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summer blizzard

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Everything posted by summer blizzard

  1. Posted in wrong thread... Nice low level rotation... As Mezz said in the other thread there are factors helping it.
  2. Looks very similar to the spells we saw in the June's of 2005 and 2006 when i believe that Ireland did indeed pass 30C.
  3. For those of us wanting cooler weather we need the MJO to amplify in phases 4-6.
  4. Really made a mistake going against my usual method in May, i'd have been winning by quite some way. Pleased though, just hope we get a cool second half to July.
  5. Can't say i'm impressed with this one, not really anything of interest.
  6. I will however increase my prediction to 16.7C which is bang on average.
  7. Being on the cooler end of predictions i could gain a lot of points if there's a good correction towards the end of the month.
  8. Temperature - 2/3 - A tad too humid at times Precipitation - 2/3 - Fairly dry, could be better Sunshine - 2/3 - Good amounts of sunshine Total - 6 out of 10.
  9. Looks good. Track seems to bring it close to the Mexican coast as a potential hurricane and recon may be needed in their additional day outlook.
  10. Was looking on another forum i visit (lots of pro-mets on) and observed a conversation between our Matt Hugo and one of the other mets. It seems that the long range ECMWF 30 day models keeps July warm however the other guy said this... So a transient picture then perhaps.
  11. It was fairly normal in the 1990's. 1990, 1991, 1994, 1995, 1997. It's only post 2003 that the later half of summer has gone by the wayside.
  12. Incredible to see on satellite but yeah, the mid level circulation is pretty much non-existent and there's no vertical stacking to speak of to ignite convection.
  13. I'll probably end up complaining that its too hot but this is a stunning setup...
  14. Now that's a cracker (incidentally 1995 was an analogue i chose to discard) however i'm just curious as to whether your data indicates July being a one month wonder or collapsing in August ala 2006.
  15. Have to say it actually looks prettier now than when it was a hurricane however there looks to be some relative shear perhaps caused by the quick speed as the mid level and surface circulations don't look stacked vertically to me.
  16. Very hot i imagine, always the chance of a hurricane as well for fun.
  17. Amidst all this talk of future warmth its worth pointing out that the operations of the GFS and ECWMF have a cool shot at day 10 though it looks dry.
  18. It's a bit of an ugly hurricane given all the banding but a good system.
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