Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks

[SunnyG]

So, mostly mild with a couple days cold spell but probably just in the north. I can live with that

[Summer Sun]

BBC weather for the week ahead

Next week

• Spells of rain
• Often windy
• A little colder for a time
• Wintry showers on hills

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/67687069

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Drier for a while next week, then mild and rainy

Wednesday 13 December to – Sunday 17 December

Drier in the south and east later

Monday 18 December to – Sunday 24 December

Changeable and not too cold

Monday 25 December to – Sunday 7 January

Most probably wet and windy at times

Further ahead

We will see if the models become more consistent concerning the pattern between Christmas and New Year, and if there are any more signs of anything colder developing in early January.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Optimus Prime]

Incredible consistency and accuracy demonstrated

[snowblind]

Aaaand not such a good update today. Toned down quite a bit from yesterday.

"Later next week, in the run up to Christmas, there are indications of rain and showers developing more widely. There is also a chance of winds switching to more of a northwesterly direction, allowing conditions to become a little colder, with a risk of some wintry showers developing in the north. However, at this stage there is little sign of any widespread or severe cold and wintry weather."

[Decemberof2010]

Never bought into the hype anyway. Northwesterly slush or cold rain is what we get in these set ups. Todays update will be closer to what we get. Not the blizzards mentioned in the mod thread

[phil nw.]

Yes I think that's a fair summary.

[That ECM]

I think they are seeing what most are seeing in the run up to Christmas. It’s beyond this that has my interest. 

[Summer Sun]

Monday 18 Dec - Wednesday 27 Dec

Through most of next week conditions will be mild and breezy. Whilst some rain is possible at times, for many central and southern parts of the UK, there will be a good deal of dry and bright weather. More unsettled further north and west with spells of rain more frequent and probably heavy at times. Later next week, in the run up to Christmas, there are indications of rain and showers developing more widely. There is also a chance of winds switching to more of a northwesterly direction, allowing conditions to become a little colder, with a risk of some wintry showers developing in the north. However, at this stage there is little sign of any widespread or severe cold and wintry weather.

Thursday 28 Dec - Thursday 11 Jan

Most likely continuing unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the north and northwest. Short-lived colder spells remain possible, with hazards such as snow and ice, particularly in the north. The chance of these colder spells increases moving into January, with a low likelihood of a more prolonged spell of cold weather developing around mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[That ECM]

Let’s go chasing the prolonged low chance cold.

[Big Gally]

4 minutes ago, That ECM said:

Let’s go chasing the prolonged low chance cold.

[johncam]

Another busted flush it's looking like 

[KTtom]

The tone for late this month now being pushed on to mid next month, with a 'low chance' of something other than a northerly toppler.

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 19 Dec - Thursday 28 Dec

Initially mild, wet and windy in southern areas before clearing away leaving conditions unsettled with showers of rain across western coasts and some hill snow affecting north-western areas, clearer to the east. Late in the week potential for a mild spell in the south as rain moves in with some small amounts of hill snow in the north before a period of more north or north-westerly winds with showers across coasts and turning wintry over hills. but clearer in the south, this likely recurring through the period with milder and wetter westerly periods interspersed with a risk of with colder north-westerly or northerly conditions and showers, some wintry over hills, for a time. However, at this stage there is little sign of any widespread or severe cold and wintry weather.

Friday 29 Dec - Friday 12 Jan

Most likely continuing unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the north and northwest. Short-lived colder spells remain possible, with hazards such as snow and ice, particularly in the north. The chance of these colder spells increases moving into January, with a low likelihood of a more prolonged spell of cold weather developing around mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[That ECM]

The low likelihood- if it’s to happen I wonder where a block might set up? My guess is ne. We will see and I will looking in the outer reaches of the out put for suggestions this might be the case. All very interesting.

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 20 Dec - Friday 29 Dec

Broadly mild with some brighter spells in the southeast and wet and windy conditions in the northwest. Windier conditions spread south by end of the week followed by potential for blustery showers in the northwest, whilst clearer spells into the southeast. By the weekend a return to wet and windy conditions with intermittent showery periods from the northwest, most rain over northwest areas, though small amounts of transient sleet or hill snow possible on the leading edge of bands of rain. This likely recurring through the period with milder and wetter westerly periods interspersed with a risk of with colder north-westerly or northerly conditions and showers, some wintry over hills. However, at this stage there is little sign of any widespread or severe cold and wintry weather.

