South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 08/12/13

[Eskimo]

Come on guys, was only trying to brighten the mood up!  

[Jax]

Come on guys, was only trying to brighten the mood up!  

wassup zimmer?

[Paul Ashford]

Evening netters,

 

After the snow in Cairo on Friday, spare a thought for Israel today 

 

 

The little 'baby Jesus' was around there 2013 odd years ago....According to my little one who had her nativity play yesterday.

Edited December 14, 2013 by Paul Ashford

[Keraunic]

Evenin each. Crumbs! It's a tad breezy out there tonight. I think this time of year is definitely the windy season in the UK ( and that's without the sprouts )

Hope you're all having a good week-end.

[Jason T]

Evening netters,

 

After the snow in Cairo on Friday, spare a thought for Israel today 

 

 

The little 'baby Jesus' was around there 2013 odd years ago....According to my little one who had her nativity play yesterday.

 

 

Yep, Spared it...Where's ours...

[Ravendane]

Wish I could remember the date, probably early nineties but it was so mild in December, I was walking around in  a t shirt . Christmas Day kicked off with a huge thunderstorm ...then in January , the wind turned bitter and biting and it snowed and snowed.  This was in the Watford area....further up in the Chilterns it lay in deep drifts and blocked roads....

[chilly milly]

I remember falling on my ass one New Years Day in the snow on Dunstable Downs.  It would have been the mid - nineties but not sure of the exact year.

[Summer of 76]

Yes rather windy tonight and hopefully the  lights stay on the trees outside

[tinybill]

should  it be  windy  its blowing  a  gale  out  side  at  the moment

[Steve C]

should  it be  windy  its blowing  a  gale  out  side  at  the moment

Really? Not disputing, but surprised. Currently in a noisy pub!

[john pike]

hi all

 

just looking at ecm

 

between 168-192

 

 

at 168 look to our south west

 

you can see very tight isobars there

 

this will tighten up as it crosses up across us

 

will need a watch

 

also at 216

 

see how the low pushes up against high pressure and really closes up the isobars

 

then at 240

 

note how that low is moving east

 

the next frame may put us under a very strong and cold north westerly

 

note the 500 temps

 

not seeing much stopping that going across us

 

that would change the wind direction and turn it much colder

 

also note the jet is dropping further south here

 

 

so keep watching the charts as changes can happen quick in this current pattern

 

also i am not ruling out some white stuff at christmas even if it is just a passing shower

 

re tonight

 

note how tight these isobars are

 

theres your wind

Edited December 14, 2013 by john pike

[Freezeflake]

Just looking through some old coins which we founded when digging out some footings a few years ago. Having looked closely one appears to be dated 1806 but is in poor condition so can really tell. Weather wise the wind is shaking the windows!

[shotski]

Hi John,

 

Trouble is its going to be very difficult to get on the right side of that low pressure system without

any mid atlantic ridge.

 

It may just stall in that possition and keep us in a cool North westerly flow with lots of cold rain.

 

Shotski.

[john pike]

hi shotski

 

look to our east

 

not much stopping that in my eyes going east

 

we will see but all fi at present

[JennyJane1]

Really? Not disputing, but surprised. Currently in a noisy pub!

well Southernman just phoned me from Reedham and said its very windy and raining there.

I can't work out if its the wind I'm hearing against the windows, or if its street noise.it can't be that windy here, because i'd hear it in the chimney.

[john pike]

http://xcweather.co.uk/

gusty out tonight

 

was here but has quietened down for the moment

[john pike]

tomorrow

 

a strong south west wind

 

starts dry

 

however rain on the way later in the day

 

temps

 

around 10-11 degrees

 

will feel chilly in the wind though

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

still a strong south west wind and could get quite strong

 

rainfall

 

heavy and persistant and may last most of the night

 

temps

 

around 8 degrees

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday

 

a more westerly flow

 

thankfully less wind and actually quite light

 

rainfall

 

rain am

 

clearing around lunchtime

 

then more heavy rain on the way late pm

 

and lasting well into the evening

 

temps

 

around 8-10 degrees

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday night

 

wet and not cold

 

lights winds with fog potential increasing

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tuesday

 

a weak south westerly flow

 

rainfall

 

some heavy rain around am

 

clearing pm

 

temps

 

around 6-8 degrees

 

feeling chilly

 

more later

[Bluebreezer54]

Good evening all. Nothing whatsoever to report here other than the fact it's mild ( 9.9c ) and a bit breezy.

[PLANET THANET]

Hi there

  I dont know if it has already been mentioned on here but sunday evening at 7.30pm on C4 is a program called killer storms, not very good timing seeing what may possibly lay ahead for us this christmas time.

[john pike]

 

i live in hope

[john pike]

wednesday

 

 

these will change

 

strong south west wind

 

dry am

 

heavy rain pm

 

cool to cold

 

warmer when the rain sets in

 

thursday

 

gusty westerly wind

 

looks dry

 

temps

 

around 6-7 degrees

 

watch the low to our west-north west

 

that is the problem low

 

ukmo at 144

 

strong south westerly

 

still cold

 

expect a lot of changes re these lows

[john pike]

gfs at 186

 

 

 

scarey as tallies with the ecm run around the same timeframe

 

hopefully the models are wrong here

[anything-but]

What would the possible impact from that *if* it verifies JP? 

[john pike]

hi ab

 

with the jet here

 

 

 

we could see some very high gusts

 

hopefully this will change but 2 models agreeing here at present is strange at that distance

 

not going to say gust speeds at present but high would be my answer at present

[Keraunic]

Britain's Killer Storms on Channel 4 tomorrow evening. Er....sorry but I've forgotten what time it's on.