spring 2014 Spring 2014 Discussion

[March Blizzard]

The met have 16C for here tomorrow, with sunshine all day. Could be higher.

Yeah, 15C forecast here, Mon/Tue still down as cloudy but the sun symbol returns on Wednesday, although with only an 11C high.

[Summer Sun]

Latest satellite show most of England and Wales cloud free though some stubborn cloud is still affecting NW England

 

[March Blizzard]

If the warmth of this month doesn't relent March 2013 is looking in danger of becoming a rose stuck between two thorns.

Hoping for a massive cool down from mid month onwards.

[cheese]

I don't want to think about cold or snow at all, but this is March, and you can't realistically expect March to be warm and sunny all the time, even though we just endured three months of unrelenting rain. I guess that's the consequence of our Atlantic location.

Edited March 9, 2014 by cheese

[hillbilly]

The first couple of daffodils flowering yet the 99.5 % rest have yet to!!!

[reef]

Quite an exceptional day here with a max of 17.2C. In the last 34 years only seven days in March have had maxima higher at this location. Its all the more remarkable when you consider its only the 9th.

[Methuselah]

With the North Sea being much warmer than it was last year, any Spring/early Summer haar/fret should be far less problematic?

[Thundery wintry showers]

The anticyclonic spells during May/June/July 2013 were strange in that the coastal "haar" often missed Northumberland and Tyne & Wear and then came onshore further south, giving cool cloudy weather for much of east Yorkshire, Lincolnshire and East Anglia, areas which traditionally get rather less of it.

 

I would expect "haar" to be far less of a problem this year from Lincolnshire southwards, though it may not be the case further north.  I remember that the 2006/07 season threw up the statistic that in parts of eastern Scotland, December and/or January were sunnier than June, thanks to persistent low cloud during the anticyclonic start to June and dull wet weather during mid to late month- and this was in spite of unusually high SSTs following three consecutive seasons of exceptional warmth.

Edited March 10, 2014 by Thundery wintry showers

[Eugene]

Some absolute nonsense being spouted about unseasonable warmth this week, temps will not be that far off average infact with chilly nights. today felt much cooler than yesterday.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Some absolute nonsense being spouted about unseasonable warmth this week, temps will not be that far off average infact with chilly nights. today felt much cooler than yesterday.

 

true in a way, but will feel like early summer in the sun, but if cloudy/windy, then yes feeling cold

[Summer Sun]

Some absolute nonsense being spouted about unseasonable warmth this week, temps will not be that far off average infact with chilly nights. today felt much cooler than yesterday.

 

True but when your in the sunshine it will feel very pleasant today was absolutely glorious here in Darlington no wind and wall to wall sunshine its cold now but another day of wall to wall sunshine is forecast tomorrow so it'll soon warm up

 

UK official high today was 17.7C

[Milhouse]

Try telling most folk that yesterday was not far from average March temperatures. 20c must be very close to a date record. Mid teens this week according to the GFS 12z so you can probably add a couple of degrees to that. which is what happened yesterday.

[March Blizzard]

Single digit maxima forecast for Saturday here, a sign of a N/NW flow becoming established, or just more cloud spilling into the high?

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/

Edited March 11, 2014 by March Blizzard

[Summer Sun]

Cloud is affecting the south more this morning for the best of the sunshine you need to travel to the northern half of the UK

 

[March Blizzard]

Cloud is affecting the south more this morning for the best of the sunshine you need to travel to the northern half of the UK

 

 

Yes, Gav. It's beautiful here in the NW...looks nice in the NE, too!

[Bottesford]

Boy do I not miss the spring spoiler - North Sea low cloud!

14.4c here under clear skies. 20.6c yesterday!

[Summer Sun]

Yes, Gav. It's beautiful here in the NW...looks nice in the NE, too!

 

It is absolutely glorious here in the NE not a cloud to be seen

[BornFromTheVoid]

It is absolutely glorious here in the NE not a cloud to be seen

 

Same here in southern Ireland, with the temperature slowly climbing.

[sebastiaan1973]

Very warm over here in the Netherlands. New record maximum temperature at the De Bilt for the first 10 days in march.

[Summer Sun]

Netweather's long range forecast for April to June is now available

 

April

 

Unsettled weather with low pressure often on the scene is a phrase we heard a lot of during the winter, and currently the outlook for April is looking to be reminiscent of that with lower than average pressure expected across the British Isles. As you may expect, that's forecast to lead to a wetter than average month for much of the country, although eastern regions may buck the trend and stay closer to average. Temperatures are forecast to be closer to the norm for the time of year overall.

 

May

 

The final month of Spring sees some uncertainty in the overall pattern with higher than average pressure to the north and northeast of the UK being the only clear signal currently. For eastern regions, and also the north of Scotland a slightly drier or close to average month is likely, elsewhere it's another wetter than average month currently being forecast. Temperatures are again expected to be near to normal, although the northern half of Scotland could be warmer than average.

 

Summer

 

June

 

At this range confidence does start to fall away, but current data suggests that June could be a warm but wet month in most parts - with parts of England and Wales much wetter than average.

