North West England Weather Discussion 14/11/15 Onwards

[iand61]

Amazing how the radar shows the Greater Manchester area almost completely in a rain shadow with all surrounding areas having rain.

high ground can cause this effect but the hills to the north west of Manchester are hardly the Andes.

 

[Miamay]

Weve had heavy rain passing through and showers with what sounds like hail mixed in too.  

[dodge]

7 hours ago, dodgeredee said:

Cheshire gas streamer setting up, but sadly for those living there is mostly all rain.  Not getting any hopes up for Thursday, could be on the wrong side of marginal unless you on the tops.  Indications showing a possible Monday battleground breakdown could give most of us falling snow, but I'm expecting this will be amended further south and we might keep the cold for a few days longer to start next week.

 

23 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

LOL don't fancy that, better get some masks!!!

lol - I'd go back and edit it, but that'd spoil the fun.  Looking at my keyboard the 's' is nowhere near the 'p' but I do type fast so that's my excuse lol

..a bit of sleet showing up over the higher parts of the peak district and pennine areas, but nothing to write home about.  Hopefully wintry chances will improve and be more widespread in the next few days.

[Day 10]

3 minutes ago, dodgeredee said:

 

lol - I'd go back and edit it, but that'd spoil the fun.  Looking at my keyboard the 's' is nowhere near the 'p' but I do type fast so that's my excuse lol

..a bit of sleet showing up over the higher parts of the peak district and pennine areas, but nothing to write home about.  Hopefully wintry chances will improve and be more widespread in the next few days.

So funny that, couldn't stop laughing. Yeah I looked at keyboard too, perhaps you don't like the wirral lol

[rain_shadow]

Absolutely ridiculous amount of rain today in the Vale of Clwyd, I did not measure but localised (10-100m long) floodings on numerous B roads and on the A525 from Trefnant to Ruthin. No forecast mentioned this amount of rain at all. Around 4pm, we had a thunderstorm but in the showers (at least 15 showers or longer spells of rain), hail mixed in. Just terrible.

[Spah1]

 

This is good news. 

Edited January 12, 2016 by Spah1

[Carl46Wrexham]

25 minutes ago, rain_shadow said:

Absolutely ridiculous amount of rain today in the Vale of Clwyd, I did not measure but localised (10-100m long) floodings on numerous B roads and on the A525 from Trefnant to Ruthin. No forecast mentioned this amount of rain at all. Around 4pm, we had a thunderstorm but in the showers (at least 15 showers or longer spells of rain), hail mixed in. Just terrible.

Minor roads in Wrexham badly affected now. As you said - ridiculous amount of rainfall today. Not sure ice or snow is of any importance or relevance now. Everywhere is saturated/badly waterlogged now.

If this is what cold spells deliver, then the sooner it ends the better.

 

 

Edited January 12, 2016 by Carl46Wrexham

[rain_shadow]

30 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Minor roads in Wrexham badly affected now. As you said - ridiculous amount of rainfall today. Not sure ice or snow is of any importance or relevance now. Everywhere is saturated/badly waterlogged now.

If this is what cold spells deliver, then the sooner it ends the better.

 

 

Exactly. If it is just not cold enough for something white (apart from hail), then...I want high pressure. We deserve it for 2 months.

[iand61]

still raining pretty hard as it has done all evening.

frustrating that temperatures are just the wrong side of marginal although no doubt conditions more suited to snow would have meant that it all skirted us and we would have become part of the Manchester drought zone.

[Carl46Wrexham]

 

25.8mm of rain has fallen today...now finally stopped...and good bloody riddance to it. They dont make Cheshire Gap streamers like they used to...thats for sure!

[damianslaw]

Expecting a weather warning in the morning for snow in Cumbria down to quite low levels - perhaps 2-5cm 100-250m, 10 cm ground above 250m late Wednesday and early hours of Thursday.

 

[northwestsnow]

Yes i expect cumbria to do quite nicely this week- im pretty sure warnings will go out tomorrow

[I Cumbria Marra I]

1 hour ago, damianslaw said:

Expecting a weather warning in the morning for snow in Cumbria down to quite low levels - perhaps 2-5cm 100-250m, 10 cm ground above 250m late Wednesday and early hours of Thursday.

