South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 28/10/13

[Methuselah]

Moderating this thread is so difficult sometimes with posts like this .....I'm not sure if should like it or delete it ! Lol

Just remember where the salt pot is, MK?

[Guest bjaykent]

Moderating this thread is so difficult sometimes with posts like this .....I'm not sure if should like it or delete it ! Lol

Didn't look quite so bad until I had put the post up and then enlarged the picture! Certainly will be checking any salad on my plate closely from now on!

 

P.s feel free to delete it if you want

[totalhysteria]

Evening all,

Dull and wet day here. Rain now easing, with an increased risk of fireworks it seems.

[Mark Neal.]

A damp night here with patchy outbreaks of rain outside. A mild 13c. Wind dropped out to 3mph SE. Have a good un

[john pike]

ecm for the 10th

 

 

noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

 

no more pleease

[john pike]

tuesday

 

a gusty and chilly north west wind

 

looks like some heavy rain around again

 

temps

 

around 10-13 degrees

 

feeling colder though in the wind

 

-----------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday

 

a westerly flow and not too strong

 

looks like heavy showers am and clearing before lunchtime

 

temps

 

around 12-14 degrees and not feeling as cold

 

ukmo at 144

 

a breezy westerly flow

 

temps around 14 degrees

 

hard call re rain at present

 

will do that tomorrow

 

john

[Snowangel-MK]

Just remember where the salt pot is, MK?

You would not believe how much salt I've got in stock .....I'm ready for the beast from the east never mind a snail infestation !

[john pike]

some fairly chilly ensembles on gfs 18z tonight

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=7&mode=0&carte=0

 

heres an example

 

look north east

 

 

i love a good ramp

[john pike]

 

these are no where near as warm as previous runs

 

still above average but only just

 

problem is bucket loads of rain showing there

 

funnily i would call fi on the 6th which has a 10 degrees spread

 

lets see what tomorrow brings

 

i think we may see some odd outputs coming over the next couple of days

Edited November 2, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

fax chart for 6pm tomorrow

 

977 low

 

looks a shade further south as well

 

certainly windy

[Steve C]

Quite interesting the low coming in later on today, as from recent fax charts it looks to be fully occluded, but is forecast to deepen further.

I guess there must have been a later infusion of a different air mass into its circulation to cause this? It must be quite unusual.

[john pike]

 

 

 

 

 

images thanks to uk met office

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/satpics/latest_uk_ir.html

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map

 

link above shows warning for rain but not for wind

 

maybe see an upgrade tomorrow?

Edited November 2, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

Quite interesting the low coming in later on today, as from recent fax charts it looks to be fully occluded, but is forecast to deepen further.

I guess there must have been a later infusion of a different air mass into its circulation to cause this? It must be quite unusual.

 

hi steve

 

have a feeling these maybe what is fuelling these storms at present

 

but we still have cooler air around us so maybe they lose their kick over the cooler waters??

 

just a hunch though

Edited November 2, 2013 by john pike

[Bluebreezer54]

Morning all.

 

Strewth. As much as I like foxes and urban wildlife I have been shaken from my slumber by the most horrendous cacophony of screaming from the blighters which went on for about 20 minutes.

 

On a weather note it seems most of Fridays rain passed to my south, and the current  forecasts seem to suggest that may be the case for much of the weekend. Sorry for those of you down that way, particularly on The Sunshine Coast

[Steve C]

Morning all.

Off to Rotherham soon, so won't post until tomorrow.

It looks like the south Coast and Norfolk will get the worst of this low, with gusts up to over 50mph later - actually Rotherham looks like it'll be more gusty than most of us on NMM model.

Here is the predicted track and intensity of the low on NMM this evening and overnight. It's not too good on the eyes, as dare I say it, the low looks a bit half cut!

[Charltonkerry]

Morning all, hope everyone is fit and well, nice warm, sunny and bright morning here in dirty Dartford, not very happy as we not only got to go food shopping, but got to go over ruxley to see the Christmas decorations (great can't wait) then off to that horrible supermarket known as Tescos to see what Christmas special they got, would someone like to point out to my wife Christmas is a long way off (sorry I'm not brave enough)

Edited November 2, 2013 by Charltonkerry

[dallas]

 

these are no where near as warm as previous runs

 

still above average but only just

 

problem is bucket loads of rain showing there

 

funnily i would call fi on the 6th which has a 10 degrees spread

 

lets see what tomorrow brings

 

i think we may see some odd outputs coming over the next couple of days

 

Hi John, can you tell me whereabouts on wetterzentrale you find those ensemble charts........cheers

Hi John, can you tell me whereabouts on wetterzentrale you find those ensemble charts........cheers

 

[Jax]

Morning all.

 

Strewth. As much as I like foxes and urban wildlife I have been shaken from my slumber by the most horrendous cacophony of screaming from the blighters which went on for about 20 minutes.

 

On a weather note it seems most of Fridays rain passed to my south, and the current  forecasts seem to suggest that may be the case for much of the weekend. Sorry for those of you down that way, particularly on The Sunshine Coast

Morning all

 

Quiet night here but 2 nights ago (or early mornings) was woken by a couple of foxes having a disagreement in the street outside, they sound like two strangled cats sh4gging!

 

On a weather related note it is a cold and damp morning here, washing in progress and not even going to think about hanging it outside today.

[Coast]

 Sorry for those of you down that way, particularly on The Sunshine Coast

 

Morning Martin, morning all.

 

Not much sunshine today I'm afraid. Just a steady trickle of drizzle in leaden skies and the prospect of a lot of more serious rain to come in the next three days. 13mm already in the last 24 hours and we didn't really have much of a pour, so when the heavy stuff gets over here, going to have to watch the roads and rivers.

 

Been invited to a firework BBQ tonight but thankfully it's a 'grown ups' thing (not sure why I was invited then :unsure:) and there will be plenty of people on hand to do the outside stuff, while I watch from the comfort and safety of their conservatory with a burger in one hand and a drink in the other! 

 

Have a good one whatever you're doing.  

[NO LONGER POSTING]

As long as fireworks are done by about 8-9 tonight there won't be a problem otherwise straight up and down might happen lol! Met going for 50mph inland and stronger on the cost a good 20mph less than Monday but will still be noticeable for sure!

Edited November 2, 2013 by Surrey

[Coast]

Also watch for that rain late Sunday into Monday:

 

[Coast]

As long as fireworks are done by about 8-9 tonight there won't be a problem otherwise straight up and down might happen lol! Met going for 50mph inland and stronger on the cost a good 20mph less than Monday but will still be noticeable for sure!

 

Met O say it could start getting gusty earlier:

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/city-of-london-greater-london#?tab=map&map=GustSpeed&zoom=8&lon=-0.19&lat=51.36&fcTime=1383372000

[Summer of 76]

Also watch for that rain late Sunday into Monday:

 

Met O say it could start getting gusty earlier:

Met O gusts.jpg

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/city-of-london-greater-london#?tab=map&map=GustSpeed&zoom=8&lon=-0.19&lat=51.36&fcTime=1383372000

On those numbers I better start my fireworks at 5pm or angle my rockets into the wind and that could make the River Ouse rise on Monday

Edited November 2, 2013 by chris mantle

[Jax]

Not stepped outside yet (working from home today) but have a couple of bags to put in the bin, looking out the window it appears to be anything other than inviting weather.

[Crepuscular Ray]

Lovely bright blue sky emerging from the mist here.