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess=

Edited March 12, 2014 by Summer Sun

[Frank Trough]

Netweather's long range forecast for April to June is now available

 

April

 

Unsettled weather with low pressure often on the scene is a phrase we heard a lot of during the winter, and currently the outlook for April is looking to be reminiscent of that with lower than average pressure expected across the British Isles. As you may expect, that's forecast to lead to a wetter than average month for much of the country, although eastern regions may buck the trend and stay closer to average. Temperatures are forecast to be closer to the norm for the time of year overall.

 

May

 

The final month of Spring sees some uncertainty in the overall pattern with higher than average pressure to the north and northeast of the UK being the only clear signal currently. For eastern regions, and also the north of Scotland a slightly drier or close to average month is likely, elsewhere it's another wetter than average month currently being forecast. Temperatures are again expected to be near to normal, although the northern half of Scotland could be warmer than average.

 

Summer

 

June

 

At this range confidence does start to fall away, but current data suggests that June could be a warm but wet month in most parts - with parts of England and Wales much wetter than average.

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess=

 

Blimey. For the soaked south that's incredibly bad news. Presuming March has a decent chance of being drier than average that would leave December, January, February, April, May and June all wetter than average!

 

Oh well, going by that pattern we might get a few dry days in July.

[Summer Sun]

The weather Outlook issued a spring forecast at the end of last month here it is

 

Spring 2014: Mixed season

 Overview

A close to average spring. Temperatures probably a little above average. No strong signal for rainfall levels, but possibly a slight bias towards wetter than average. 

Temperature

 

The spring is expected to be slightly warmer than average over the 3 month period.  

Precipitation

 

Close to or slightly above average over the 3 month period.  

March

 

Temperature: Above average Precipitation: Close to average 

First half

The first half of the month will start with unsettled weather and rather chilly conditions across the country. Temperatures should recover quite quickly, becoming increasingly mild in southern and central regions, but probably remaining close to average in the north. For a time it may also become significantly drier in southern regions, but a more unsettled picture is expected further north and west during the second week of the month.The second half of the month is expected to start off changeable in the north west, but drier further south and east. Temperatures at this stage possibly significantly above average in southern regions, and close to or slightly above average in the north. Later in the period rather changeable conditions probably extending further south and east with rain or showers at times in all regions. Temperatures becoming close to or slightly above average.

 

April

 

Temperature: Close to averagePrecipitation: Close to average

The first half of the month is expected to bring quite unsettled and at times chilly conditions with heavy showers and some longer spells of rain. It may be cold enough for the showers to turn wintry at times over higher ground, and more widely in northern areas. The wettest conditions possibly moving further south with drier and colder conditions further north.The second half of the month probably unsettled for much of the time, but temperatures generally becoming close to the seasonal average. As the forecast period progresses there could be increasing chance of drier and warmer spells, particularly in southern and central regions.

 

May

 

Temperature: Slightly above averagePrecipitation: Slightly above average

The first half of the month is expected to bring warmer than average conditions, with a good deal of sunshine, but also heavy showers. Northern areas possibly cooler at times with more prolonged spells of rain.The second half of the month is expected to see temperatures close to or slightly above average over the period as a whole. Rather changeable conditions with some drier and warmer spells, but also heavy showers and more persistent rain at times. The driest and warmest conditions most likely in the south.

 

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/uk-seasonal-weather-forecast

Edited March 12, 2014 by Summer Sun

[vladthemert]

please peeps asked this question nobody replied.  Turns out while high over irish sea now 2 storms going into north sea first been downgraded slightly thankfully.  However week wedsneday & sat  looks bad with sea swell in north sea.

 

This was december 5th storm data wednesday has similar track not forgetting we currently in spring tides is the potential repeat dercember 5th. 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2013-decwind

 

now wednesday sea swell prediction this before storm the saturday 

 

Above is the predicted location of the storm before the week on saturday bottom one is again this week on saturday track

 

I worried this could have hallmarks being december 5th repeat.   With defenses already in disrepair temp removed to south has the eye been taken off.  Spurn head been damaged now gaping  gap for sea to break through this cleethorpes only protection from north sea fury.

Edited March 12, 2014 by vladthemert

[Mapantz]

please peeps asked this question nobody replied. Turns out while high over irish sea now 2 storms going into north sea first been downgraded slightly thankfully. However week wedsneday & sat looks bad with sea swell in north sea.

This was december 5th storm data wednesday has similar track not forgetting we currently in spring tides is the potential repeat dercember 5th.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2013-decwind

now wednesday sea swell prediction this before storm the saturday

Above is the predicted location of the storm before the week on saturday bottom one is again this week on saturday track

I worried this could have hallmarks being december 5th repeat. With defenses already in disrepair temp removed to south has the eye been taken off. Spurn head been damaged now gaping gap for sea to break through this cleethorpes only protection from north sea fury.

We'll be heading towards the neap tides by that date, I wouldn't worry too much at that range, just keep a casual eye on it. Edited March 12, 2014 by Mapantz

[vladthemert]

We'll be heading towards the neap tides by that date, I wouldn't worry to much at that range, just keep a casual eye on it.

 

thanks for the reply yep been watching this couple days thats whats scares jeepers out me  that neap tides might clash..  Very close to flooding in december 5th by inches by all accounts.