Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[whiskers]

Channel 5 at 9  the snow of 1947

[keithlucky]

On 31/12/2023 at 19:21, keithlucky said:

So colder weather is almost set in stone by next weekend.Friday HP over North UK dragging a biting cold easterly wind.So dry for most getting colder and harsh frosts at night as, wind drop and freezing fog becomes persistent as wind eases.

So the Gfs has cold locked in for 10 days longer term ,GFS has USA and Northern Europe both affected with northern blocking,lasting to the end of January. With both continents to be affected is a rare occurance 

Edited January 1 by keithlucky

[Marcus_surfer]

Anything drier and more settled with some colder conditions will be better than this muck we have had for months now

[Cymro]

Blwyddyn newydd dda i chi gyd a gobeithio am awyr las, rhew ac eira i'n tywys drwy fis Ionawr! 

 

Let's hope for crystal nlue skies, frost snd snow to see us through January! 

 

Blwyddyn newydd dda

[CLH]

Amber for wind for S Wales? That also feels odd given last week's yellow and today's spot forecast.

[Cymro]

What an incredibly wet start to January, hopefully after this week, rainfall will be vacant from the forecast for a while! 

 

62mm o rain since 10pm yesterday and more to come

Edited January 2 by Cymro

[keithlucky]

15 minutes ago, Cymro said:

What an incredibly wet start to January, hopefully after this week, rainfall will be vacant from the forecast for a while! 

 

62mm o rain since 10pm yesterday and more to come

Yes let's hang in there Dry by Friday!

[keithlucky]

On 30/12/2023 at 08:54, keithlucky said:

Signs are for 2nd week of January EPS showing cold entrenched across Europe.

Mostly dry ,from Sunday scattered snow showers ,More snow showers Monday as a cold east wind,moves snow showers across UK.

[snefnug]

Having just walked two dogs through driving rain and puddles and come back soaked to the core, all I can say is bring on the dry weather please please please! 

[Daniel_c150311]

might have had a small tornado (or maybe it was the amber warning of wind) but what do you guys think?

a lot of debris flown about in just 1 strong gust of wind that lasted about 10 seconds

some other close ups

 

that's all the worst damage i've seen today but if it was a tornado it would probably be ef0-ef1max if not it was a bad gust of wind probably about  65-85mph also this is a video before the big gust/tornado

 

  

[wimblettben]

1 hour ago, Dxnielwashere said:

might have had a small tornado (or maybe it was the amber warning of wind) but what do you guys think?

a lot of debris flown about in just 1 strong gust of wind that lasted about 10 seconds

some other close ups

 

that's all the worst damage i've seen today but if it was a tornado it would probably be ef0-ef1max if not it was a bad gust of wind probably about  65-85mph also this is a video before the big gust/tornado

 

67E8AA44-9799-4BC6-8750-A7ED7B6C87AD.mov 5.29 MB · 1 download   67E8AA44-9799-4BC6-8750-A7ED7B6C87AD.mov 5.29 MB · 1 download

  

Looks more like damage anywhere from 40-55mph to me.

If it was a tornado then probably a weak f0.

Edited January 2 by wimblettben

[Ian Ballinger]

Looks like we have finally got some cold dry weather on the way

[keithlucky]

Despite all the doom and gloom in the the mod thread,that strat warming has failed it hasn't. The vortex has spilt. One section causing zonal wind reversal.Resulting in large High Pressure over Greenland.As a result become cold next week becoming very cold the end of next week as  colder air arrives from the N east.

 

Edited January 3 by keithlucky

[Bartlett High]

46 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Despite all the doom and gloom in the the mod thread,that strat warming has failed it hasn't. The vortex has spilt. One section causing zonal wind reversal.Resulting in large High Pressure over Greenland.As a result become cold next week becoming very cold the end of next week as  colder air arrives from the N east.

 

More importantly.......DRY!!!

[Ian Ballinger]

Dry clear sky's and I'll be very happy

[Cymro]

Easterlies rarely get me excited being on the Western side of Bannau Brycheiniog but to see such dry weather on the horizon is great! We've also managed a frost this morning although the forecasted temp is 5 degrees, just shows that the forecast can often be wrong as well.

I hope we pull a Nwstly in at the end of next week to awaken the Dangler!! 

[Pembroke Dangler]

2 hours ago, Cymro said:

Easterlies rarely get me excited being on the Western side of Bannau Brycheiniog but to see such dry weather on the horizon is great! We've also managed a frost this morning although the forecasted temp is 5 degrees, just shows that the forecast can often be wrong as well.

I hope we pull a Nwstly in at the end of next week to awaken the Dangler!! 

Don’t worry I’ll be awake

[whiskers]

All this cold that’s happening next week onwards,anyone know if there’s any Coming our way??

[keithlucky]

1 hour ago, whiskers said:

All this cold that’s happening next week onwards,anyone know if there’s any Coming our way??

Brisk easterly wind turning colder and colder bitter winds fetching snow showers across Wales on Monday.Showers possible any time radar watching for the rest of next week. Winds switch to northerly. around the14 th of January with heavy snow moving down from North.    THIS is not a normal UK shot cold spell .Another stratospheric warming is happening towards the end of month winds from the east then the north  dominating until end of month severe cold spell on it way. 

[ANYWEATHER]

11 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Brisk easterly wind turning colder and colder bitter winds fetching snow showers across Wales on Monday.Showers possible any time radar watching for the rest of next week. Winds switch to northerly. around the14 th of January with heavy snow moving down from North.    THIS is not a normal UK shot cold spell .Another stratospheric warming is happening towards the end of month winds from the east then the north  dominating until end of month severe cold spell on it way. 

Are you really sure that will happen ?

[keithlucky]

Just now, ANYWEATHER said:

Are you really sure that will happen ?

Slow building perfect build blocks in place ,Perfect set a big Greenland High affecting our weather that as rare as Hens teeth!! And you stop playing a devil advocate Lol! Model thread has become full of them.

[Marcus_surfer]

It's funny how people in the MAD thread are comparing this upcoming cold spell to 1987, 2010, 2018 etc. No cold spell is the same. I never understood getting excited about charts 200+hours out either ,learnt my lesson on doing that a very long time ago.

[Loadsa2000]

latest news in Wales

Warning of 'treacherous' road conditions

Police in mid and north Powys are warning of "treacherous" conditions on some roads in the region.

They say that icy conditions are causing some difficult driving conditions for motorists in the region.

Followed by

Accident shuts Powys road

An accident has shut the A481 between Builth Wells and Hundred House.

Dyfed Powys Police say: "The road is currently closed due to a collision Please avoid the area and find alternative routes for your journey."

Temps here this morning 1.5°C
Dew Point:0.8°C 

[Loadsa2000]

been out in the car had to clear the ice from the windscreen

[snefnug]

Definitely sleety mix in the liquid falling from the sky.  Yeuch!