''This Evening and Tonight:

Remaining daytime showers should ease into the evening to allow some late sunshine for many. An area of occasionally heavy rain is expected to spread northeast through the region overnight, becoming lighter from the south towards dawn. Minimum Temperature 16 Â°C.''

[AWD]

Wouldn't bet against parts of Wales, the West Midlands and the Cornish coast seeing some isolated thundery activity tonight. The GFS shows some modest CAPE values around these areas;

And some notable convective PPN;

along with some steep lapse rates;

Hit and miss, but the Meto invent radar shows pockets of quite intense PPN travelling NE through Wales and the SW overnight tonight;

along with HirLam;

The possibility is there IMO.

Edited July 24, 2013 by AWD

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Hmmm. BBC still showing that Saturday potential for S/SE/E Anglia. Showed 2 scenarios, one run showing that it will clip Kent and East Anglia, however, the other going up from say Hampshire/Sussex poss E Dorset to the Wash Eastwards. 

[Chris.R]

Ok never mind lol the version I looked at said an area of occasionly heavy train. Haha.

Ok never mind lol the version I looked at said an area of occasionly heavy train. Haha.

They corrected it just after I posted about it! Epic fail

[Southern Storm]

Ok never mind lol the version I looked at said an area of occasionly heavy train. Haha. Ok never mind lol the version I looked at said an area of occasionly heavy train. Haha.

It still does on the mobile siteWatch out people! You have been warned lol

[The PIT]

Net weather extra showing some lightning of the towards the south west. Perhaps the least potential shall provide the most entertainment excluding Notts of course who've had enough excitement for now.

[Convective]

Thoughts on this band of rain tonight anyone? Chances are it will turn thundery.. just 'where' is the question 

[Cloud 10]

Best storm at the moment is in the North of Scotland,east of Stornoway!

 

 

 

A heavy shower in the Gateshead area when i was down there earlier this afternoon

and feels very tropical out there today.

 

Seen a couple of Schaffernakka  forecasts on the BBC ramping up the storm

potential for the next few days. 

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

Storms approaching the south coast of Ireland, c'mon!

 

Stormapp.GIF

Storms approaching the south coast of Ireland, c'mon!

 

Stormapp.GIF

As long as they are clear by 21.30 I'll be happy. I have the Ryanair Special to catch to Stansted at 21.45. They can get wet getting off the plane as long as I don't get wet getting on.

[Methuselah]

Much more of this, and we'll all be Schafferknackered!

[StormChaseUK]

Thoughts on this band of rain tonight anyone? Chances are it will turn thundery.. just 'where' is the question 

I think SW England S.Wales could see some isolated activity towards midnight but this will cool down and end up as heavy/thundery rain as it moves North.

[stevofunnelcl]

Electrical Activity in that rain in the south-west approaches

 

Occasional 'crackle' heard on AM radio

[StormChaseUK]

I should be down on the south wales coast later, will report if anything occurs.

Edited July 24, 2013 by StormChaseUK

[Supacell]

NMM shows the rain band tonight as more an area of showery precipitation with some heavy pulses. I don't think some convective elements are out the question.

[The PIT]

Storms North Midlands northwards tomorrow??? I'm sure Schaffernakka said that. As for the weekend stuff we severe was said which means they'll be little unless you live in Notts.

[ChezWeather]

Nothing here other than light rain, hopefully that rain off the coast gets abit more electrified!

 

Im in Cadgwith, Cornwall

[Marcus_surfer]

Most of the thundery activity has gone now as expected.

[joggs]

Quite looking forward to tom from a north of England perspective!

Edited July 24, 2013 by joggs

[Convective]

According to the MetOffice forecast, things are flaring up late tonight

[cheese]

Quite looking forward to tom from a north of England perspective!

Yeah, ITV weather showed thundery showers in our region.