South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat

[ARTDEMOLE]

Cloudy with sunny spells. 20.7c. 

[MP-R]

Lovely and warm this afternoon, albeit still on the breezy side. 19.0C so far with some high cloud around. If only it could last a little longer.

[Lyn-M]

Just reached 20°C here, pleasant, hazily sunny and a nice breeze to dry the washing.

[Andy Bown]

Surprisingly warm given the cold front has gone through, 20.3c with sunshine and Stratocumulus much as it has been all day. The front was extremely weak and barely noticeable except for the change in wind direction.

[Mapantz]

No higher than 15C here. Currently 13.9C - very disappointing.

[knocker]

Quite pleasant here with some Ci and Cu. Temp got up to 16C but a bit breezy from the SW

[MP-R]

Not only did I not expect the brief spell of rain first thing this morning, I didn't expect it to surpass 20C either. Beautiful day since 11am with lengthy sunny spells and actually quite a warm wind.

[Mapantz]

Eyes on Thursday! I've noticed the models have been moving the heavier rain further and further south. At the moment, many areas south of the M4, particularly the southwest, could see an inch of rain, as well as parts of Wales.

 

Edited May 11, 2015 by Mapantz

[Lyn-M]

Interesting cloud formation just after half seven this evening.

 

[knocker]

Altocumulus Floccus Lyn.

 

Slight rain just ceased and a clearance from the west in progress I assume marking the passage of the occlusion. Temp 9C wind WNW 11mph

 

[The Enforcer]

Heavy rain and windy on yet another day that was forecasted to be dry, warm and calm a day or two ago.

Edited May 12, 2015 by The Enforcer

[MP-R]

Was woken up by the squally rain against the windows at about 6 this morning. Moved through very quickly though and has been sunny since 8. Now clear but feeling cool and windy.

[Mapantz]

A few spots of rain this morning, nothing major. I did think when I looked at the radar this morning "I don't remember seeing that on the TV" lol

Lovely now though, and 15C

[knocker]

About seven oktas of Sc. Temp 7.6C a nd a light easterly. A quick look at what the GFS is suggesting for tomorrow.

Chart weatherbell

 

Edited May 13, 2015 by knocker

[Dorsetbred]

Chilly start to the morning@ 2.9°C but warming rapidly now the sun has risen.

[jtay]

A touch of frost this morning and chilly as I went out at 7:30. Beautiful now and a very light breeze. BBQ this evening, I reckon.

[Mapantz]

Just thought I'd post a few precip charts, showing the small differences between them. Although, they all agree that it will be very wet for many of us.

GFS:

NMM 4KM:

EURO 4:

I ran the the EURO 4 on an extra frame, as it shows some heavy showers breaking out in southern counties, behind the front- late afternoon. I'm not sure if that's related to a trough behind it, which shows up on the midday fax chart, in the far SW- in the channel. There is no 18:00 fax chart, so I'm not sure.

EURO 4 and NMM 4 rain totals, respectively:

The GFS shows lower totals, but I'll wait to the 12Z to check that, and compare them again.

As I mentioned the other day, the largest totals look to be roughly around the M4 and south of it. Generally, 15 to 25mm in many areas, slightly higher totals in some local spots by the end of Thursday.

[Dorsetbred]

NMM looking quite interesting for a short spell as the front crosses us.

Edited May 13, 2015 by Dorsetbred

[Andy Bown]

I can hear the winter lovers bemoaning tomorrow's LOW coming in mid May!

 

Stunning day today, almost clear blue sky with scattered small Cumulus and Altocumulus patches with some Cirrus towards the SW horizon.

[MP-R]

I can hear the winter lovers bemoaning tomorrow's LOW coming in mid May!

 

Stunning day today, almost clear blue sky with scattered small Cumulus and Altocumulus patches with some Cirrus towards the SW horizon.

 

If only it were winter, a frosty sunny day today then a potential snow event for the M4-south for a change tomorrow.

 

At least it's a glorious day today.

[knocker]

Proverbial layer of Sc all day which does appear to be breaking at the moment. I personally wouldn't get too hung up on distribution and amounts of rainfall at the moment. The last fax for 06z that i've seen.

 

Edited May 13, 2015 by knocker

[knocker]

Cloudy with Ac/As and very slight rain. Temp 12C and wind southerly 15 mph.

 

Rain by 11z?

 

[Dorsetbred]

Double figure start to the day, currently 10.5°C.

Light rain, but that's about it.

[Rich_Clements]

Just managed to get into work before the rain started, looks like moderate rain now 

[Mapantz]

Bit disappointed by the radar, all the heavy stuff is staying out to the west, nothing I would call heavy here. It is rapidly developing though, vorticity aiding that substantially.

Very heavy now. 31mm/hr rain rate - 5.7mm in the last half hour.

Edited May 14, 2015 by Mapantz