 

I think you'll be right, i'll probably just miss out as usual

[Frost HoIIow]

Slight downgrade with the latest euro4 snow fall map for my part of Oldham - disappointing. Then again these snow fall maps are not always 100% correct. Still looking good above 200m though I'd say.

[northwestsnow]

6 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Slight downgrade with the latest euro4 snow fall map for my part of Oldham - disappointing. Then again these snow fall maps are not always 100% correct. Still looking good above 200m though I'd say.

Yes, noticed that.

Defo going to be a nowcast,so marginal.Looks very cold over the weekend would be nice to get a bit of coverage.

[Frost HoIIow]

Compared with the euro4 WRF-NMM tends to over do things with snow but this is nice to see. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2016011218/nmm_uk1-45-36-1.png?13-00

[cheshire snow]

Interesting forecsst from Meto for our region

Tonight sleet/snow with snow getting down to low levels with

Slight accumalations clearing through Thursday morning,then

Scattered Sleet/Snow showers.

No mention of rain from tonight.

Thanks for all the get well wishes i am back home now feeling

A lot better a bit to go yet,but hopefully a cold spell will be just

What the Doctor ordered

C.S

Edited January 13, 2016 by cheshire snow

[iand61]

Heavy sleet and wet snow mixed in the showers falling here but to wet/warm to settle.

current temperature is 1.4c.

hopefully tomorrow will see something more substantial but as others have said, very much a case of now casting.

[Weather-history]

It's been some time since we have seen snow in Manchester airport TAF

Time: 06:02 (06:02 UTC)

Forecast

The report was made 1 hour and 0 minutes ago, at 05:02 UTC

Forecast valid from 13 at 06 UTC to 14 at 12 UTC

Wind 10 kt from the West/Northwest

Visibility 10 km or more

Few clouds at a height of 3000 ft

Becoming
from 13 at 06 UTC to 13 at 09 UTC

Wind 10 kt from the South/Southwest

Becoming
from 13 at 12 UTC to 13 at 15 UTC

Broken clouds at a height of 1000 ft

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 13 at 15 UTC to 13 at 24 UTC

Visibility: 7000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 800 ft

rain

Becoming
from 13 at 21 UTC to 13 at 24 UTC

Wind 3 kt from variable directions

Temporary
from 14 at 00 UTC to 14 at 09 UTC

Visibility: 3000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 800 ft

rain, drizzle

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 14 at 00 UTC to 14 at 09 UTC

Broken clouds at a height of 400 ft

snow

TAF: EGCC 130502Z 1306/1412 29010KT 9999 FEW030 BECMG 1306/1309 20010KT BECMG 1312/1315 BKN010 PROB30 TEMPO 1315/1324 7000 RA BKN008 BECMG 1321/1324 VRB03KT TEMPO 1400/1409 3000 RADZ BKN008 PROB30 TEMPO 1400/1409 SN BKN004 BECMG 1406/1409 32010KT BECMG 1409/1412 FEW015

[SP1986]

Although I think there is actually a fairly good chance snow will fall and settle to 100-150m asl tomorrow, I think it'll be touch and go, and mostly rain near the coast. 

In anticipation that I'm in the wrong place, I'm travelling to Llangollen way tomorrow to walk around Castell Dinas Bran and Eglwyseg Rocks.. at between 300-500m asl it'll be assured to snow, as long as they have precipitation.

[carl1980]

Been  under a streamer this morning, gave a covering of hail

[James M]

Must have had a small snow shower overnight, a few flakes frozen to the car windscreen. Currently -0.2°C

[Weather-history]

A bit of sleet in recent shower.

[loubie_4]

4 hours ago, cheshire snow said:

Interesting forecsst from Meto for our region

Tonight sleet/snow with snow getting down to low levels with

Slight accumalations clearing through Thursday morning,then

Scattered Sleet/Snow showers.

No mention of rain from tonight.

Thanks for all the get well wishes i am back home now feeling

A lot better a bit to go yet,but hopefully a cold spell will be just

What the Doctor ordered

C.S

Glad you're on the mend, CS. Hope the weather delivers and deservedly cheers you up  

[loubie_4]

45 minutes ago, carl1980 said:

Been  under a streamer this morning, gave a covering of hail

Had hail showers on and off during the night here too. ❄️