Saturday 30 Dec - Saturday 13 Jan

Most likely continuing unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the north and northwest. Short-lived colder spells remain possible, with hazards such as snow and ice, particularly in the north. The chance of these colder spells increases moving into January, with a low likelihood of a more prolonged spell of cold weather developing around mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Often wet and windy. Chillier by mid-January

Saturday 16 December to – Sunday 24 December

Changeable. Chillier after midweek

Monday 25 December to – Sunday 31 December

Wet and windy at times. Mostly mild

Monday 1 January to – Sunday 14 January

Potentially chillier before mid-January

Further ahead

We will look at the prospects for the New Year again, and see whether or not any chillier conditions still look likely.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 21 Dec - Saturday 30 Dec

At the start of this period, a milder and more mobile Atlantic pattern is expected to quickly become established, bringing rainfall, especially for the north and northwest. In addition, a period of strong, potentially disruptive, winds is likely for at least central and northern parts of the country. Into the Christmas period, there is an increased chance of a colder interlude with northerly winds bringing some snowfall and ice, especially for the north. However, this colder interlude could be very short-lived, and may not reach the far south before a milder Atlantic westerly flow potentially becomes re-established. A mobile Atlantic pattern becomes more probable towards New Year's Eve, with the majority of cloud and rain likely across the west, and drier and brighter conditions more probable in the east.

Sunday 31 Dec - Sunday 14 Jan

Most likely continuing unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the north and west. Short-lived colder spells remain possible, with hazards such as snow and ice, particularly in the north. The chance of these colder spells slightly increases moving through January, with a low likelihood of a more prolonged spell of cold weather developing around mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[cheshire snow]

As discussed on Breakfast this morning  the METO seem quit confident of some kind of Battle ground over Christmas,showed a graphic for Christmas Day with a boundary between the cold air and milder air,but obviously stated the uncertainty at the moment and the boundary could move further North or Further south.

[Summer Sun]

BBC weather for the week ahead

Next week

• More rain at times
• Turning chiller
• Uncertainty later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001tl0f/weather-for-the-week-ahead-17122023

 

[lassie23]

I'm expecting a Bartlett High over Christmas from satan claus

[Summer Sun]

Friday 22 Dec - Sunday 31 Dec

Unsettled with milder, mobile spells of wind and rain, and briefer colder interludes most likely. Initially, for the north, showers, heavy in places and wintry to low levels, with drier and brighter conditions further south. Lingering strong winds should ease early in the period. Milder conditions, likely returning for a time over the weekend. By the Christmas period, a chance of a colder, showery interlude with northerly winds potentially bringing some snowfall, mainly across hills in the north. However, this colder interlude could be short-lived, and may not reach the far south before a milder Atlantic, westerly flow, becomes re-established. This pattern most probable towards New Year's Eve, with the majority of cloud and rain likely across the west, and drier and brighter conditions more probable in the east.

Monday 1 Jan - Monday 15 Jan

Most likely continuing unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the north and west. Short-lived colder spells remain possible, with hazards such as snow and ice, particularly in the north. The chance of these colder spells slightly increases moving through January, with a low likelihood of a more prolonged spell of cold weather developing around mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[Marcus_surfer]

Is BBC Weather down for anyone else? Looking at other countries not UK?

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 23 Dec - Monday 1 Jan

On Saturday, a band of rain sinks erratically south, perhaps wintry over hills. To the north, a colder showery airmass, these wintry in places, mainly over high ground, and milder conditions further south. The Christmas period is most likely to start with a colder, showery, northerly airflow in situ across much of the country, perhaps with the exception of the far south, bringing some snowfall, mainly across hills in the north. This interlude likely to be short-lived, before a milder, westerly flow returns, which may lead to a risk of some transient snow to lower levels for a time. A continuation of this pattern most probable towards New Year's Eve, with the majority of cloud and rain likely across the west, and drier, brighter conditions more probable in the east.

Tuesday 2 Jan - Tuesday 16 Jan

Most likely continuing unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the north and west. Short-lived colder spells remain possible, with hazards such as snow and ice, particularly in the north. The chance of these colder spells slightly increases moving through January, with a low likelihood of a more prolonged spell of cold weather developing around mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[damianslaw]

Despite the gloom about cold prospects over christmas from some, the met outlook still sticking with a degree of opportunity for cold in January, albeit low, but it says 'slightly increases', let's see whether it keeps the theme or drops it.. the chance of colder weather late Dec it mentioned in earlier outlooks was quickly erased, but I expect Jan to offer greater chance. 

Edited December 18, 2023 by damianslaw