damianslaw

From a personal perspective I prefer the cold to come earlier- mid winter rather than February. Winters with cold early on include 1976-77, 1981-82, 1996-97 and 2010-11..In all cases the cold disapated by mid Jan. Winter 09-10 my favourite though, after a very wet mild Nov and start to Dec, the cold started around 11th and set for rest of winter.

Bit of late afternoon brightness, not as dark as this time yesterday. It feels quite cold, lost the tropical maritime air. Current temp 10.7 degrees. Looking ahead Saturday is set reasonable thankfully, tomorrow and especially Friday overcast and more rain. That winter state of mind is creeping in..

Also quite cool compared to yesterday. High of 12.1 degrees which is close to average, yesterday brought high near 16 degrees.

In a year largely without much zonal mobile airflow.. its a change I guess.

In moan mood today, torrential rain at present, possibly a squall line. Wet season in full swing. Can see October being our first notably wet month since February. Last 24 hours easily a couple of inches more on the fells.

Ties in with projected trend towards mid atlantic heights and deep longwave trough digging through UK, all perfectly plausible.

Yellow weather warnings are the equivalent of saying 'be aware there is some weather about'..

In a word the weather this morning aligns with the the phrase ' uninspiring Wet Wednesday'.. these are doldrum times for weather enthusiasts.

Looks increasingly cyclonic with the atlantic trough bedding down on the UK, wet and chilly with it. In the meantime the zonal train rides along, wettest in the NW, driest in the SE, windy. and mild.

Looking a notably wet period ahead... October most of the time is a washout.

October is statistically our wettest month. Months like 1995 are quite the exception.

October 95 was a great month for Autumn colour seem to remember, very benign throughout and very mild. After a run of chilly and/or wet Octobers it was very welcomed.

Yes could be another switcharound month, in first half September low pressure was to the SW and we pulled in a warm S/SE flow, this time low pressure is to the NW and we have a mild SW/ W flow.

Ive noted the media saying in for a cold winter.. do they know something we don't.. its misleading and panic scaring language.. seems to be referenced in context people will not put there heating on, which is not the same as a weather forecast.

Met Office going for colder conditions late October and settled. Quite a sudden change.. bring in the mid atlantic high ridging north..

Fast losing light now.. on overcast days such as today, curtains firmly need drawing by 7pm. In 4 weeks it will be half 4!

Yes this appears to be the direction of travel as we head into the middle of the month. A westerly/south westerly airfliw to begin, bringing mild and wet conditions especially further north west. Gradually the azores high pulls west and we exchange the flow to a colder more settled NW, possibly northerly flow by mid month.

Oh joy the dreaded SW airstream in full excelsis! Destest it! Current temp 14.8 degrees, probably the low tonight.. Incessant rain or drizzle, cloud covering valley bottoms, never see the Lake District brochures show such conditions, but alas plague these parts far far far too often.

I think June 2006 to May 2007 is still the warmest 12 month period on record.

2006 was perhaps the most delayed Autumn I've known. The last good Autumn for colour was 2018. It varies each year.

Winter 10-11 repeat perhaps!

Noting good leaf colour change at present. However, we've yet to have a good frost, and generally the best colours come after one, provided the wind doesn't blow the leaves off beforehand. As a general observation much vegetation is in quite a stressed state due to the very dry summer, and leaves looked quite shrivelled and lacklustre through much of August. I wouldn't say we have quite reached the point in which Autumn rushes away with itself, the next week looks mild and no frost. Normally its around mid October when that rush sets in... mid Oct to mid Nov is a period of great change in the countryside.. akin to mid April to mid May when everything bursts into life. That first day that struggles to make double figures even when sunny normally for me marks that change, and nowadays often takes until mid October. The foreseeable looks like delivering 12-16 degree maxes..

High pressure to the east, with an atlantic trough digging through the UK and high pressure to the west - all quite possible, which would result in a cold wet winter here, snow and rain..

Another very decent day for early October, mild, benign, dry, not much sun, but quite bright, and little wind. October has started off very kind in the Lake District, but all is about to change, a generally very unsettled windy and wet period ahead.. oh joy!

Oh joy that made for poor viewing if you like snow. Mind 6 out of last 9 winters as I've mentioned have been abysmal for snow.. so we are used to it! Why is la nina hanging around so long!