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2023 Tornado Events, Outbreaks and Chat

matty40s

By matty40s
in Storm Chase USA

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted (edited)

Mesoscale Discussion 823

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227

SUMMARY...The risk mainly for large hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado will continue this afternoon/evening across portions of eastern OK and the ArkLaTex. Additional storm development over central OK may spread eastward with a severe threat later this afternoon/evening.

Could contain: Chart, Plot, Outdoors, Nature, Map, Plant, Vegetation

Edited by Raindrops
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

These two have a nice quality cam☺️

 

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted
Just now, Allseasons-si said:

These two have a nice quality cam☺️

 

Already on them, some nice Anvils in the area, other streams seem to have blue skies, for now.

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted

This dude has a hail net on his car 🤷‍♂️, hey if it works then why not.

 

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted

Vince has a new camera, now we can see him road rage😂

 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)

Nice Messo on Jack miller's stream...

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Storm Chasing

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM
Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.

Edit:is that a funnel?

Edited by Allseasons-si
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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Nice Messo on Jack miller's stream...

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Storm Chasing

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM
Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.

Edit:is that a funnel?

As Dr Timmer would say, a nipple. Gives me hope as he's not in the tornado 2% risk area 🤔.

Edit: I don't see much rotation.

Edited by Raindrops
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
18 minutes ago, Raindrops said:

As Dr Timmer would say, a nipple. Gives me hope as he's not in the tornado 2% risk area 🤔.

Edit: I don't see much rotation.

We have some sort of rotation/swirl now.

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted
1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

We have some sort of rotation/swirl now.

I did see it, to the right, amazing towners, I think the cloud bases are rather high at the moment.

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted (edited)

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 628 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2023

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

Tornado HQ

Edit: cool 500th post for a tornado, worth it.

 

Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Plant, Vegetation, Atlas, Diagram, Outdoors, Rainforest, Tree

Edited by Raindrops
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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted (edited)

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Storm Chasing

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM
Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.

Derick Smith is the closest to the Tornado warning, not a very good stream service.

Edited by Raindrops
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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted

Meanwhile

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Storm Chasing

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM
Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.

 

Could contain: Cloud, Cumulus, Nature, Outdoors, Sky, Weather, Person, Azure Sky

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted

 

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Raindrops Aficionado

Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
Posted (edited)

The outlook is not looking very active, but I don't always rely on GFS, for now the outlook looks low over the coming days even for us back home in UK/Ireland until the end of May. As claimed by NWS and I agree with below....

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 200841 SPC AC 200841

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat May 20 2023

Valid 231200Z - 281200Z

...DISCUSSION...

Upper ridging is expected to persist across the central CONUS throughout much of the extended period, with modest mid-level flow anticipated across the CONUS during this time frame as well. The absence of any large-scale synoptic systems will allow for low-level moisture to be maintained along the southern and western periphery of extensive surface ridging, keeping a large reservoir of 60+ dewpoints over the central and southern Plains. Persistent southwesterly flow aloft is expected across the southern Rockies during this period, helping to support continued lee troughing as well as diurnal thunderstorm initiation over the higher terrain. These thunderstorms could then move into the more moist and unstable conditions across the central/southern High Plains, contributing to some severe storm potential. Additionally, a moderate low-level jet is anticipated nightly across the southern and central High Plains, supporting severe potential late into the evening. However, given the forecast range, overall convective evolution remains uncertain, with preceding thunderstorm activity greatly impacting the following day's severe potential. This limits predictability, resulting in low forecast confidence.

There is some signal in the medium-range guidance that a more substantial southern-stream shortwave trough will move through the Southwest this weekend. However, variability remains high within the guidance, and predictability is low.

Mosier.. 05/20/2023

Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on May 20, 2023

From my point of view I have seen some models showing Thunderstorms rather severe heavy rains/hail so that gives me reason to doubt future forecasting predictions, one say one while the other says different, to add there was a tornado reported to NWS on the 18/5/23 and that was outside the 2% tornado zone even outside the slight risk zone, also I'd like to add it's not always about Tornados I mean who doesn't like a good ol mothership or pancake and perhaps a short-lived tornado or funnel.

Best bet is to stay with now casting over the coming days.

Off-topic: I can finally catch up with JayztwoCents streams.

Edit: For the NW chasers on here going to or are already in the USA defiantly stick with now cast, in the image below..I'm taking a big risk doing this please do not fully go by my predictions, keep an eye open in these areas, yes Tornado ally haha but at little more east. And yes, I give you guy's permission to beat me up over this *waits for the pros*.

Green: watch area

Yellow: Ideal chase area.

Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram, Nature, Outdoors, Land, Vegetation, Sea

Edited by Raindrops
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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted
On 19/05/2023 at 01:18, Raindrops said:

Storm Chaser Vince Waelti

 

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Storm, Utility Pole, Tornado

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Storm, Tornado

Was on the same Amarillo storm that day, chase convergence was unbelievable, not seen anything like it. Unsure how it didn't drop a tornado to be honest, wall-cloud was basically scrapping the floor.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Reed on a Meso...

 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

WOW,...nice meso.

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Storm, Tornado

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Having a cracking chase so far. Got some belting hail and immense structure.

Could contain: Body Part, Finger, Hand, Nature, Outdoors, Person, Weather, Baby, Bracelet, Jewelry

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Weather, Body Part, Finger, Hand, Person, Baby, Hail

Could contain: Road, Tarmac, Freeway, Highway, Nature, Outdoors, Horizon, Sky, Utility Pole

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)

Again the stormchasers are out again and just bagged a good folk Cg on Reed timmers feed☺️

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Storm, Lightning, Thunderstorm

 

Edited by Allseasons-si
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  • 2 weeks later...
Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

An enhanced risk for this evening>

with a 5% tor and 30% hail risk

day1otlk_2000.thumb.gif.173354ca3ccab6e50dde72b22bff044d.gifday1probotlk_2000_torn.thumb.gif.af8ff967f50bab9aa2714d97cdc73e0a.gifday1probotlk_2000_hail.thumb.gif.39f4100721b5cdbb1badd69bc362ecba.gif

live radar...

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn NWS Radar

RADAR.WEATHER.GOV

a few storm chasers are out and about allready

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Storm Chasing

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM
Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.
twitter.jpg

cropped-severestudios.512x512.png Live Storm Chasing, Watch Storm Chasers in Real Time!

WWW.SEVERESTUDIOS.COM
Experience live storm chasing & watch top storm chasers stream dashboard video of tornados and extreme weather as it happens. Compatible with Android & iOS.

Reed timmer is onto something interesting...

Vince...

Brandon...

 

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The Tall Weatherman Rising Star

The Tall Weatherman

Posted
  • Location: Thrapston | Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather
  • Location: Thrapston | Northamptonshire
Posted

A stunning tornado near Fort Stockton earlier, it also seems to have been strong since 8:00PM and is alone in its volatile atmosphere from now on.

 

Could contain: Chart, Plot

Could contain: Chart, Plot, Astronomy, Nebula, Outer Space, Outdoors

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Rolling fork upgrade on tor strength with new damage indicators... not far from EF5 

 

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WeatherArc Rising Star

WeatherArc

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and long, sunny summers
  • Location: Birmingham
Posted (edited)

Moderate risk now in place for much of the deep south, all severe hazards (strong-intense tornadoes, damaging winds and large hail) are expected.

Screenshot2023-06-14155318.thumb.png.6562cb3e599d22406cb215c83752b1b4.pngScreenshot2023-06-14155340.thumb.png.6037d6f1bf5198784b9ae59c0a68d4e2.pngScreenshot2023-06-14155354.thumb.png.ab77e9ee8c0491637208692d8827b570.pngScreenshot2023-06-14155407.thumb.png.024269994c25657213be66ce2d308fec.png

Latest HRRR  UH shows a long-tracking supercell moving across Alabama and Mississippi.

Screenshot2023-06-14155550.thumb.png.3706faa1bc0d8937adf077a4c239dcde.png

Conditions for strong-intense (EF2+) tornadoes look to be the most favorable close to the Alabama-Georgia border.

Screenshot2023-06-14155744.thumb.png.996254755ac1e7432b22d53d92a71b5a.pngScreenshot2023-06-14161141.thumb.png.376e3287d08ce63a9ed9fd1ee4ed5a8b.png

Multiple rounds of Semi-discrete supercells are likely with upscale growth to a MCS complex expected later on.

Screenshot2023-06-14160346.thumb.png.6872ae29d9377527eec84a4964520d94.pngScreenshot2023-06-14160431.thumb.png.8256420a74b39096e68cb49e7c8eb5a8.png

Latest Satellite is slightly concerning, the clouds from last nights convection are being burnt off, seems likely that very good surface heating will take place-multiple OFBs can also be seen from the earlier storms.

Screenshot2023-06-14160551.thumb.png.90a2431cb2fe471b45cbf93b3a9e4849.pngScreenshot2023-06-14162141.thumb.png.5022183e63917d7b4b61d58e9109831d.png

Decent lapse rates also in place, rare for the deep south at this time of year.

Screenshot2023-06-14161322.thumb.png.adf0843559b42443be56d41664b32079.png

Explosive SBCAPE also widely in place (4000-5500 j/kg)

Screenshot2023-06-14161551.thumb.png.3326a42a3a523ff25e26c089ae18ea2f.png

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by WeatherArc
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