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mushymanrob

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Everything posted by mushymanrob

  1. mushymanrob
    Well i dont think its unusuL to get high, much higher temps in the southeast then the north. The southeast IS warmer. 25c away from the southeast in mid april is highly unlikely imho. Anyway, cest la vie, it is frustrating when other areas get better weather but theres nowt that can be done about it.
  2. mushymanrob
    ...on this occassion i agree with you. 17c all month and ill BANK that! actually im liking the chilly nights.... looks like i might get more too, its too cold for slugs n snails to come out overnight and feed on my emerging lily shoots!
  3. mushymanrob
    thats not strictly true though is it. it isnt a done deal that there will be a chilly northerly blast, and even if there is one the coldest plunge might well go down the north sea. returning to more 'normal' temps after midweek isnt particually 'drastic' either. looking pretty 'normal' to me, some certain warmth, some possible cold, pretty dry sunny/bright and alot of average/normal on offer over the next couple of weeks.
  4. mushymanrob
    hmmmm .... looking like week 3 of april might turn rather '1975 - ish' , with a long draw of cold northerlies IF next weekends expected high retrogresses as some current runs suggest, plus the noaa anomaly charts support 'unfavourable' blocking. enjoy the next few days, its looking pretty warm before cooling off a bit after midweek, but will it cool off further?...
  5. mushymanrob
    just imagine having the current synoptic charts in the hight of summer... temps well into the mid 30's c ! plus a thundery potential fri/sat.
  6. mushymanrob
    no..... we had nice springs in 76 and 90 for eg... its common to have a pretty nice spell in april, this one looks like being 5 days long, thats not really a nice spring unless the sun/dry/warmth continues. so far its nothing extraordinary.
  7. mushymanrob
    Stunningly beautiful day today, my fav in my may time of the year. Tinglingly warm, birdsong filling the fresh spring air and butterflies dancing in the sun... Perfect.
  8. mushymanrob
    i couldnt have created a better evolution if i was god himself! its looking very strongly like itll get slowly brighter, sunnier, and warmer...potentially very warm (for early april). some wonderful spring weather likely for us this next week... brilliant!
  9. mushymanrob
    the chart runs over the last few days have had a deal of uncertainty about the orientation, position and evolution of the high... but... the colder/unfavourable options appear to be decreasing and the warmer more favourable options (like frostys charts) appear to be gaining ground. and why not, it is april now.
  10. mushymanrob
    tbh id settle for dry... i love the heat but 18-22c is also very nice.
  11. mushymanrob
    cheers john.
  12. mushymanrob
    im not so much of a 'warmy' after all... i much prefer spring freshness to autumnal mustiness even though temps are much higher in autumn.
  13. mushymanrob
    i can understand the confusion here between models, as the exact nature of the forthcoming high is still in doubt. minor differences will lead to quite dramatic differing weather conditions... easterly draft = most likely cool and dull (except in the west), southeasterly = bright/sunnier and much warmer. the cloud issue will plague us for some time, restricting temps by day, preventing frosts by night. at least itll be calm and dry....
  14. mushymanrob
    Gfs looks to be an outlier... It has no support from the noaa anoms, .
  15. mushymanrob
    indeed its nonsense... a certain 'type' of spring does not lead to a certain type of summer. weve had mild springs, like 76, followed by hot summers.... weve had cold wet springs, like 83 followed by hot summers.. and several recent springs have been superb followed by washout summers. so no... theres no correlation between spring and summer weather.
  16. mushymanrob
    indeed, lets hope something like this verifies, but the easter highs behaviour, its orientation, position and even shape is going to make a huge difference to what we get. fingers crossed!
  17. mushymanrob
    ..... and even more interesting is that the anomaly charts have backed down and now support the ops anticyclonic easter.
  18. mushymanrob
    interestingly this morning, both the ecm and gfs have some sort of ridging for the easter weekend.... ... but the anomaly charts (noaa) keep the uk under a northwesterly with the azores ridge and scandinavian trough.
  19. mushymanrob
    not very good outlook from the noaa anomaly charts , which keeps the uk in a strong northwesterly upper flow for the next two weeks. a chilly feeling, below average, spring spoiling unsettled theme looks likely with more pm incursions then tm. pretty normal though albeit chilly feeling and the threat still of overnight frosts. we seem to be stuck in this recurring pattern of northwesterlies courtesy of the azores high/scandi low.
  20. mushymanrob
    Yeah i see, fair play but tbh i dont think anyone believed it.
  21. mushymanrob
    Cheers john... Well hopefully soon theyll change to support something pleasantly warm!
  22. mushymanrob
    20c?.... have the models shown temps in the upper teens/20c? we might get mid teens, but in the wind and i suspect cloud and rain at times, itll not be of much benefit. i dont think we will get that very cold easterly blast either...models over amplifying things again, that northern plunge , which is likely, will hopefully miss us and deliver its goods into europe!
  23. mushymanrob
    far be it for me to question you john, the airflow might be sourced from the us/canadian border, but doesnt it take a dip to more southerly latitudes before rising over the azores high to cross us from the northwest? wouldnt surface winds be sourced from west of the azores? which is why the current runs are suggesting periods of warm 'uppers', so temps varying either side of average depending on the front we are on....
  24. mushymanrob
    really?.... you expect to dodge tuesdays showers and thursdays systems let alone todays cloud?.... like others (i suspect), its hard to get enthused atm about the weather. the posters posting in the md thread are summing up the outlook very well, and its this really rather drab ordinary chilly weather that its hard to enthuse about or add anything to.
  25. mushymanrob
    ....and the good news is that the noaa chart supports the mean... but first we have a rather messy week ahead with more cloudy cool weather, cold even at times.
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