Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023

[Derbyshire_snow]

43 minutes ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

That thing has gone mental in the fast few minutes. Strikes every few seconds !!

Shane it wasn't dark would have been a proper lightshow. 

[parhelion]

8 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Looks like the storms are weakening as the temperature falls.

It does, but the AROME model has cells maintaining intensity E Yorks into Lincs through this evening, and it seems to have modelled the isolated outbreaks this afternoon quite well, so we'll see if we have a second wind in a few hours.

[Sam jackson88]

It's all kicked off off west of brest let's see if that can ignite anything east 

[viking_smb]

1 minute ago, Sam jackson88 said:

It's all kicked off off west of brest let's see if that can ignite anything east 

its the remnant of that big storm from earlier, according to sat 24 its moving NNW

[TJS1998Tom]

Certainly feels like potential here. Will be good in the next hour or two for when it gets darker for some places 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

thundering from this to my W

[ChezWeather]

Still unbearably hot and humid here, big towers off in the distance which I assume is the storm over the Humber 

[The Tall Weatherman]

The latest UKV and Arome both favour the Midlands tomorrow for an MCS like event. Would not be surprised if there was the odd large chunk of hail.

[Derecho]

Constant booming thunder and a huge anvil here! The core is well to the south though. Must be interesting around Humberside Airport at the moment given the supercell signature.

[cheese]

1 minute ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

The latest UKV and Arome both favour the Midlands tomorrow for an MCS like event. Would not be surprised if there was the odd large chunk of hail.

It was showing that big blob over northern England on the 06z. Boo.

[ChezWeather]

Looking NE from Chesterfield 

[minus10]

4 minutes ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

The latest UKV and Arome both favour the Midlands tomorrow for an MCS like event. Would not be surprised if there was the odd large chunk of hail.

Well that is significantly further south than the mo warning area...just need to nudge it bit further sse on future runs ....

 

[Rufus Butterfield]

6 minutes ago, cheese said:

It was showing that big blob over northern England on the 06z. Boo.

I think it’ll be moving north so we’ll still be in with a chance if that comes off. 

[Polar Maritime]

5 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

Looking NE from Chesterfield 

Yes can see that cell from here to CW, really towering up now..

[Derbyshire_snow]

Is the Storm West of Stoke and the one North East of Stoke joining? and tracking North East? 

[Metwatch]

About 15 miles south of that storm in the humber river

[cheese]

2 minutes ago, Rufus Butterfield said:

I think it’ll be moving north so we’ll still be in with a chance if that comes off. 

This is what the 06z UKV was showing, it's a pretty big shift south. Disappointing considering we never get really good thunderstorms here.

 

Edited September 9, 2023 by cheese

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Would imagine with the elevated nature of a lot of the storms that much of the lightning would be hard to spot.

[Rush2019]

Shropshire really firing up.  This is anviling out in the distance to my SSW.

[Schnee]

3 minutes ago, cheese said:

This is what the 06z UKV was showing, it's a pretty big shift south. Disappointing considering we never get really good thunderstorms here.

 

I knew I was right to not get excited yet....XD!

[alexisj9]

59 minutes ago, viking_smb said:

that said, estofex dont seem  convinced about tonight tbh

BBC seemed optimistic, don't know if that's good or bad.

[cheese]

Just now, Schnee said:

I knew I was right to not get excited yet....XD!

Yup, you were right. Of course it will be the East Midlands that get the huge storms, same as ever.

[ThomasD27]

Nice loud thunder at the northen end of that new doncaster cell

Edit: lightning!!!!

Edited September 9, 2023 by Thomas Dicken
Saw lightning

[Tikka_69]

Thundering over towards Doncaster at the minute

[Derecho]

A fairly bright flash and loud deep rumble of thunder despite being quite far away from the core. I wonder if that was a CG from the anvil?

Quite impressive either way. We keep going from periods of infrequent thunder to constant rumbles. 

Edited September 9, 2023 by Derecho