SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion

[sunnijim]

Looks like a snow turning to rain scenario for most today as the milder air floods In from the channel.

That could revert this evening as we start to pull down the colder air again as the LP circulation heads East.

[pages]

18 minutes ago, danm said:

It’s pathetic seeing the BBC snow/rain graphics for right now and later this afternoon vs what is actually happening. 

I know that these forecasts are based off latest model runs which may be inaccurate, but why don’t they adjust them manually to take account of what is actually falling out of the sky? 
 

 

 

The forecasts are always worse on a Sunday. I am sure they film them on the Friday afternoon and just play them, none of them work on a weekend  

[alexisj9]

Just had the little white balls during the heavy burst, totally different to last night ice, bouncing along the top. Love gruaple to be honest, but will melt, although the ice isn't melting yet, but I expect will do once the main rain bank comes over soon.

[Lampostwatcher]

Temp - 1.1 

Dew p -2.5

Wind NE 

Just need the ppn

[Tim Bland]

UKV for this afternoon / eve. We’re all in the game as different models have different variations / locations…

[danm]

5 minutes ago, pages said:

The forecasts are always worse on a Sunday. I am sure they film them on the Friday afternoon and just play them, none of them work on a weekend  

It was definitely a forecast from today. They do work over the weekend. 

[Harry's House]

Rain with sleet mixed with it. 

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Just had the little white balls during the heavy burst, totally different to last night ice, bouncing along the top. Love gruaple to be honest, but will melt, although the ice isn't melting yet, but I expect will do once the main rain bank comes over soon.

Does anyone else recall the ice-storm of 1963: constant left trouser-legging rain at -5C? I recall being almost blinded by the sunlight reflecting off ice that was lying on top of deep snow.

[danm]

3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

UKV for this afternoon / eve. We’re all in the game as different models have different variations / locations…

Looks a direct hit for London.

[MetManager]

9 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Does anyone else recall the ice-storm of 1963: constant left trouser-legging rain at -5C? I recall being almost blinded by the sunlight reflecting off ice that was lying on top of deep snow.

I remember walking on the sea ice just off of the beach... I was only 8 years old

Edited December 11, 2022 by MetManager
Additional info

[Lampostwatcher]

The main band looks like its pivoting 

[seaside boy]

Bring on a Thames Streamer

[ThamesStreamer]

3 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

The main band looks like its pivoting 

Looks like its inching NE to me. I think pivot point will probably be somewhere over mid or north Kent before it comes round over Essex and N/NE London. We'll see though. 

[MetManager]

The frost here has now been replaced by sunshine and a rain shower, temp +2C

[clark3r]

Heavy sleet at the moment 

[TSNWK]

No updates on weather warnings since yesterday? Looks earlier and more expansion than pronged  to  my eye

[crazysnowcatz4]

In Canterbury it is 3C temperature rose quite rapidly as sleet/snow approached is now probably 75% snow 25% rain atm , not sticking except on cold exposed roofs

 

[SHM040519]

48 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Immediate channel coasts more likely to see rain as the air is modified somewhat here by the southerly wind, a few miles inland though and marginality wont be a problem. 

Currently thinking London/N Kent and perhaps into Essex could be the sweet spot for accumulations, locally 5-10cm, perhaps higher with elevation where the low begins to pivot. Precip is already more expansive/more intense than modelling suggested.

Hoping that being 15 miles from Dover we are far enough inland to be snow! 

Sleet in canterbury. Hopefully will change to snow later! 

[TROY]

Just a moderate rain now, very dull. Outdoor temp says 2c But still feels cold, time to put another log on the fire and top up the malibu.

[Mark wheeler]

Latest radar v latest arome run just coming out . Looks like the model is slightly underplaying the precipitation.

[Gowon]

17 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

UKV for this afternoon / eve. We’re all in the game as different models have different variations / locations…

Snow to sleet and rain event.

[Tim Bland]

1 minute ago, Gowon said:

Snow to sleet and rain event.

I’d say the light blue is just drizzley snow or freezing fog. It won’t rain inland, everything is conducive to snow more than 50 miles from the south coast

[Alpine glow]

1 minute ago, Mark wheeler said:

Latest radar v latest arome run just coming out . Looks like the model is slightly underplaying the precipitation.

There is nothing falling from the sky in Brighton yet.  I'm near the Downs, above sea level.  It seems if something does fall it will be sleet/rain going by the radar.

[East Kent Snow Desert]

5 minutes ago, crazysnowcatz4 said:

In Canterbury it is 3C temperature rose quite rapidly as sleet/snow approached is now probably 75% snow 25% rain atm , not sticking except on cold exposed roofs

 

Out of interest is there any elevation where you are (outskirts of C'bury) or are you central?

[Tn9]

16 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Does anyone else recall the ice-storm of 1963: constant left trouser-legging rain at -5C? I recall being almost blinded by the sunlight reflecting off ice that was lying on top of deep snow.

63 cor mate ,did you have cameras  then ,or was it word of mouth ,folk tale ..lol : )