Battleground Snow
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gem at 240 is a hemispherically very cold pattern by the way, would be a slow way back to mild from there . Ukmo at 168 is very nice too -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeh certainly no complaints from me, Good runs this morning, good to see the back of those gfs runs from yesterday too -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep by day 8/9, both gem and gfs are snowy runs -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think that's a fair assessment this morning, Perhaps ukmo and ecm might be a little better, at 168, but the situation remains very fluid over Greenland People won't like the short delay, but the overall pattern hasn't changed drastically -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed, looks like we are relying on residual heights south of Greenland to send that jet south now Still could be a snowy outcome further down the line. Ukmo moved a little to the gfs, but gfs has also moved the other way a little too. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look how similar ukmo and ecm has the polar profile, Gfs keeps changing it run to run. See you all tomorrow -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Jma not too dissimilar from the ecm run I Still think the output past 120 is liable to swings at the moment -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gem is still messing around 2, Looks like will be a huge error by the north American models at 96 hours -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking forward to seeing the gfs backtrack in 30 mins, it probably will do it's step by step adjustment though -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeh agreed, get that initial plunge as far south as possible to give southern members deep cold, then if the Azores low does attack from the west more people are in the game. Gfs did actually move in the early 72-96 towards euros period, but then went Haywire -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Battleground Snow replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The "with winds from the north or north-east " caught my attention in the extended. Perhaps ties in with this mjo chart form the ecm Btw does anyone know if the met office mjo chart is publicly available anywhere? I've asked them in the past, but they they just blank me 06z ecm is consistent with the 00z run in the early timeframe