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StormChaseUK

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Everything posted by StormChaseUK

  1. StormChaseUK
    If rainfall doesn't decrease we are actually on track for worse June than 2012 by this date in June 2012 we had 86mm here in 2019 it is 99.3mm so well on course to beat 2012. So all those who said this is like 2012 or worse and got slated - you are correct rainfall wise
  2. StormChaseUK
    If this is a "mixed summer" then I am scared to see what a bad summer looks like
  3. StormChaseUK
    GFS 12z is not a disaster but 20C at the moment will feel like heatwave. And given recent posts some people consider 21C, 22C as too high expectation. June is the prime month of the year for warmth so we should expect 20-23C
  4. StormChaseUK
    Painful viewing. West in February/March - East in June/July
  5. StormChaseUK
    True in a sense, but the heat over east is the reason the low pressure over us is generating so much rain The low pressures we are having are not normal atlantic lows, they are forming in situ.
  6. StormChaseUK
    Yes and so were the very warm ones posted earlier. hence the square one comment.
  7. StormChaseUK
    Not much improvement at all, square one cycle continues.
  8. StormChaseUK
    All seems too much for the GFS has commited Hara-Kiri
  9. StormChaseUK
    Not good odds, as we had the same prediction for now about 16 days ago. The pattern for nearly 2 months has been cool weather with low pressure generated by heat over to our east, then the models show warming about 2 weeks ahead, warming occurs but over the continent, thus creating more low pressure for us and repeating the cycle. May = cool, cloudy and dry - June = cool and wet Until that heat shifts from Germany, Poland, Arctic Circle, Finland our pattern is locked in
  10. StormChaseUK
    Comes to something when the weather is so bad we can't tell if glitch or real
  11. StormChaseUK
    I guess in layman terms it's a transition from Windows 7 to Windows 10 - I know FV3 had peformed well modelling hurricanes
  12. StormChaseUK
    The story of summer 2019. UK acting as the low pressure breeding ground with heat moving up to our east. This pattern has repeated multiple times now, enough that should we should start accepting it rather than talking down those that point it out.
  13. StormChaseUK
    Stronger echoes building towards Liverpool now. Interesting really, these cold pools / low pressure seem more of a tropical style development than the usual Atlantic lows.
  14. StormChaseUK
  15. StormChaseUK
    I have a feeling the 12z will throw some warmer curveballs
  16. StormChaseUK
    Does anyone have historical data for poor June's leading to poor weather in July. One thing is sure with the GFS it has flipped the coin frequently. Bit of a lottery really could be 11C or 24C 5 days out. Actually June 1991 was awful but July 1991 very warm.
  17. StormChaseUK
    06z continues with the Autumn theme.
  18. StormChaseUK
    Really poor June, temps next week only just getting into double figures with large rainfall accumulations. Whats even more shocking is the arctic circle is 30C while all this is going on.
  19. StormChaseUK
    I actually prefered the 00z to 06z - 00z builds high pressure in a more substantial way.
  20. StormChaseUK
    Pattern locked in for a real hot summer for the arctic circle/ Finland. Incredible temperatures looking at the models all the way to end of the run.
  21. StormChaseUK
    Would build heat further east again. Today Finland broke records, nearly 33C
  22. StormChaseUK
    Excellent, watch out for funnels
  23. StormChaseUK
    Funnel cloud being reported in Taunton
  24. StormChaseUK
    Can confirm was a tasty little storm yesterday afternoon. I was lucky enough to be visiting family there the same afternoon
  25. StormChaseUK
    I rest my case M'Lord. Several people are saying this morning what I got told off for saying over the last week. I thought the 00z looked better after next Weds though
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